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Charles Lister
@Charles_Lister
, 4 tweets, 7 min read Read on Twitter
Amid yesterday's big news, I had a new article published by @CGlobalPolicy, looking at another key emerging trend in #Syria:

- "The U.S.-EU Divergence on #Syria's Future"

cgpolicy.org/articles/the-u…
This is very good by @jbdacey & follows on neatly from my article (above) from Dec 2018:

- "No time to go wobbly on #Syria - #Assad needs #Europe’s recognition. Don’t give it away for free"

politico.eu/article/eu-syr…
In this by @anchalvohra, #Europe is presented as divided on #Syria by geography (i.e. south & east back re-engaging w. #Assad), but that's not quite accurate.

Though policies haven't yet changed, key states like #UK, #France & #Germany are all wavering.

foreignpolicy.com/2019/03/08/eur…
@anchalvohra #pt: For more on the slippery paths being paved re. #Syria/#Assad in #Europe, and particularly within its key 'western' capitals, see my piece from Dec 2018, for @CGlobalPolicy, here:

cgpolicy.org/articles/the-u…
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Charles Lister
@Charles_Lister
This piece is extraordinary & cunningly misleading.

- All "senior" #UK officials he cites have been long-time apologists for #Assad & invited guests in #Damascus.

- The author makes so many false claims I lost count & he never once acknowledges *any* violent act by the regime.
Ok, let’s start at the beginning:

(1) The idea that the #Assad regime has become “indispensable” to #Turkey & “the Kurds” (whatever that means) is palpably ridiculous. #Russia maybe, not #Damascus.

(2) Regime forces have *not* entered Manbij, they are villages away, to the SW.
(3) Cavusoglu’s comments are *no different* as those made in #Europe & the US; based on a free/fair election, which is extremely unlikely anytime soon.

(4) That’s (Baath = solution) the author’s opinion, not that of any of the actors he’s mentioned so far (#Turkey & #Kurds).
Read 8 tweets
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Charles Lister
@Charles_Lister
There is a possibility of an announcement today. That’s if the collective U.S. government is unable to push back against #Trump - as it did earlier in the year after his comments in #Ohio.

More than anything, this is an extraordinary insult to the recent efforts of Amb. Jeffrey.
#pt: #Trump told #Turkey’s #Erdogan of his intentions by phone on Friday last week.

Coming in the context of Turkish threats to intervene in NE #Syria, the message to the #YPG/#SDF couldn’t be any worse. The US will abandon “the Kurds” again, if #Trump gets his way here.
#pt: Worse still, this’ll be music to the ears of #ISIS, #Assad, #Russia & #Iran.

#Trump isn’t only doing what #Obama did in leaving #Iraq prematurely, he’s doing it in an environment in which #America’s adversaries will benefit: jihadis, #Iran and #Russia.

Unbelievable hubris.
Read 10 tweets
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Charles Lister
@Charles_Lister
My goodness: here's a prime example of policy advocacy on #Syria based either on ignorance, or [hopefully not] malign intent.

This is *riddled* with inaccuracy & misinformation.

@steelejourno says the West should force an opposition surrender in #Syria:

theguardian.com/commentisfree/…
@steelejourno #pt: @steelejourno says the US, UK & #France are “less honorable” in seeking to delay #Syria & #Russia’s “success” in regaining territory.

- They seek to enable a meaningful political process, in which there’s an opposition entity to sit at the table. I’d say that is honorable.
@steelejourno #pt: Here, @steelejourno says UK, US, France & "Gulf Arab monarchies” want ceasefires to protect rebels, not civilians.

In #Idlib, nothing could be further from the truth. None of those countries have *any* ties to rebel groups in #Idlib, who only equal ~0.5% of the population.
Read 10 tweets

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Tore Hamming
@ToreRHamming
BIG NEWS:
Jaysh al Malahim officially joins new al-Qaida merger Hurras ad Deen in #Syria
Jaysh al-Malahim is led by Abu Abdurahmaan Al-Makki, a Saudi cleric that was previously with Jund al-Aqsa but who left to join HTS.
Here follows the rest:
Jaysh al-Badiya, Jaysh al Sahel and Sarya Kabul
Read 3 tweets

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