Thread by @Redistrict

THREAD on races to watch & how to roughly interpret tonight's results:

1. Dems are having a bad/terrible night if they: lose #KYGOV, #MSGOV, fail to take over the VA House of Dels. and only muster a 20-20 tie in VA Senate by picking up #SD13

(unlikely)

2. Dems having a weaker-than-expected night if they:

Lose #KYGOV & #MSGOV

Win VA Senate 21-19 by adding: #SD10 (Sturtevant)

Win VA House of Dels. 51-49 by flipping #HD91 OPEN (Helsel), #HD94 (Yancey) but nothing else

3. Dems having a good (but not terrific) night if they:

Lose #KYGOV & #MSGov

Win VA Senate 23-17 by adding: #SD07 OPEN (Wagner), #SD12 (Dunnavant)

Win VA House of Dels. 53-47 by adding: #HD42 (Hugo), #HD76 (Jones)

4. Dems having a better-than-expected night if they:

Win #KYGOV

Lose #MSGov

Win VA Senate 24-16 by adding: #SD08 (DeSteph)

Win VA House of Dels. 56-44 by adding: #HD28 OPEN (Thomas), #HD66 (Cox), #HD83 (Stolle)

5. Dems entering "Blue Tsunami" territory if they:

Win #KYGOV & #MSGov

Win VA Sen. w/ 25+ seats by adding: #SD11 (Chase) and/or #SD17 (Reeves)

Win VA House of Dels. w/ 57+ by adding any of: #HD27 (Robinson), #HD30 (Freitas), #HD62 OPEN (Ingram), #HD84 (Davis), #HD100 (Bloxom)