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I wanted to take the opportunity to highlight all the work that the @BrookingsInst scholars have published on Iraq, Iran & broader implications over the past few days, plus a few greatest hits from the past & at least one forthcoming. So here goes a long promo thread:
For @PostOutlook I tried analyze how Iran might react. washingtonpost.com/outlook/2020/0…

Wanted to say sincere thanks for generosity here from people I hugely respect incl @RNicholasBurns @SafiraLeaf @tcwittes @leloveluck @dandrezner @McFaul @korischake @rmslim @IvoHDaalder
Here's the quick first take from @BrookingsFP including @MadihaAfzal @RanjAlaaldin @dbyman @AFathollahNejad @tanvi_madan @MichaelEOHanlon @ShibleyTelhami @tcwittes plus Twitter-less Jeffrey Feltman & Bruce Riedel & me: brookings.edu/blog/order-fro…
.@tanvi_madan did a deep dive on the Indian reaction, explaining why “India will have serious concerns about further escalation.” brookings.edu/blog/order-fro…
.@MichaelEOHanlon laid out several next steps to consider: brookings.edu/blog/order-fro…
In a piece first published on @Vox, @dbyman explained by the killing of Soleimani will be a game-changer for the region: brookings.edu/blog/order-fro…
At @lawfareblog, @S_R_Anders asked whether Trump had the legal authority to order Soleimani's killing: lawfareblog.com/did-president-…
.@lawfareblog also quickly organized & produced podcast w/a wide-ranging discussion featuring @benjaminwittes @dbyman @tcwittes @S_R_Anders plus me:lawfareblog.com/lawfare-podcas…
Here are a few more quick takes from me:
The Current podcast: brookings.edu/podcast-episod…
@PRI_The_World: pri.org/file/2020-01-0…
@Vox: vox.com/world/2020/1/3… via @voxdotcom
Finally, a take from the eve of the latest escalation, w/commentary on the attack on US Embassy Baghdad by @RanjAlaaldin @S_R_Anders @dbyman @AFathollahNejad @SHeydemann @MichaelEOHanlon @natansachs @ShibleyTelhami + Jeffrey Feltman, Bruce Riedel & me
brookings.edu/blog/order-fro…
Will follow up w/another thread to share our wider @BrookingsInst research, writing & convening on Iran, Iraq, and the region. Hope it's all useful
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More from @MaloneySuzanne see all

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Suzanne Maloney
@MaloneySuzanne
If you're in the mood for deeper dives & more context on what's happened over the past few days in the Middle East, let me build on my other thread (here: bit.ly/2ZRo9gM) with a look back on some of @BrookingsInst's most relevant research, writing & convenings:
Last year, experts from across @BrookingsInst offered perspectives on the 40th anniversary of the Iranian revolution: brookings.edu/series/irans-r…

The project morphed into a book that will be published next month by @BrookingsPress: brookings.edu/book/the-irani…
In December, renowned journalists @maziarbahari, founder of @iranwire, & @IgnatiusPost joined me to discuss the recent protests in Iran & the vicious govt crackdown. Video, audio & transcript of that discussion is available here: brookings.edu/events/upheava…
Read 24 tweets
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Suzanne Maloney
@MaloneySuzanne
Short thread on domestic political implications of Soleimani strike:

1) Trump's base loves a successful hit-job vs a bad guy & they don't care (nor perhaps does he) if the Middle East goes up in flames as a result. It's totally on brand Trump =>faux toughness+opposite of Obama
2) For 2020 campaign, Trump doesn't need a diplomatic breakthrough in the Middle East. The region can remain in turmoil. His base doesn't care. (Neither tbh do most Americans of any political stripe.) He can tout Soleimani strike, Jerusalem embassy move etc as his 'achievements.'
3) But Trump's base won't rally behind war. Starting yet another messy, costly Middle East war might be the 1 thing that could sink his reelection.

He knows that; he's been campaigning vs Mideast intervention forever.

Of course the Iranians know it too. Therein lies a problem.
Read 5 tweets
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Suzanne Maloney
@MaloneySuzanne
My Twitter feed is overflowing w/insistence these threats are bogus. But many who are so certain in their skepticism today are among the same who've warned that Trump's decision to withdraw from the JCPOA could provoke Iranian retaliation.
None of us operating solely on the basis of open source info can assert authoritatively whether the specific precipitants for heightened concern re: Iran cited today by the Trump administration are real or hyped or some combination thereof.
Let me emphasize (as others have failed to do): it's perfectly predictable that Tehran might retaliate vs US interests & assets in response to the maximum pressure campaign. I warned of that 1 yr ago (here brook.gs/2FWqdZg) & I'm hardly alone. Don't assume this is bogus.
Read 8 tweets

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 Iraqis across central & southern #Iraq are protesting state corruption, high unemployment, poor living conditions & most importantly, #Iran’s meddling in their country.
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Heshmat Alavi
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