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Should we trust Twitter sweepstakes on the Tory leadership contest? I've asked my own #QTWTAIN @indyminds independent.co.uk/voices/editors…
The chance of UK leaving EU this year is 38%, according to bookies, that is, 62% that we'll still be in on 1 Jan oddschecker.com/politics/brexi…
Guess how many days Boris Johnson will be PM: enter the sweepstake here docs.google.com/forms/d/e/1FAI…
310 entries so far: mean 400 days, median 140, mode 99 
