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David Henig
@DavidHenigUK
, 3 tweets, 2 min read Read on Twitter
As I've been saying for several weeks - it will not be easier to negotiate a Free Trade Agreement with the EU than the Withdrawal Agreement. In fact it will be harder. It will come with more conditions than the current offer. theguardian.com/politics/2019/…
I wrote four weeks ago as to why the Free Trade Agreement the Brexiteers are talking about is not deliverable, it is just the latest installment of putting off making major decisions about what Brexit means. ecipe.org/blog/isolation…
The UK runs the risk of being rejected for Free Trade Agreements by both EU and US. The policy approach of the last few days is not sustainable - it needs to be challenged quickly.

irishcentral.com/opinion/irish-…
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David Henig
@DavidHenigUK
Without even reading the article you can see the problem here. Show the EU Government is serious about no-deal. Which Parliament may scupper.

Incentive for EU to engage - nil.

We really need media to explain accurately what negotiations involve.
On media misunderstanding Brexit negotiations see also this a couple of weeks ago in the Spectator from @bbcnickrobinson - a Chief Negotiator's exact job is to manage their own side, to find out what is acceptable, which is why the UK not having one is such a problem.
@bbcnickrobinson Oops, on the first tweet am told if I'd read beyond the headline this story would say correctly the EU won't respond without knowing Parliament was supporting the PM. Whether they'll respond even then I doubt, but on this occasion mea culpa... (and @JGForsyth is usually good...)
Read 3 tweets
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David Henig
@DavidHenigUK
On the other hand:

- Free Ports sound good
- Can pretend EU rules prevented them in the past
- Action without the boring bit of deciding rationale
- Plenty of opportunities for corruption (free ports are a nice gift to a locality)
And if Sam wrote about it then Dmitry must, by trade geek law, have done similarly...
The serious analysis of free ports by @pholmes8 @uk_tpo - they probably don't achieve a lot, you still need to follow WTO disciplines, and most importantly ensure this isn't just about relocation from one place to another blogs.sussex.ac.uk/uktpo/publicat…
Read 4 tweets
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David Henig
@DavidHenigUK
Very grateful for the positive reaction to this Irish backstop explainer. There were of course criticisms - Northern Ireland is not contested but fully part of the UK, London has no basis for a claim, why do we need border checks anyway - mostly from anonymous accounts...
A few comments along the lines of "why shouldn't the EU compromise more?" - for which I think it worth pointing out how unique but also fragile is the EU Single Market. Many countries e.g. US, Canada have different rules in the same country, it is hard to create a single market
Ironically of course it was the UK who provided much of the vision to create and deepen the single market, and those involved would understand that such a single market needs protective borders. The Conservative Party in particular rebelled at their own creation...
Read 3 tweets

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Ian Dunt
@IanDunt
Right just catching up with parliament after recording @RemainiacsCast.
@RemainiacsCast Fucking great episode btw. @johnharris1969 guest. It's full on and I think has some quite important insights in it.
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Flick Ruby
@FlickRubicon
What has @wikileaks has taught and shown us about the negotiation of secret #trade​ ​agreements? A thread. Add information you've found to be in the public interest that whistleblowers have trusted to the #WikiLeaks archive. #WikiLeaksIsAPublisher #Assange #SubstanceOverSmea​r
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Penny Midas Rollo
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001/ [article content in this tweet series 001-180 reproduced with permission from Martin Howe QC of Lawyers for Britain @lawyers4britain]
#quote "Leaving the EU on WTO terms: pulling down the barriers to world trade
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Millennial Macro
@MillennialMacro
#demographics #militaries #economies #currencies
#USA
- Best demographics
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- Largest economy
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- Best geography
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Top trade partners as of 30 June 2018:
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- Canada: 15.1%
- Mexico: 14.6%
- Japan: 5.1%
- Germany: 4.4%

The next 10 years could result in the below:
- Mexico (25%)
- Canada (20%
- Japan (7%)
- South Korea (5%)
- Great Britain (4%)
#USA
Bring the manufacturing (jobs) home while negatively impacting China's economy.
forbes.com/sites/kenrapoz…
cebglobal.com/talentdaily/au…
irishtimes.com/business/econo…
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Julie Laumann 🌎
@Otpor17
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