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Breaking: sources are suggesting a Brexit deal is now within sight, and that a text is taking shape. One source speaks of "guarded optimism"
2/ Much will depend on how far the EU is prepared to relax its demand that regulatory alignment and the customs issue are legally operable, and how far the UK has been prepared to be nudged back to the NI-only backstop
...in other words, EU not likely to relax those demands very much...
3/ Negotiators still hard at it and it could go beyond a notional midnight deadline into the early hours. Any text would first go to the College of Commissioners tomorrow morning, and a meeting of EU27 ambassadors at 14hr CET
4/ Caution: not over the line, but one source says they are "as optimistic" as they have been in a while
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More from @tconnellyRTE see all

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Tony Connelly
@tconnellyRTE
Irish govt welcomes the extension decision which "averts the risk of a disruptive No Deal Brexit"

Spokesman says: "The Government welcomes the decision of the EU27 to grant another extension to the UK
2/ "This averts the risk of a disruptive 'no deal' Brexit. The decision extends the deadline to the end of January, but allows for an earlier exit by the UK if ratification is completed quickly
3/ "We hope the extra time will be used to ensure that the Withdrawal Agreement agreed between the UK and EU27 is ratified, enabling an orderly Brexit"
Read 3 tweets
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Tony Connelly
@tconnellyRTE
Breaking: Taoiseach Leo Varadkar will say shortly that Ireland supports a Brexit extension to January 31 2020, following a phone call with @eucopresident President Tusk
Both men “noted that it would still be possible for the UK to leave before January 31 2020 if the Withdrawal Agreement has been ratified in advance of that date.”
EU27 ambassadors will discuss the issue at 1730 CET in Brussels
Read 3 tweets
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Tony Connelly
@tconnellyRTE
Julian Smith: Article 2 of Protocol states it's "without prejudice to the provisions of the GFA in respect of the constitutional status of NI, + the principle of consent, which provides that any change in that status can only be made with the consent of the majority of its people
Responding to repeated questioning from Lady Sylvia Hermon MP as to why the consent mechanism in the deal is different to the consent formula in the GFA, Smith says the following:
"The Assembly rules have been laid down and carefully calibrated for the responsibilities the Assembly has. The GFA is clear that in exceptional matters, and reserve matters incl international agreements its going to be a different mechanism.
Read 6 tweets

Related threads

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Sotiri Dimpinoudis
@sotiridi
#Breaking: Just in - The New #Brexit deal with the European Union has been approved in a vote in British Parliament just now, making this a huge step and victory for Prime Minister Boris Johnson in leaving on October the 31st #UK #EU
#Update: The MPs have voted 329 for and 299 against to allow the new #Brexitbill to move to the next stage, to be voted upon next to leave the European Union on October the 31st. #UE #UK #Brexit
#Breaking: Just in - The motion to advance this #BrexitBill within the next 3 days to be voted upon, in the house of commons has failed, making this a close call and maybe a delay in a #Brexit with the European Union. #EU #UK
Read 3 tweets
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katya adler
@BBCkatyaadler
EU views PMs letter accompanying his formal #Brexit extension request - saying that he doesn’t actually want an extension- as a gimmick aimed at a domestic audience. As far as EU law is concerned: a formal request from the UK prime minister, is a formal request full stop /1
EU leaders not rushing to make decisions. Instead they watch events in Westminster carefully. If their newly negotiated #Brexit deal is approved by the majority of MPs - as the PM promised them it would be - then possibly no extension will be needed OR /2
Only a short one maybe to allow for necessary legislation to be completed. If this is the case, EU leaders won’t think twice about granting this short extension. They may even approve it by writing rather than on person at an emergency #Brexit summit. Spoiler alert../3
Read 12 tweets
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katya adler
@BBCkatyaadler
EU dreading this delay almost as much as the government. No intention in Brussels to renegotiate this deal AGAIN /1
Don’t expect any immediate action from EU. They watch carefully what unfolds in UK. They will not rush to answer a request for a new extension if receive it from UK. They want to keep pressure up on MPs /2
EUs legal #Brexit deadline remains 11pm in UK on 31 October. All EU leaders will return to Brussels for emergency summit to debate any new extension but they *could* do so as late as 31 October itself /3
Read 5 tweets
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tony nog #Revoker
@tony_nog
Can we have a Labour #Brexit reality check please?
1) lot of good people getting themselves all bent out of shape on the #LibDems policy of #RevokeA50 without really absorbing that this is all about Labour zigzagging on a #FinalSay

It's Corbyn's fault for demanding a GE!
2) a reminder of recent history.

Anti #Brexit/no deal groups focused on a #PeoplesVote 2 years ago. Labour conference last year tried to push Corbyn into an unambiguous PV stance with a ton of CLPs putting motions forward - they were sidelined
3) the Labour powers that be morphed 100s of "we want a PV" motions into "we want a GE, if we can't get that, we look at other options, one of which might be a PV"

This happened - and it allowed Corbyn to fuck about for 2 years
Read 13 tweets
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⚢⚧🌸Sakura No Seirei🌸
@SakuraNoSeirei
#Brexit news for today:

Nigel Adams, Minister for Wales, and Governement whip has resigned the #Cabinet over #TheresaMay's way forward.

1/n
You can hear #TheresaMay's reaction from here

2/n
So the splitting of the #ToryParty continues. Where will it end? And can we expect resignations from #Labour if #Corbyn is seen as giving up too much to #TheresaMay during the discussions tonight.

3/n
Read 92 tweets
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Nick🇬🇧🇪🇺
@nicktolhurst
Small thread to confidently predict the #Brexit end game. Quite simply there is no other plausible scenario then this..

1/ increasingly clear what will happen with #Brexit. The EU will take the #Chequers deal, tweak it, likely beyond recognition, so it fits them.
2/ ..as there is now no time left for negotiations, May will have little resistance to EU. It will be a Canada+ deal with as many optional extras that prompt payment of £39bn can buy - probably not that much. NIreland will be fudged.

Then the great House of Commons showdown...
3/ the great parliamentary showdown simply won’t happen. 650 MPs will be faced with horrible but ultimately easy choice: a lousy deal or a catastrophic no deal. 200 Tory MPs will back govt. it will only take a few dozen Labour MPs to abstain or vote for #brexit and it will pass.
Read 11 tweets

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