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Raman Ghavami @Raman_Ghavami
, 3 tweets, 2 min read Read on Twitter
At #TehranSummit Erdogan asked Russia&Iran to allow time so Syrian opposition groups can surrender. This was agreed by Rouhani and Putin. Rouhani:"Mr Putin we should allow all the groups to surrender and give up their arms[as Mr Erdogan mentioned]." Putin:"Yes, absolutely."
Today Erdogan was humiliated by Putin again. Erdogan asked Iran&Russia to change the 3rd clause of the agreement but his request was refused by Putin: "No.We(indirectly he meant Erdogan)aren't representatives of the terrorist groups."
#Russia and #Iran used #Turkey to gain more.
Third Clause:
Erdogan wanted ceasefire in #Idlib in the statement/agreement, However Putin and Rouhani said: We would agree if Syrian opposition groups lay down arms and surrender.
Erdogan lost the game.He has no back up plans/allies as he has betrayed US and Turkey is all alone.
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#TehranSummit #Russia #Iran #Turkey #Idlib

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با توجه به:
عدم اطلاع دادن ترامپ در مورد خروج از سوریه که تا به امروز ترامپ هیچ تصمیمی را بدون اطلاع /مشاوره نتانیاهو عملی نکرده،
انتصاب جدید یک تاجر در سمت وزیر دفاع،
اخبار مربوط به دیدار مقامات ایرانی و آمریکایی در لندن(که صحت دارند)،
فرستادن نامه توسط ج.ا به شخص ترامپ....
عدم ابراز هرگونه نظر از سوی بولتون و پمپئو،
در آینده شاید شاهد چرخش ترامپ در مورد ایران و اخراج پمپئو و بولتون باشیم. برخلاف پمپئو و بولتون، ترامپ در تلاش نیست که علیه ایران تصمیماتی بگیرد که نفع اقتصادی آنچنانی برای آمریکا ندارد.تنها چیزی که ترامپ به آن متعهد است،منافع مادی است.
به نظر می‌رسد که از هم اکنون طرح فشار و شاید هم اخراج(استعفا) بولتون و پمپئو شروع شده. سناتور محبوب ترامپ، از بولتون به خاطر گوش نکردن به رئیس جمهور و اجرای سیاستهای ‘تغییر رژیم’ انتقاد و او را به خاطر گوش نکردن به حرفهای ترامپ سرزنش می کند.
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Options for the Kurds aren't limited. Reaching an agreement with Assad is the last option(out of 3)for the Kurds. One of the main issues with Joost's piece is his lack of knowledge.
Most of territories held by SDF are Arab provinces who strongly oppose Iran-Assad-Russia presence.
Kurds aren't in a weak position as many think. Why has Turkey postponed its attack on the Kurds? Why is Mevlüt Çavuşoğlu asking US to help Turkey to fill the vacuum? The Kurds have cards to play against Turkey and Assad.
Claiming that 'Barzani's Kurds are the enemy of the YPG' is not true. There are disagreements but calling Iraqi Kurds as the enemy of the Syrian Kurds is one of the most ridiculous views ever heard.
Read 4 tweets
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News of releasing ISIS prisoners by the SDF and now handing over oil fields to Assad are not true.
It is psychological warfare campaign on the Kurds.
@syriahr is the source of the news but according to Kurdish sources there have been no agreements between Assad&the Kurds;NOT YET.
Spreading Fake News started again.
First video of US withdrawing. Recorded by my source between Qamishlo-Derik. From Rmelan(airbase)headed towards Iraqi Kurdustan.
@syriahr had punished a photo claiming these lorries were delivering weapons to the Kurds in Iraqi Kurdistan which isn’t true as they were leaving.
Read 4 tweets

Related threads

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(1)
 Amb. @nikkihaley is spot on:

"Haley accused Russia and Iran of having little interest in a political solution and called their actions those of 'cowards interested in a bloody military conquest.'"

#Iran & #Russia, consider yourselves warned.
edition.cnn.com/2018/09/11/pol…
(2)
 "If Assad, Russia and Iran continue down the path they are on, the consequences will be dire," she said.
(3)
 "I also want to reiterate what I said last week to the Assad regime and anyone else contemplating the use of chemical weapons in Syria," Haley added. "The U.S. followed through when we said that we would respond to the use of chemical weapons. We stand by this warning."
Read 8 tweets
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My take-away from #TehranSummit this far is #Russia, #Turkey, #Iran each, by & large, can be satisfied w/ its outcomes. #Moscow & #Tehran realized #Erdogan has bigger assets & higher stakes in #Idlib than, say, in southern #Syria where he let #Assad get the opposition, thus..
..the idea for the summit was to get a deal where all the 3 can secure their bottom-line interests.They didn't fully achieve it since there will be another round of trilateral talks (some time in the future in #Russia) and the parties hope to settle #Idlib issue in #Tehran but..
..(a) #Turkey maintained credibility of the oppoaition (by that good cop-bad cop thing #Erdogan & #Putun played), (b) #Russia got his promise to deal w/ those attacking #Hmeymim (c) #Ankara received time to settle the major task of assorting militants (d)..
Read 4 tweets
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Extraordinary.

Acc. to @BarakRavid sources, #Russia has told #Israel that it'll seek to force #Iran 100km away from #Israeli-held 1974 #Golan line.

That means all territory west of the red line on map (L).

= A truly wild fantasy.

Look where #Iran is now (R); per @ETANA_Syria:
@BarakRavid @ETANA_Syria #Israel has shot down an #Assad regime Sukhoi fighter jet, which took off from T4 Airbase & flew 2km into Israeli airspace.

x2 Patriot SAM missiles were used & multiple messages sent in multiple languages prior to shoot-down.

Another example of #Russia’s value in de-escalation.
@BarakRavid @ETANA_Syria #pt: Just 36hrs ago was #Israel's first operational use of the "David’s Sling" SAM system, used to down #Assad ballistic missiles.

Yesterday, #Russia’s MFA & MOD visited #Jerusalem to firm-up their security arrangements with #Israel.

I wrote that #Moscow is incapable - clearly.
Read 8 tweets
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PRESSER: #Russia's FM #Lavrov & #Jordan/ian FM Safadi:
1. Say they're satisfiedd w/ "close & useful interaction" over #Syria both in trilateral format (w/ #US in Amman) & via Astana where Jordan is observer.
Lavrov says #Rus appreciates JRD mediation b/n #SAA&opposition militants
2. #Lavrov, #Safadi discussed "some concrete measures of how to address issue of #Syria/n refugees in #Jordan."
Both reinforced need to comply w/ trilateral agreements over SW de-escalation zone,including,Lavrov stressed,"part on fight w/ #ISIS, #HTS that control 40% of the area"
3.#Lavrov said the SW zone "remains a priority" since as terrorists get driven out,conditions will be created for return of refugees,incl those based now in #Jordan.
#Moscow insists broad international coop needed to restore #Syria's infrastructure,create jobs...
Read 14 tweets
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#Russia's really going for it at UNSC today: Amb. Nebenzia going all-out tinfoil hat, contradicting himself in rapid time.

- In the space of seconds, he says (1) the #Douma incident was a false-flag chemical attack by rebels & then says (2) there was no chemical attack at all.
U.S. Amb. to UN @nikkihaley:

- I could hold up pictures of babies lying dead next to their mothers, in their diapers, all lying together, dead, ashen blue, open eyes & lifeless, white foam bubbling from their mouths & noses… the very definition of innocent, hiding in basements.
U.S. Amb. to UN @nikkihaley:

"Who does this? Only a monster does this… the monsters behind this have no conscience… the Russian regime is covered in the blood of innocent children.

#Russia & #Iran are to blame… [but] what’s the point in trying to shame these people?
Read 21 tweets

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