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29 Oct, 11 tweets, 20 min read
#SaudiArabia expels #Lebanon ambassador. #GCC states expected to follow suit. Decision could impact Lebanese labor; comes after πŸ‡±πŸ‡§ govt minister supports #Houthi militia in #Yemen. But this step reflects #Gulf frustration at #Iran-backed #Hezbollah militia's chokehold over πŸ‡±πŸ‡§. /1
#Saudi decision to throw out #Lebanon ambassador is not a sudden move but also caps years of #Iran/#IRGC using #Lebanon produce/fruit export trucks to smuggle narcotics into the #Gulf. /2

#Kuwait media tycoon @Ahmadaljaralah says #Lebanon minister's statement is admission of #Iran military interference in #Yemen; calls #Hezbollah chief Nasrallah "Hassan Ammonia" (reference to #Beirut port warehouse explosion) /3

After #Saudi decision to expel #Lebanon ambassador, a flurry of diplomacy across #GCC capitals to develop consensus on severing ties with πŸ‡±πŸ‡§. Activists start adding πŸ‡ΈπŸ‡¦ to their national flags in solidarity with #KSA. Here examples from #Oman #Kuwait #UAE/4
#SaudiArabia's expulsion of #Lebanon ambassador is a move that targets #Iran's influence in #Beirut. A week ago, #IRGC's influence received a hit when #Azerbaijan banned Iranian websites that promote Khomeinism & shut down #Khamenei office. /5

#Ω„Ψ¨Ω†Ψ§Ω†

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After #SaudiArabia, #Bahrain throws out #Lebanon ambassador. #UAE expected to be next. #KSA halts all imports, a blow for πŸ‡±πŸ‡§'s faltering economy. 'Let #Iran/#IRGC/#Hezbollah/#Houthi help #Beirut economically' - the common thinking in the #Gulf today. /6

In essence, #SaudiArabia is forcing #Lebanon's elites to choose between #Iran's #Hezbollah and #Gulf's prosperity. This could also have an impact on secret #Iraq/#US diplomacy for Tehran-Riyadh rapprochement to facilitate #JCPOA. A lot is at stake. /7

Just in: #Saudi MFA statement on recalling envoy and expelling #Lebanon's ambassador. It confirms my earlier tweet on the role of #IRGC/#Hezbollah's narcotics business in this decision [see ] /8

Statements by Ministries of Foreign Affairs of #Kuwait #Bahrain #UAE pulling out ambassadors from #Lebanon, expressing solidarity with #SaudiArabia, and reminding #Beirut of failure to stop the smuggling of narcotics by #Iran-backed #Hezbollah using produce export shipments. /9
#Saudi FM @FaisalbinFarhan at #G20RomeSummit: We do not have a crisis with #Lebanon but Lebanon has a crisis with #Iran-backed #Hezbollah's dominance over the Lebanese state. /10

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More from @_AhmedQuraishi

Ahmed Quraishi Profile picture
29 Oct
Meanwhile, in #Pakistan, the country's political+military leaders are held hostage by extremist Islamists, literally forced to reconfirm their allegiance to Islam! The hordes threaten to storm the capital. Perfect script for a historical drama reliving 11th century in 21st. #TLP
...meanwhile, in #Islamabad, which resembles #Baghdad just before the Mongols stormed it. [Or #Rome as Nero fiddles]

Reported divisions within PM #ImranKhan Govt on how to deal with banned #TLP religious group threatening to storm #Pakistan capital #Islamabad. Meanwhile, discontent inside Punjab Police, where officers believe Govt and state abandoned them before religious extremists.
Read 8 tweets
Ahmed Quraishi Profile picture
26 Oct
#SaudiArabia decides to shore up the economically shaky govt of PM @ImranKhanPTI with a generous $4.2 billion package after "the issuance of kind guidance," according to Saudi news agency; in royal reference to @KingSalman
1⃣
2⃣tribune.com.pk/story/2326522/…
#SaudiArabia generously bails out PM @ImranKhanPTI for a second time in 3 years. This time with $3B deposit with @StateBank_Pak + $1.2B oil on deferred terms. #KSA bailed out PM Khan in Oct 2018 with a $6B package when #PTIGovernment faced economic meltdown in first year in power Image
By shoring up PM @ImranKhanPTI Govt again, #SaudiArabia is outdoing itself. The aid is significant coming just ten months after #KSA requested repayment on the previous aid [dawn.com/news/1596109]; a year after frosty ties w/ Khan govt after it appeared to line up angst Riyadh.
Read 5 tweets
Ahmed Quraishi Profile picture
10 Oct
For history, let me set the record straight on this interview I did in 2012 for a news website with ex-#ISI chief late LtGen Retd Hameed Gul. He personally liked me but also knew that I supported many of the political ideas of former President Gen. #Musharraf. /1 @MAbdullahGul
When LtGen. Gul in this clip said to me, "Why don't you understand?", I stopped recording a couple of minutes later and asked him bluntly, "Was Gen. Musharraf a traitor?" based on what LtGen. Hameed Gul was saying here. He took a long few seconds, gazing at the floor. /2
LtGen Hameed Gul took his time thinking, expressionless. It was a long silence. Then he raised his head and firmly said, "No." Calmer now, he then went on to explain, off-record, that he disagreed politically with President Musharraf but that Gen. Musharraf was not a traitor. /3
Read 7 tweets
Ahmed Quraishi Profile picture
8 Oct
Interesting coincidence that #US @DeputySecState Wendy Sherman is in #Pakistan two days after her #Iran counterpart Deputy FM Ali Bagheri was here. DepSecState @wendyrsherman played a key role in the original #JCPOA negotiations. /1 ImageImage
#Iran Deputy FM visit in the same week is coincidental. @DeputySecState Wendy Sherman's visit is focused on #Afghanistan, and the "important and longstanding #US-#Pakistan relationship," in her words. Here's @StateDeptSpox statement on the meeting with NSA @YusufMoeed. /2 Image
DepSecState Sherman's visit comes at the intersection of several issues: topping the list is #Afghanistan, but also jitters in #India at the renewed #USPakistan engagement, and the regional security situation [#Gulf+South Asia+#China]. /3
Read 8 tweets
Ahmed Quraishi Profile picture
16 Sep
#Pakistan was never a "hired gun" in any war, and it has entered many wars - near and far - for its interests, like any other nation. The narrative of a hired gun is a claptrap; earns political points, but is demeaning for the country, insulting, and self-defeating. /1
History is debatable, but #Pakistan smartly dragged the #US and the free world into a war against the Soviet Union in #Afghanistan; & rightly so. Pak benefited from the project, and also paid a heavy price. The actions of a smart nation that effectively defended its interests. /2
#Pakistan joined the #Bosnia war vs #Serbia+#Russia; helped #Azerbaijan vs #Armenia, #Kuwait vs #Iraq; #Jordan vs militants; supported freedom movements in #Algeria+#Tunisia; backed Western allies in Suez Crisis, helped Kashmiris, & helped counter communism in Arab countries. /3
Read 8 tweets
Ahmed Quraishi Profile picture
16 Sep
In #Dushanbe, PM @ImranKhanPTI met for the first time with #Iran's new President #Raisi, and encouraged him to seize the opportunity to help in ending the war in #Afghanistan, in a delicate attempt to overcome #Tehran's recent criticism of alleged Pak military role in #Kabul. /1
The quadrilateral meeting between #Russia #China #Pakistan #Iran on the sidelines of the #Dushanbe summit of Shanghai Cooperation Organization #SCO provided another opportunity for Islamabad and Tehran to clear the air, with Russian & Chinese help. /2

On the day PM @ImranKhanPTI & Pres #Raisi met in #Dushanbe, SL #Khamenei-linked Kayhan newspaper accused #Pakistan's spy agency #ISI of dividing #Afghanistan's people & called on #Taliban to distance itself from Pak claiming Afghans "hate" the neighbor /3

Read 6 tweets

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