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Official #China #coronavirus figures today: infected 74,677; additional probably infected 4,922; Recovered 16,588; dead 2,122 (yes we all know the figures don't capture all cases). Over 24 hours #Hubei added only an extra 349 cases compared to around 1,700 the day before.
Buuuuut! Would you believe that #Hubei has gone back to the old way of counting "infected" #coronavirus cases again. So, apart from providing an explanation for a drop in cases, we now have the trend mapping messed up again. So in Hubei back to needing a lab result to be counted.
This is problematic because given the flawed nature of the counting (definitely not catching all cases) the most useful aspect of the official #coronavirus numbers has been watching the trend to see if the sickness spreading/receding. Each time the accounting changes it stuffs it
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Stephen McDonell
@StephenMcDonell
This is looking like a thumping victory for the pro-democracy camp in #HongKong and complete wipe out for the pro-Beijing camp. Right now Democracy camp 115 v pro-establishment 9 !!! Catastrophic loss for Carrie Lam’s administration.
That is unless there are lots of pro-establishment results to come in?
This is extraordinary! 142 to 13 !!! Absolute political annihilation for the pro-Beijing camp and resounding victory for the pro-democracy movement. How is the #HongKong government going to spin this? #China
Read 7 tweets
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Stephen McDonell
@StephenMcDonell
After the approved rally in Victoria Park finished groups of #HongKong pro-democracy activists discuss where to go next, some towards Causeway Bay. Many police in North Point where people from the mainland’s Fujian Province have threatened retaliation if protestors come there
People in #HongKong’s Causeway Bay watching street clashes live on the Kowloon side of the Harbour in Sham Shui Po. #China
Now blocking the street in Causeway Bay shopping district. They’re safe here for a few hours because police will not want to tear gas tourists etc. #HongKong #China
Read 11 tweets
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Stephen McDonell
@StephenMcDonell
Wow! Reports that #USA, #Britain, #Australia, #Canada, #Japan #Germany etc set to call out #China Ministry of StateSecurity hackers including indictments. Allegation is that it’s been to steal intellectual property. It’ll be a firey session at Chinese Foreign Ministry tomorrow.
Plus looks like sanctions on #China could follow. So much for those happy trade war negotiations. #USA
2 Chinese citizens named ZhuHua & ZhangShilong have been named as hackers linked to #China’s Ministry of StateSecurity+now facing #USA indictments re alleged theft of sensitive commercial secrets. US officials say there’s massive systemic hacking backed by the Chinese Government
Read 13 tweets

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World Health Organization (WHO)
@WHO
Daily media briefing on #COVID19 with @DrTedros pscp.tv/w/cRqqbzI2MTAy…
@DrTedros "As of 6am GVA time today, #China has reported 70,635 cases of #COVID19 to WHO, including 1772 deaths.

In the past 24 hours 🇨🇳 has reported 2051 new cases, which includes both clinically- & lab-confirmed cases.

94% of new cases continue to come from Hubei province"-@DrTedros
@DrTedros "Outside #China, WHO has received reports of 694 #COVID19 cases from 25 countries & three deaths.

As more data comes in from 🇨🇳, we’re starting to get a clearer picture of the outbreak, how it’s developing & where it could be headed"-@DrTedros #coronavirus
Read 15 tweets
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Tuomas Malinen
@mtmalinen
There are some deep misconceptions about the ability of #China to recover from the economic fallout of #coronavirus relatively quickly.

In this thread, I explain why this is unlikely, and why it's not China we should be truly worried about.

Let's start with the facts. 1/
It has been obvious for a while that China's economic growth lays in unsustainable ground.

If we deduct the growth of debt on the growth of GDP, we get an estimate on the 'organic' growth rate for Chinese #economy.

Which has been negative since 2011 (till 2017). 2/
This, unsurprisingly, has led to another pressing problem. China's productivity growth turned negative in 2012.

This, quite simply, means that China has been accumulating vast amounts of unprofitable investments, at least since 2011. 3/
Read 12 tweets
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Cara TXZEAL
@Cara_TXZEAL
🦠🚨🦠 Coronavirus daily thread.
Yes I am late starting it today.

Now confirmed Coronavirus can live on surfaces 9 days.
Surfaces can be disinfected.

If not, it is transmissible from surface contact w/out immediate hand washing w/hot water & soap or effective sanitizer.
From China Daily - coronavirus

🦠🚨 Coronavirus "official" updates:

28,364 confirmed globally
566 fatalities

CHI:
3,859 serious
1,153 recovered
24,702 suspected

Read 25 tweets
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Christophe Barraud🛢
@C_Barraud
🇨🇳 #China (1) | The question is no longer if, but how hard, the #coronavirus will damage Chinese economy (and its trading partners) in 1Q20.
🇨🇳 #China (2) | A blockage of 16 cities (~50 million people) coupled with the extension of the Lunar New Year holiday and prohibition for Cos to return to work soon implies that 1Q will fall below 6% for the first time since QoQ figures are recorded.
🇨🇳 #China (3) | The impact will probably broaden from retail sales, tourism/transportation...

Read 93 tweets
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Andrew Erickson 艾立信
@AndrewSErickson
"Today, #China faces the spread of another mysterious disease, a #coronavirus, which so far has killed 17 [+] people & infected > 540 [++]. And while Beijing’s response has improved in some ways, it has #regressed in others. It is #censoring criticism."

nytimes.com/2020/01/22/bus…
"It is detaining people for spreading what it calls 'rumors.' It is suppressing info it deems alarming. Though China’s censors are busily scrubbing the Chinese internet, the... online community is registering its disappointment & alarm over Beijing’s handling of the new virus..."
CCP "has tightened its grip on the internet..media & civil society. It has deeper pockets & a greater ability to control the flow of info.[Thus], many of the media outlets, advocacy groups, activists &others who held the gov't accountable in 2003 have been silenced or sidelined."
Read 25 tweets
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Christophe Barraud🛢
@C_Barraud
🇨🇳 #China will cut export rebate rates to 13% and 9%, respectively, for exports that enjoyed 16% and 10% rebate rates in accordance with value-added tax cuts effective April 1, according to a statement from the Ministry of Finance.
*Link (Chinese): bit.ly/2Tr5h3o
🇨🇳 #China is extending a public holiday to get people to travel and spend more as the government pins its hopes on a vast consumer base to help cushion an economic slowdown - Reuters
reuters.com/article/us-chi…
🇨🇳 #China Regulator Says Financial Markets Can Open More Quickly - Bloomberg
bloomberg.com/news/articles/…
Read 167 tweets

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