1/ Here Putin Erdogan deal. Let me explain the new ground reality in my opinion:
a/ No war, no resumption of Turkish offensive.
b/ No mass exodus of civilians.
c/ Syria & Russia take over YPG/SDF territory.
d/ De facto end of Kurdish "Autonomous Admin of North &ESyria"
@akhbar
a/ No war, no resumption of Turkish offensive.
b/ No mass exodus of civilians.
c/ Syria & Russia take over YPG/SDF territory.
d/ De facto end of Kurdish "Autonomous Admin of North &ESyria"
@akhbar
e/ No 440km long x 32km deep Turkish safe zone in N-Syria, "only" 120km x 32km area btwn Ras alAyn &TalAbyad.
f/ Remaining 320km x 32km border area in hands of Syria/Russia.
g/ Joined Russia/Turkey patrols 10km deep in Syria.
h/ Turkey accepts return of Syrian gov army to border.
f/ Remaining 320km x 32km border area in hands of Syria/Russia.
g/ Joined Russia/Turkey patrols 10km deep in Syria.
h/ Turkey accepts return of Syrian gov army to border.
3/ After Putin-Erdogan deal. This remains unclear to me:
a/ Will Russia and Turkey patrols enter towns such as Kobani or Derik which are within 10 km zone?
b/ Where will YPG/SDF go? Integrate into Syrian gov army? Simply remove uniform &go home? Leave to East Syria, North Iraq?
a/ Will Russia and Turkey patrols enter towns such as Kobani or Derik which are within 10 km zone?
b/ Where will YPG/SDF go? Integrate into Syrian gov army? Simply remove uniform &go home? Leave to East Syria, North Iraq?
4/ Art of the deal clearly goes to Putin.
a/ Civilians in North Syria won't be resettled.
b/ Syrian army retakes N-Syria, no bullet fired.
c/ SDF under Russian mercy.
d/ U.S. out of North Syria.
e/ Erdogan commits to Syria territorial unity. Idlib operation only matter of time.
a/ Civilians in North Syria won't be resettled.
b/ Syrian army retakes N-Syria, no bullet fired.
c/ SDF under Russian mercy.
d/ U.S. out of North Syria.
e/ Erdogan commits to Syria territorial unity. Idlib operation only matter of time.
