#Day6OfLockdown If there are no major hidden pockets of transmission going on, India has deflected from the world’s exponential line. Scenario-1: It will run parallel exponentially, at a lower level. #Covid19India #GlobalPandemic #India #coronavirusinindia 
Scenario-2: With expanded testing, we will detect more, but we might still end up with lower than the exponential trajectories seen UK, US, France, Germany, Australia etc,
Scenario-3: If states with poor containment explode , this might change and catch up with higher exponential trajectory of the world. This is a logarithmic curve, let us read-only how a log curve is read, not as linear models.
Scenario-4: The beneficial effects of reducing the rate of transmission might push the exponential line much lower. This will make India an exceptional case study for the entire world. Also , this would show how mitigation timed with stepwise containment helps. #Covid19India
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Worry that few states aren’t containing that well
Another good news ! doi.org/10.1101/2020.0….
Correlation between universal BCG vaccination policy and reduced morbidity and mortality for COVID-19: an epidemiological study
Aaron Miller, Mac Josh Reandelar, Kimberly Fasciglione, Violeta Roumenova, Yan Li, and Gonzalo H. Otazu*
Correlation between universal BCG vaccination policy and reduced morbidity and mortality for COVID-19: an epidemiological study
Aaron Miller, Mac Josh Reandelar, Kimberly Fasciglione, Violeta Roumenova, Yan Li, and Gonzalo H. Otazu*
Infection Trajectory: See Which Countries are Flattening Their COVID-19 Curve. visualcapitalist.com/infection-traj…
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