a) we cannot know mortality rates because this would require
b) We cannot know what systemic failures may result (e.g., food supply, infrastructure, financial systems) because there is nothing to extrapolate from. Society more interconnected than ever before.
This is the ultimate human illusion... that somewhere there is
We humans seem unable to tolerate the cold fact of uncertainty. We instead construct narratives that appear to make sense of the unknowable. We adjust the narratives retrospectively, to account for every new,
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with gratitude to @nntaleb