Discover and read the best of Twitter Threads about #surovikin

Most recents (24)

The #Russian Ministry of Defense (MoD) announced today that Chief of the General Staff Army General Valery #Gerasimov will take over as theater commander as part of a major reshuffle of the Russian command structure for the war in #Ukraine.

isw.pub/UkrWar011123
2/ #Gerasimov’s appointment is likely meant to support an intended decisive Russian military effort in 2023, likely in the form of resumed Russian offensive operations.
3/ Gerasimov's appointment over #Surovikin, a favorite of Russian milbloggers and #Wagner Group financier Yevgeny #Prigozhin, is also highly likely to have been in part a political decision to reassert the primacy of the Russian MoD in an internal Russian power struggle.
Read 4 tweets
It is 322 days since the Russian invasion of #Ukraine began. Today, an examination of the announcement that Russian General #Gerasimov ‘is taking charge’ of the Russian invasion of Ukraine. 1/25 🧵🇺🇦
2/ The Russian Defence Ministry has announced that General Gerasimov has been appointed “commander of the combined forces group for the special military operation in Ukraine.” bbc.com/news/world-eur…
3/ General Gerasimov is the Chief of the General Staff of the Russian Armed Forces. He was appointed to this position by President Putin in November 2012.
Read 25 tweets
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#BREAKING #GuerreEnUkraine D+322 (11/01) Front du #Donbass #Soledar

Je poursuis le questionnement :

La logistique ukrainienne a-t-elle joué un rôle dans la perte de contrôle ukrainienne (hypothèse de départ) au nord de #Bakhmut ?

3⃣1⃣

La fourniture d'équipements occidentaux variés a-t-elle abouti à une complexité logistique insurmontable ?

La campagne aérienne russe a-t-elle affaibli la logistique ferroviaire ukrainienne ?

3⃣2⃣

Je crois que c'est Pershing (à vérifier) qui disait "les batailles se gagnent avec l'infanterie et les guerres avec la logistique"

En disant cela, j'aborde des questions auxquelles je n'amène que des éléments de réflexion, sans conclusion (restons modeste !)
Read 14 tweets
🇷🇺🔥🇺🇦 #Rusia Vs #Ucrania - Día 322 - Iniciamos #hilo sobre la #GuerraEnUcrania.

🟥La situación en #Soledar sigue sin estar del todo clara pese a las fotos de #Prigozhin de ayer.

🟥 El actor ucraniano Dmytro Linartovych, herido en Soledar grita "Slava Ukraini" ⬇️

🟥 ¡Comparte!
🇷🇺🔥🇺🇦 #Rusia Vs #Ucrania - Día 322 - Este es, para quien no lo haya leído, nuestro informe diario sobre la #GuerraEnUcrania correspondiente a la jornada de ayer, martes 10 de enero de 2023.

revistaejercitos.com/2023/01/10/gue…
🇷🇺🔥🇺🇦 #Rusia Vs #Ucrania - Día 322 - Curiosamente, el Estado Mayor ucraniano no dice nada sobre "ataques rechazados" en #Soledar, lo que es bastante significativo.

Read 30 tweets
1⃣
#GuerreEnUkraine D+315 (04/11) PdS 2 - Théâtres
#Crimea
#Russie

Rive gauche du Dniepr, unités de reco et forces spéciales ont une forte activité

#Ukraine a adopté une stratégie miroir en 🇷🇺 à la stratégie de frappe de #surovikin en profondeur sur le réseau électrique 🇺🇦
2⃣
1/Dniepr, rive gauche

Les unités de reco s'affrontent :

-Un drapeau 🇺🇦 a été dressé sur l'île de Velikiy Potemkinsky 👇
-Des unités russes en reconnaissance sur les îles du delta du Dniepr sont bombardées👇


https://t.co/nu5OCA8Tef twitter.com/i/web/status/1…
3⃣
Mais rive droite du Dniepr, la #Russie continue à bombarder la ville

Un "feu d'artifice" à #Kherson, victime d'un bombardement au phosphore
C'est un crime de guerre, ces bombes, autorisées sur le champ de bataille, sont interdites contre les civils👇
Read 7 tweets
1⃣
#GuerreEnUkraine D+314 (03/01) PdS1 - Théâtre du
#Donbass

La météo va geler et, peut-être, débloquer la situation figée sur le front de #Luhansk

Sur le front de #Donetsk, ce n'est pas la météo qui fige les sections d'assaut légères russes, mais la culmination précoce
2⃣
1/#Svatove, saillant dormant

#AFU ont peu progressé (fête, météo) dans la résolution de 3 problèmes tactiques
(i) contenir la menace russe pesant sur le flanc nord
(ii) forcer le verrou nord-ouest par la P66 à hauteur de #novoselivske

carte dynamique de #Svatove flanc sud👇
3⃣

(iii) se maintenir rive gauche de la Krasna (#stelmakhivka)

destruction d'un dépôt de munitions à #Svatove👇
Read 17 tweets
1⃣
#GuerreEnUkraine D+313 (02/01) PdS2 - Théâtre d'opé.
#Crimea (Dniepr, rive gauche + le front X)
#Russie

Dans ce PdS,
1- les tribulations de #Prigozhin, caricaturale ord**e de cette guerre, en disent long sur la régression de l'armée russe
2- le dilemme de #Surovikin
2⃣
1- #prigozhin, meilleure comédienne des ultra-nationalistes

#Prigozhin veut nous faire croire qu'il traite correctement les prisonniers de guerre ukrainiens👇en leur donnant des oranges

Ses soutiens ultra-nationalistes vont croire qu'il s'effémine...
3⃣
#Prigozhin est sur les lieux du casernement "Wagner" à #Pervomaisk frappé par #HIMARS👇
Il compte les cadavres (70 peut-être) et tend une main tendre aux blessés de Wagner

Là-aussi, il risque de ternir sa virilité...

Read 14 tweets
1⃣
#GuerreEnUkraine D+312 (01/01) PdS2 - Théâtre d'opé.
#Crimea
#Russie

1/ Dniepr, rive gauche

Rien de spécial si ce n'est les tirs de #HIMARS sur les arrières logistiques qui font mouche ImageImage
2⃣
2/ Front X

Alors que la ligne de front entre le Dniepr et #VelykaNovosika n'était animée que par des échanges d'obus, #RF auraient avancé vers la colonie de #Dorozhnyanka, située entre #Polohy au sud et #Hulyaipole au nord, qui serait "disputée" (pas de preuve de conquête) Image
3⃣
Pourquoi #Surovikin (parfaite ord**e par ailleurs) remue-t-il la poussière sur ce segment du front ?

•conjecture 1 : il passe à l'offensive pour compléter la conquête de l'oblast "russe" de #Zaporizhia
•conjecture 2 : il améliore la position défensive de #polohy
Read 8 tweets
1/
#Russian (rather chaotic) assessment of 🇷🇺 Air Defence.
Source: 🇷🇺. (my notes in brackets)
- 🇷🇺 AD can intercept 🇺🇦 SS-21 (but not Tu-141/143)
- 🇷🇺 decreased 🇺🇦 Air Force activity (but 🇷🇺 don’t fly into 🇺🇦 aware of HARMs, & FAB bombs are useless)
2/
- 🇺🇦 Bayraktar TB2 are out of game (reality: 🇷🇺 HVTs keep away from TB2s)
- SA-15 Tor adapted to 🇷🇺 Navy (makeshift projects)
- S-300 effective against 🇺🇦 ground targets (can employ salvo strikes saturating 🇺🇦 AD)
- BUK-M3 as counterbattery radar (zooparks are too "blind")
3/
- only Pantsir-SM-TBM with doubled (24) missile load are considered combatworthy. These TBMs have no guns, no radar, missiles only
- a significant number of 🇷🇺 combat fixed & rotor wing aircraft (Su-30/34/35 & Ka-52) during the 1st phase of war was hit by 🇷🇺 AD friendly fire.
Read 6 tweets
🇷🇺🔥🇺🇦 #Rusia Vs #Ucrania - Día 296 - Iniciamos #hilo sobre la #GuerraEnUcrania.

🟥 Comenzamos con este MiG-29 ucraniano lanzando un par de misiles aire-superficie AGM-88 #HARM suministrados por los #EEUU.

🟥 ¡Comparte!
🇷🇺🔥🇺🇦 #Rusia Vs #Ucrania - Día 296 - Compartimos aquí, para quien no lo haya leído todavía, nuestro informe diario sobre la #GuerraEnUcrania correspondiente a la jornada de ayer, jueves 15 de diciembre de 2022.

revistaejercitos.com/2022/12/15/gue…
🇷🇺🔥🇺🇦 #Rusia Vs #Ucrania - Día 296 - En los últimos minutos se ha registrado el lanzamiento de varios misiles de crucero rusos sobre Ucrania, siendo alcanzadas ciudades como #Kharkiv, #KrivoyRog o #Zaporizhzhya ⬇️

Read 27 tweets
1⃣
#GuerreEnUkraine D+281 (01/12) Fronts #Donbass #Crimea

La situation à #Bakhmut se dégrade mais -paradoxe- c'est un mauvais signe pour les russes

La ligne de front du #Donbass n'a pas changé mais il s'y passe des choses

Les opérations continuent rive gauche du Dniepr
2⃣

---------- FRONT DU #Donbass ----------

Stratégies :
#AFU : faire pivoter le front sur la charnière de #lyssyschansk pour conquérir #luhansk
#RF : conquérir le donjon #AFU à #Kramatorsk pour achever la conquête du #Donetsk

3⃣
Opérations : elles s'ordonnent autour des 5 places-fortes structurant la ligne de front du #Donbass

1/#Svatove
2/#Kreminna
3/#Bakhmut
4/#Avdiivka
5/#Vuhledar
Read 13 tweets
🇷🇺🔥🇺🇦 #Rusia Vs #Ucrania - Día 278 - Aquí comienza nuestro #hilo diario sobre la #GuerraEnUcrania.

🟥 Lo que vemos en el siguiente vídeo es un ATGM AT-4 "Spigot" montado sobre un pequeño UTV ucraniano.

🟥 Gracias por vuestro #RETWEET 🙏
🇷🇺🔥🇺🇦 #Rusia Vs #Ucrania - Día 278 - Este es, para quien todavía no haya podido leerlo, nuestro informe diario sobre la #GuerraEnUcrania correspondiente a la jornada de ayer, domingo 27 de noviembre de 2022.

revistaejercitos.com/2022/11/27/gue…
🇷🇺🔥🇺🇦 #Rusia Vs #Ucrania - Día 278 - #URGENTE - Según publica @Reuters, el #Pentágono estadounidense estaría valorando la posibilidad de enviar a Ucrania en primavera sus Ground-Launched Small Diameter Bomb (GLSDB) para #MLRS con 160 km de alcance ⬇️

reuters.com/business/aeros…
Read 33 tweets
In the wake of the Ukrainian victory in western #Kherson, and in the midst of Russia’s ongoing terror bombing campaign against Ukrainian civil infrastructure, we should look at the man in charge of Russia's campaign. A thread on General #Surovikin. 1/25 🧵
2/ CAVEAT: This thread is NOT about admiring an enemy military commander who has previously demonstrated brutality towards Syrian civilians, his own soldiers, and now against the Ukrainians. It is designed to provide insights into how to defeat him. rferl.org/a/russia-bruta…
3/ Much of the reporting about the Russians in #Ukraine focusses on ‘the Russians’ as some amorphous mass. The reality is, even in barely adequate military institutions, there is organization, control, and command from the top. Military commanders matter.
Read 25 tweets
"La vita di Putin non è a rischio e su questo ho ben pochi dubbi. Le voci che girano sono esagerate, il suo potere è saldo ed i russi credono ancora in lui.
La ritirata da #Kherson è pura strategia del generale #Surovikin.
L’arrivo del freddissimo inverno avrebbe peggiorato la situazione in modo quasi catastrofico e tenere il fronte in quella zona avrebbe comportato spese enormi.
I nazionalisti che potrebbero succedere a Putin rappresenterebbero il peggio assoluto, questo potrebbe significare
davvero l’inizio di un conflitto mondiale. Il vero pericolo per Putin potrebbe coincidere con la ribellione degli #AltiGenerali che rispondono al suo comando.
Nella storia russa, tutte le rivoluzioni sono sempre partite dal corpo militare ma almeno
Read 4 tweets
Russian offensive operations in #Donetsk Oblast of #Ukraine will intensify in the coming weeks as additional mobilized servicemen arrive along with forces withdrawn from western #Kherson Oblast.🧵

isw.pub/UkrWar111322
2/ Ukrainian forces in the area will find themselves hard-pressed, and #Kyiv will very likely have to divert troops to defend against these renewed Russian offensives.
3/ The Russians are not likely to make operationally significant gains despite their renewed efforts, although they could conceivably take #Bakhmut over time at enormous cost.
Read 10 tweets
#Putin likely elevated Russian Army General Sergey #Surovikin and let him withdraw from western #Kherson on condition that he take the rest of #Donetsk Oblast using Russian forces recouped from western Kherson as well as newly-arriving mobilized servicemen.🧵
2/ This observation offered by Andriy Zagorodnyuk, chairman of the Ukrainian Center of Defense Strategies, is the likeliest explanation for the resumption in the intensity of Russian offensive operations first around #Bakhmut and then to the southwest around the #Vuhledar area.
3/ Russia's recent offensive efforts in #Donetsk otherwise make little operational sense. They are far from operationally significant locations apart from #Bakhmut...
Read 9 tweets
Hello there!
2/ everything going according to the "plan"...
100 days (3 months) like that would mean 74000 casualties 8000 pieces of important equipment/material
Next spring is going to be "something special" my friends..
remember this :
3/ first time last time.. #Kherson Propaganda Ru crew

watch till the end of the video and check for what we call the emotional micro signs... while they are saying "yeah hope/future/normal" their body language is : "oh dear God, please don't let me cry in front of the camera..."
Read 21 tweets
The battle of #Kherson is not over, but Russian forces have entered a new phase—prioritizing withdrawing their forces across the river in good order and delaying Ukrainian forces, rather than seeking to halt the Ukrainian counteroffensive entirely. /1 isw.pub/UkrWar110922
2/ The Ukrainian counteroffensive in the #Kherson direction since August—a coordinated interdiction campaign to force Russian forces to withdraw across the #Dnipro without necessitating major Ukrainian ground offensives—has likely succeeded.
3/ As @TheStudyofWar has observed over the previous months, Ukrainian forces engaged in a purposeful and well-executed campaign to target Russian concentration areas, military assets, and logistics nodes throughout #Kherson Oblast...
Read 8 tweets
Il ponte sul canale a Snihurivka (foto 1), e Darivka (foto 2) sono stati distrutti durante la notte.
Secondo diversi rapporti, la prima città sarebbe stata abbandonata dalle forze 🇷🇺. Altri rapporti di ponti distrutti si registrano in tutti i territori occupati, possibile 1/2 ImageImage
Segnale che le forze 🇷🇺 stanno ripiegando sulla prossima linea difensiva oppure, più improbabile ma pur sempre possibile, che si stiano preparando ad evacuare dalla regione. 2/2
Difese deserte lungo la strada fra l'ingresso dell'aeroporto e la città di Chornobaivka, inoltre riportate fortificazioni deserte con manichini in altre posizioni più vicine al fronte. twitter.com/i/web/status/1…
Read 10 tweets
🇷🇺🔥🇺🇦 #Russia vs #Ukraine - Day 258 - Let's begin our daily #thread on the #UkraineRussiaWar.

🟥Yesterday we talked about how suicidal some tactics are. This T-72B3 advances alongside uncleared trenches with no infantry support, waiting for an AT ...

🟥 #Retweetplease 🙏
🇷🇺🔥🇺🇦 #Russia vs #Ukraine - Day 258 - It has no relevance to the course of the war, but it is curious that its operators decorated this Russian UAV with the acronym of the USSR.
🇷🇺🔥🇺🇦 #Russia vs #Ukraine - Day 258 - Speaking of drones, the following video gives a close-up look at a Shaheed-131, among others.

🟥 The use of Iranian drones has plummeted these days, probably due to a lack of stock. We'll see if the sanctions work...
Read 26 tweets
🇷🇺🔥🇺🇦 #Rusia Vs #Ucrania - Día 258 - Comenzamos #hilo sobre la #GuerraEnUcrania.

🟥 Ayer hablamos de lo suicidas que resultan algunas tácticas. Este T-72B3 avanza junto a trincheras sin limpiar y sin apoyo de infantería, esperando un arma CC... ¡Qué llega!

🟥 #RETWEEET 🙏
🇷🇺🔥🇺🇦 #Rusia Vs #Ucrania - Día 258 - Como cada día, compartimos el enlace a nuestro informe diario sobre la #GuerraEnUcrania, en este caso correspondiente a la jornada de ayer, lunes 7 de noviembre de 2022.

revistaejercitos.com/2022/11/07/gue…
🇷🇺🔥🇺🇦 #Rusia Vs #Ucrania - Día 258 - No tiene ninguna relevancia para el transcurso de la guerra, pero sí resulta curioso que sus operadores hayan decorado este UAV ruso con el acrónimo de la URSS.
Read 31 tweets
🧵Angriffskrieg #Russland|s in der #Ukraine: Was ängstigt die #Bundesregierung unter Führung der #SPD wirklich? Eine Betrachtung und ein Plädoyer. Bei Unterstützung gerne retweeten.

@spdbt
@larsklingbeil
@Bundeskanzler
@ABaerbock
@MAStrackZi
1/25 Nach langen gut acht Monaten elenden Krieges und hoher Blutzollentrichtung, hat die Ukraine beachtliche Erfolge auf dem Schlachtfeld errungen und 50% einstmals okkupierter Gebiete befreit.
2/25 Dazu trugen auch die westlichen Waffenlieferungen maßgeblich bei. Mögen sie auch noch so langsam - und oftmals allem Anschein nach widerwillig, insbesondere aus Deutschland - in die Ukraine transferiert worden sein.
Read 28 tweets
🇷🇺🔥🇺🇦 #Russia vs #Ukraine - Day 256 - Let's go w/ our daily #thread on the #UkraineRussianWar.

🟥Marks represent alleged shoot-downs of a Ukrainian S-300 SAM.
➡️ 13 Shaheed-136
➡️ 15 ALCM
➡️ 1 Su-27
➡️ 1 Forpost

🟥Operator claims there are more on the other side

#RETWEEET🙏 Image
🇷🇺🔥🇺🇦 #Russia vs #Ukraine - Day 256 - #US would have asked #Ukraine to show openness to negotiate with Russia. Not to make a deal, but to ensure it maintains the moral high ground in the eyes of the international community and its partners.
washingtonpost.com/national-secur…
🇷🇺🔥🇺🇦 #Russia vs #Ukraine - Day 256 - The Russian mobilization causes rivers of ink to flow, but:

🟥 What should a modern troop training system look like?

In this #thread, @WarintheFuture explains some key elements that also affect us.
Read 23 tweets
🇷🇺🔥🇺🇦 #Rusia Vs #Ucrania - Día 256 - Iniciamos #hilo sobre la #GuerraEnUcrania.

🟥 Las marcas representan los supuestos derribos de un SAM S-300 ucraniano.

➡️ 13 Shaheed-136
➡️ 15 ALCM
➡️ 1 Su-27
➡️ 1 Forpost

🟥 El operador afirma que hay más al otro lado 🫥

🟥 #RETWEEET 🙏
🇷🇺🔥🇺🇦 #Rusia Vs #Ucrania - Día 256 - Este es, para quien no lo haya leído todavía, nuestro informe diario sobre la #GuerraEnUcrania correspondiente a la jornada de ayer, sábado 5 de noviembre de 2022.

revistaejercitos.com/2022/11/05/gue…
🇷🇺🔥🇺🇦 #Rusia Vs #Ucrania - Día 256 - #EEUU habría pedido a #Ucrania que demuestre estar abierta a negociar con Rusia no para llegar a un acuerdo, sino para garantizar que mantiene una posición moral elevada ante la comunidad internacional y sus socios.

washingtonpost.com/national-secur…
Read 25 tweets

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