BREAKING: If all governments were to meet their promised #NetZero targets, warming in 2100 would be 2.1˚C. Our new analysis - full report here bit.ly/CAT_Nov2020 THREAD
2/ Our estimates include 127 government net zero promises, totalling more than 63% of global emissions. Including China, the US (Biden's promise), Japan, South Korea. bit.ly/CAT_Nov2020
4/ But, all eyes on 2030 targets: not one of the big emitters has strengthened their #ParisAgreement#NDC targets, despite the 2020 deadline. Without strong 2030 targets, #NetZero promises will fail. The emissions gap remains huge. bit.ly/CAT_Nov2020#climate#unfccc
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1/ Governments are largely not making #ClimateChange action central to their COVID-19 recovery packages, despite some signs of good intentions - our new briefing for #CWNY, released today bit.ly/CAT_CWNY_2020
2/ We've analysed the post-#COVID_19#recovery packages of 5 countries: #China, #EU27, #India, #SouthKorea and the #USA. Only two lean towards using the pandemic recovery to address the global #climate crisis: the EU27, and South Korea. First, we looked at overarching packages.
3/ We assessed 106 domestic measures across the 5 countries, differentiating between overarching packages & individual interventions, and rated them. The picture is not the most encouraging.
2/ For all #transport in all countries, low carbon fuels (#electricity, #hydrogen or #biomass) need to be at ~15-20% by 2030, & toward 100% in 2050. While 2030 benchmarks vary, all converge to global decarbonised transport sector by 2050. See our report bit.ly/CAT_PSRsum
3/ Passenger #electricVehicles (or other #zeroemission vehicles) need to reach v high market share by 2030 almost everywhere (developed countries 95% market share) & 100% by 2040. The global passenger #car fleet will be almost 100% #emissions free by 2050. bit.ly/CAT_PSRsum
2/ #Decarbonising the #power sector is key: without it, other sectors cannot do so. The 2030 benchmarks are also key - if countries are not on the right pathway by 2030, they cannot reach their 2050 goal. #renewablesbit.ly/CAT_PSR1
3/ All countries must ramp-up #renewables (or other CO2-free technologies), to 98-100%, ideally by 2040, latest 2050. Fossil #CCS not viable: economically it doesn't stack up against #renewables with storage; current #nuclear not nimble enough. bit.ly/CAT_PSRsum
3/ Our benchmarks are at a level of “highest plausible ambition" - technically, economically feasible, consider existing infrastructure, ensure they push the boundaries on all levels, & increase our chances of meeting the #ParisAgreement#1o5C limit bit.ly/CAT_PSRsum
The emissions gap in 2100 really has not decreased a great deal. #COP25Madrid. Noting this is not steady state warming, but simply warming in 2100 bit.ly/CAT_COP25
Details of government action: there are more governments this year on the 2˚C compatible list. We have added #kenya to our assessment this year, a country dealing with two proposed #coal plants it doesn't need. #COP25Madridbit.ly/CAT_COP25#India could be 1.5˚C compatible
Amid growing public concern and as #Climate climate impacts start to bite, governments must take bold action to address the rise in greenhouse gas emissions, but most of them are not - our latest update, released at #SB50Bonn today. bit.ly/CAT_SB50Bonn
Global progress is stalling. Last year, energy-related #CO2 emissions reached an historic high, with more than a third of emissions from coal, but the fastest-growing source is from natural gas, which grew 4.6% from 2017 to 2018. bit.ly/CAT_SB50Bonn#climate
The US, India and China were responsible for 85% of the global rise in energy-related carbon dioxide emissions over the past year, renewable energy additions have stagnated after 20 years of strong growth. bit.ly/CAT_SB50Bonn