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David Henig
@DavidHenigUK
, 4 tweets, 2 min read Read on Twitter
The state of UK politics - the Government would rather threaten Parliament rather than work with MPs. All part of the continuing maladministration of saying this deal is the best and only option and alternatives cannot be tolerated
This is not what should happen in a stable democracy. Other countries have harboured worries for a while but concern is now growing. They see how a referendum and stubborn PM can destabilise the entire political system.
Alternate view below but I think MPs have to hold their nerve and wait for Monday to see what indicative votes 2 could bring. Because as many have said, a blind Brexit to be followed by new leadership is scarcely a recipe for stability.
Meanwhile the latest @pmdfoster thread contains the modicum of good news that a long extension should be possible. But we're at the mercy of the EU...
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David Henig
@DavidHenigUK
For those concerned about the stability of different Brexit options like a Customs Union a Withdrawal Agreement passed by a handful of votes under intense whipping at the 4th attempt would scarcely be the basis for stability
No deal is inherently unstable because even its adherents want deals with the EU, and every country seeks agreements with neighbours. I don't see why Customs Union or Common Market 2.0 are any less stable than the Withdrawal Agreement.
At some point, unless we revoke Article 50, we're going to have to work out how to negotiate with the EU to get close to what we want. We haven't been able to do this in three years as we haven't had a realistic ask.
Read 5 tweets
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David Henig
@DavidHenigUK
Puts a different spin on the failure of MPs to reach a Brexit decision - a PM convinced only she has the answer to Brexit is trying to stop a majority for anything else which would in turn prove her wrong. And most of her MPs blindly follow.
The main reason we are in the Brexit mess is that the PM is convinced she has the perfect Brexit solution, and Parliament disagrees. The PM will not budge, convinced she is also protecting the conservative party, while actually causing it great damage.
Expectations must be another meaningful vote soon as the PM has no other play (she's not a secret no-dealer or remainer, she just believes she is right). There may be no perfect Brexit solution, but with this PM there's not even any debate allowed on it.
Read 4 tweets
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David Henig
@DavidHenigUK
IF the numbers are anything like this then we face the interesting question of how the Government respond given that many, perhaps even the majority, would accept Common Market 2.0, but it crosses the PM's personal reddest of red lines
I imagine this Government would respond to a victory for Common Market 2.0 with the maturity we have come to expect over the last three years, i.e. none whatsoever, and would probably deny that such a result meant anything, on the evidence of today
Anyway, let's see, the suspicion is that Common Market 2.0 will not pass due to supporters of a second referendum voting against it, and vice versa.
Read 3 tweets

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Steve Analyst
@EmporersNewC
Dear Parliamentarians,

You will be debating today on a number of issues and from time to time "implement the result" and "respect democracy" will be said. Since there seems to be some confusion around these terms, I've written this helpful guide.
1. In the days of the monarchy, people ruled by accident of birth. The job came with a duty to the country and its people.
2. Some monarchs didn’t live up to their duties and this tended to result in wars or revolutions. Democracy was seen as a solution to this. Our leaders come from us, they are hired and fired by us, and we make the rules so we follow the rules.
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Alberto Nardelli
@AlbertoNardelli
1. Let’s assume that the reason for extending article 50 is to provide the UK with the space & time to revisit its redlines, and the two sides to then rework the political declaration.

This still leaves EU27 with the question of length - short or long extension.
2. Argument for short extension: enough time for MPs to hold indicative votes, and for the withdrawal agreement to then pass on the basis of the two sides making commitments on the effects of the results of those votes being implemented. eg when UK implements X then Y happens
3. Long extension argument: UK MPs don’t have a proven track record of making quick decisions. They need more time. The risk in this scenario is political: regardless of the reasons for an extension granted today, these could be disrupted by an election, a new gov’t & parliament.
Read 4 tweets
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Alexander
@37paday
1/ MPs!!!!!!!!!!!!!!

Your country needs you
2/ In 2016 you held an advisory referendum the result of which apparently is now binding
3/ You failed to consider what you would do if there was a narrow result either way or what would happen if Northern Ireland, Scotland or Gibraltar voted remain but the rest of the UK voted leave
Read 42 tweets
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Peter Foster
@pmdfoster
So Theresa May arrives at EU summit and, like a dream sequence, repeats that "considerable progress" has been made since Salzburg but "problems remain on Northern Ireland backstop".

So what can we say back in the real world? /1
UK Negotiators just spent nine days straight reaching about as far as they can go on #Brexit fudges.

In summary, the EU will NOT give the UK an all-UK customs backstop. But it WILL agree to an all-UK customs arrangement in the future relationship document.

This didn't fly./2
When @MichelBarnier addresses EU leaders tonight, he will have to give an honest assessment of whether more talks can really move this on - in the absence of "new facts" as @eucopresident Donald Tusk put it.

Hard to see how - at which point the ball may be back in May's court /3
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@sibeledmonds
#Khashoggi Case Thread: I am going to ‘pin’ this post to use it as an ‘Info Thread’ on the #Khashoggi Case. I am in #Turkey. I’ve been following the case closely and with access to sources & experts here. This is a very ‘sensitive’ criminal case due to ‘Diplomatic Booby Traps’!!!
The Evidence Obtained Outside Cameras will not show any evidence of ‘tempering’ but other than license plates of dozens of diplomatic cars (Many with tinted windows-large trunks) with related time stamp, drivers Info, model/year: Nothing.
#Turkish Intel-Investigative Bodies also have the list of all Diplomatic & Private Saudi & “other significant’ Planes in #Turkey for the period of ‘interest.’ Many of the Target airports have their own security cameras & related evidence.
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@oulosP
BREAKING: The White House has said that US President #Trump is canceling his upcoming South America trip to remain in the US "to oversee the American response to Syria." - @NBCNews
This sounds like the US is planning to strike #Syria and Trump will remain in the US to closely monitor responses by #Russia. This is terrible.
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