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, 3 tweets, 1 min read
Lots of chat of EU relying on indicative vote in Commons. Can see the attraction. That helps gets Johnson past detail problem. Says 'trust me' to DUP and ERG, bung em cash, secure mandate, then short tech extension for details.
If it passed, EU and Johnson would try to turn into totemic moment. But ultimately, those details have to come out sometime. And any vote against actual withdrawal agreement would obvs negate indicative vote.
Period after Oct 31 would turn into guerrilla campaign.
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Ian Dunt
@IanDunt
This is very interesting. Would mean that extension request would still be sent Saturday. Govt forced to publish the legislation of the deal, likely increasing number of rebellions.
It increases time for MPs to scrutinise and the information they have available to do so. It is basically a defence against getting bounced into a decision on an artificial timetable.
There are signatories there who are currently pro deal, suggesting that if opposition parties get behind it, it can pass
Read 3 tweets
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Ian Dunt
@IanDunt
Ok, nervous moment now. Let's see what's in it and what happens next.
Caution on all those saying DUP on board. Don't believe it until you hear it from them. Could be attempt to bounce them into it.
Main non-DUP issue for Johnson now. If it's an indicative vote on general basis for deal, it won't work to stop the Benn Act forcing a request for an extension. But if it is a detailed legal text, the ERG will see all the little gremlins in it, like ECJ jurisdiction.
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Ian Dunt
@IanDunt
What a dismal spectacle this has been. They were told it was unworkable and unethical right from the start. They ignored it and ploughed ahead anyway. And now here we are.
Based on nonsense evidence, nonsense research and nonsense policies, drawn up nonsense ministers.
And then finally to be presented with the insane proposition that people should hand over their private details to pornographers, working with government, so they could exercise their rights as adults to look at naked people. The most godawful morally demented gibberish.
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