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Sam Lowe

@SamuelMarcLowe

, 3 tweets, 2 min read Read on Twitter

@DPManchee

@DPManchee

Interesting chart in BOE paper (h/t @DPManchee).

Paper suggests that asymmetric trade liberalisation of goods (lot) relative services (not so much) could explain why UK (and other net-services exporters) current account deficit bigger than should be.

bankofengland.co.uk/-/media/boe/fi…

I'm ... not sure. Need to think about this some more. Not convinced of causal link between current accounts and trade policy. Hmmmm.

Paper estimates that UK current account deficit would be 0.7% of GDP narrower if all countries reduced services trade barriers to the level of least restrictive country.

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@MatthewOToole2

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literallyjustq

@literallyjustq

A little thread, which I may come back to, for all those #technophobes who blame rise in #suicide on #socialmedia.

First: legit, what rise?
Second: The actual experts do not agree with you, and your fear-mongering is likely causing more harm than good.

cf. Thomas, K, and Gunnell, D. (2010). Suicide in England and Wales 1861–2007: a time-trends analysis. International Journal of Epidemiology, Volume 39, Issue 6, December 2010, Pages 1464–1475.

So, first the data, from #UK (above) and elsewhere (below).

Clearly if this epidemic was *caused* by a *single* factor it would permeate all societies with social media.

[Suicide Rates for Teens Aged 15–19 Years, by Sex — United States, 1975–2015, #USA]

Read 63 tweets

Penny Midas Rollo

@PennyMidasRollo

@lawyers4britain

001/ [article content in this tweet series 001-180 reproduced with permission from Martin Howe QC of Lawyers for Britain @lawyers4britain]
#quote "Leaving the EU on WTO terms: pulling down the barriers to world trade
Introduction: why prices will FALL after Brexit, not rise" /002

002/ #quote "Over the past couple of weeks, the media have been full of lurid scare stories about what will happen if the UK leaves the EU on WTO terms, because negotiations with the EU do not result in a withdrawal agreement." /003

#tariffs #NoDeal #Brexit #WTO #ProjectFear #shortages #food #medicines
003/ #quote "One of the most ridiculous and UNJUSTIFIED of these absurd scare stories is that it will lead to higher prices, and even shortages, of foods and medicines." /004

Read 180 tweets

Millennial Macro

@MillennialMacro

#demographics #militaries #economies #currencies
#USA
- Best demographics
- Largest military
- Largest economy
- Most used currency
- Liquid financial markets
- Open capital account
- Rule of law
- Best geography
- Can be self sufficient if required
- Not trade dependent

#USA
Top trade partners as of 30 June 2018:
- China: 15.2% (strategic competitor)
- Canada: 15.1%
- Mexico: 14.6%
- Japan: 5.1%
- Germany: 4.4%

The next 10 years could result in the below:
- Mexico (25%)
- Canada (20%
- Japan (7%)
- South Korea (5%)
- Great Britain (4%)

#USA
Bring the manufacturing (jobs) home while negatively impacting China's economy.
forbes.com/sites/kenrapoz…
cebglobal.com/talentdaily/au…
irishtimes.com/business/econo…

Read 131 tweets

Maxim A. Suchkov

@MSuchkov_ALM

#Russia's UN envoy Nebenzya starts speaking at UNSC meeting on #Syria, alleged #ChemicalAttacks in #Douma, promises "he'd have to say a lot and the delegates'd have to listen"
1."#UK, #France follow #US in destructive policies in SYR, use blackmail, threaten RUS,

2.Even during #ColdWar Western diplomats didn't afford such tone vis-a-vis #Russia, "You understand what you did [in #MIddleEast]?No, you don't!Will you ever stop your geopolitical experiments?Do you understand what dangerous line you are driving the world to?

3.What's next for us?The most dangerous line of the confrontation is in #Syria.
In #EasternGhouta radicals have been terorrizing population for many years. Now people are being freed..But external sponsors prevent this progress.Terrorists wanted to continue blackmailing civilians

Read 49 tweets

Psych Rabble

@PsychRabble

view original on Twitter

Start of retweeted thread on implicit bias.

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by @PsychRabble view original on Twitter

For lay followers: "implicit bias" is routinely presented or interpreted as evidence of prejudice & discrimination. ow.ly/Knw530fywwR

"Implicit bias" was once presumed to be prejudices that people do not even know they hold. Terms like "automatic prejudice" and "unconscious prejudice" were thrown around as if this was well established, which it never was and still isn't.

Read 43 tweets

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