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Nate Cohn
@Nate_Cohn
, 3 tweets, 1 min read Read on Twitter
Senate map in 2020 opens a little for Democrats if Texas in play again, but still tough. If Dems lose FL, they'd need 3 for 50/50; 4 if Dougie Jones can't pull it off twice. 5 if Trump wins.
CO, AZ, NC, ME, IA, TX, GA seem like top 7 D shots. Not easy. washingtonpost.com/opinions/beto-…
deleted prior tweet bc i forgot about AZ special
a couple of tweets about MT if Bullock runs, which is a fair thought. seems more plausible than iowa imo
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More from @Nate_Cohn see all

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Nate Cohn
@Nate_Cohn
We got a glimpse of conditions that yield a viable third party bid in 1992, when Perot was tied or even ahead in polls ahead of the DNC.
Here, CBS/NYT in 6/92: B32, P30, C24
Bush app: 34%
Clinton fav/unfav: 16/40
Perot fav/unfav: 26/20
By all measures, status quo less conducive
(I would also argue that Schultz is not as well positioned to take advantage of whatever opening exists as Perot was, but that's a separate question)
Of course, we haven't had many vigorous third party bids.
But it makes sense to me that you'd want to see *both* Trump approval and likely Dem nominee favorability under at least 35, and probably lower, before there was a real opening
Read 4 tweets
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Nate Cohn
@Nate_Cohn
I'm so upset right now. Infuriating game
Forget the Q4 refs. The offensive play calling is outrageous. Wilson is the best player on the field and he wasn't even given a chance to win this game
I really can't remember a more upsetting game. I really don't get upset easily, but "shuffle" on the playbook might have been better offensive playcalling
Read 4 tweets
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Nate Cohn
@Nate_Cohn
The missing NC-9 vote nytimes.com/2018/12/07/ups…
A minor note here--this data will differ somewhat from most other analysis in that I've removed all of the absentee voters who wound up voting by other means (in person on election day or in early voting) or who appear to have change counties since they applied
Interestingly, some (perhaps all, didn't go through) voters who submitted affidavits about people picking up their absentee ballots wound up voting by other means (which makes sense, since clearly they realized something was up)
Read 3 tweets

Related threads

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Q17 TRUMP 2020 ❤❤🇺🇸🇺🇸
@DrSesus8091
@realDonaldTrump BQQM He DID it!! 5.7 Billion bill is getting voted on in #SENATE Who owns Senate?
53-47. Sen Mitch McConnell will present bill votes this week. 328,000 going to loose their jobs. Bye Pelosi!
#Winning
#WeThePeople
#WWG1WGA
#MAGA
@madmandave1011
Trump owns Senate.
Sen.McConnel will present 5.7 billion dollar bill. It's locked & loaded
30 days us almost up. BYE bye
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@neXgenAnon
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Friend or Foe?
@starknightz
1. Boom! Mike Pompeo Delivers Major Anti-Obama Speech in Cairo:
“The Days of Self-inflicted American Shame is Over” (VIDEO) ~ Jan 10, 2019 News thegatewaypundit.com/2019/01/mike-p…

#Trump #Qanon #NEWS @realDonaldTrump #WWG1WGA
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Facts Central
@StillDelvingH
Who funds the IEA, the TPA, the ASI &co?
You know, the RW 'free trade' thick tanks advocating tax havens, "freedom" (no regulations like workers' rights or environmental protection), no welfare (no tax & no free healthcare).
Basically, "Only the wealthier survive" philosophy?
1/n
*Could it be* that it has something to do with defending their funders' interests?
Today, I'm going to tell you the Thick Tanks' Hydra tale.
Featuring Atlas, huge piles of money, tradition, "free speech", useful idiots and a very clear agenda that Brexit/Trump are a part of.
2/n
Take a seat: It's a long story, with a lot of players, including politicians, pretty ladies squatting your TV, the climate change denial's network, the global fascist movement, Silicon Valley/multiname data-stealing/misusing company & private companies' involved in elections.
3/n
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snarke
@snarke
So #Trump is holding a news conference in about five minutes. I’ll be watching (and probably tweeting). Follow/mute at will!
Okay, #Trump has started speaking. He's already slurring. He's already made a joke about "a lot of......MEDIA.".

This does not bode well.
#Trump is now saying that China wants to "see me lose an election because they've never been challenged before."

It's not just China, pal.
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Zach Everson
@Z_Everson
Trump Hotels' website still lists Trump SoHo New York among its properties in the Our Hotels menu. Select its name though to access its page and there's a message about it being renamed

bit.ly/2EPCSy1
National politics correspondent for Newsweek, Nina Burleigh, with a fun find on a TV above the bar at the Trump Hotel DC bit.ly/2E37QRR
Two errors in the 2nd graf of Breitbart's Trump Hotel DC article:
-holdings aren't out of @realDonaldTrump's hands: trust isn't blind & he can profit from it
-Trump Org told Congress it was estimating foreign receipts—not auto donating in full
bit.ly/2CpL7z2
Read 1562 tweets
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Corentin Sellin
@CorentinSellin
Symbolique du mépris:#Trump contraint à l'unité et au rassemblement par #LasVegas sur le"continent"US se"lâche"à #PuertoRico...RT+
2)#Trump à #PuertoRico peut continuer de cibler et jeter en pâture la maire de San Juan, 1 femme hispanique...thehill.com/homenews/admin…
3)#Breaking L'image du"secours"/don à la #Trump à #PuertoRico restera dans les annales déjà riches de sa présidence..
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