Discover and read the best of Twitter Threads about #DecisionMaking

Most recents (24)

AI effectively automates the mundane and routine but not the exception, especially the exceptional exception. Latter requires the Consciousness of human beings.
today's AI is exactly like Rahul Gandhi. It appears to do a lot of things, makes opaque overseas trips, gets plenty of press, and is always the future choice that is ready to take over.
good AI would practically sell itself sans human hype.
Read 8 tweets
Surgical Decision Making Heuristics 🧵

I estimate a #neurosurgery on call doubles the usual 3000 decisions we make each day.

A "razor" cuts away what is unnecessary and simplifies decision making.

Here are 10 surgical razors to sharpen your decisions:

#meded #medtwitter
Occam’s Razor: (The OG Razor)

"Plurality must never be posited without necessity." If the patient with the enlarging CSDH has worsening falls, its likely the CSDH and not the new medicine they’ve started.
Hickam’s Dictum:

"A man can have as many diseases as he damn well pleases.” The patient with the enlarging CSDH may also have had a stroke causing their falls.

Occam's > Hickam's in my experience.
Read 16 tweets
Do the strategic complexity of the decision environment and the participants’ cognitive ability affect their performance and neural response? You can find the answer in our new paper now (freely) available in @SciReports at nature.com/articles/s4159… 1/7 Image
We explored the role of cognition and its inter-individual variability in social decision-making. First, we developed a new model of strategic #decisionmaking in repeated interactions to provide a precise measure of the environment’s complexity and participants’ performance. 2/7
Then we tested some empirical predictions of the model on both behavioral and neural data. We showed that deviations from optimal behavior are explained by a combination of higher complexity of the strategic environment and cognitive skills of the individuals. 3/7
Read 7 tweets
1/18
#BookRecommendation #BookTwitter
#DecisionMaking

How To Decide by Annie Duke.

A brilliant no frills book that offers a framework for thinking about how to improve your decision making , along with a set of tools that help execute it.

A few of my takeaways from this gem !
2/18
There are only 2 things that determine HOW your life turns out : LUCK & QUALITY OF DECISION MAKING.

We have some control over only one of those two things.

When you make better quality decisions, you increase the chances of good things happening to you.
3/18
Our objective is to choose an option that gains most ground in achieving our goals.
Sometimes which entails the least risk.

Thereby we examine the quality of the beliefs informing the decision,the available options & try to envisage the future based on our choices.
Read 18 tweets
Nature has hard-wired us for bias enabling us to make quick general assumptions as a survival benefit.

However this leads to bias and tribalism.

Being aware of these 3 common biases when seeking opinion from others, can help you filter these out.
What You See is All There Is (WYSIATI)

We assume what we see is more common that it actually is.

This is why we x10 the perceived incidence of violent death due to news articles vs x1/1000 the more common causes such as stroke/MI/diabetes.

Ask - what am I not seeing?
Burst The Bubble

Online search algorithms will show you articles you want to see. This will keep your thinking contained with a bubble.

This is known as a Filter Bubble.
Read 5 tweets
Surgical Decision Making Heuristics 🧵

I estimate a #neurosurgery on call doubles the usual 3000 decisions we make each day.

A "razor" cuts away what is unnecessary and simplifies decision making.

Here are 10 surgical razors to sharpen your decisions: Image
Occam’s Razor: (The OG Razor)

"Plurality must never be posited without necessity." If the patient with the enlarging CSDH has worsening falls, its likely the CSDH and not the new medicine they’ve started. Image
Hickam’s Dictum:

"A man can have as many diseases as he damn well pleases.” The patient with the enlarging CSDH may also have had a stroke causing their falls.

Occam's > Hickam's in my experience. Image
Read 15 tweets
"This new wave of entrepreneurs has a different set of expectations. The new social contract is a commitment to make on their own. It’s a promise to themselves. They want to build their own island of stability in a sea of uncertainty." -- Pippa Malmgren greeneracresvaluenetwork.wordpress.com/2022/06/11/dai…
Mental Health Care Should Be Available for All, Not a Luxury
nature.com/articles/d4158…
#OpEd, #MentalHealthCare, #UnderservedCommunities, #HealthEquity
Read 13 tweets
"Getting up and doing even ten minutes of light to moderate physical activity a few times [per] day is an effective strategy in reducing the likelihood of having a stroke. For overall heart and brain health, move more ... and sit less." Steven P. Hooker greeneracresvaluenetwork.wordpress.com/2022/06/09/dai…
First microplastics found in Antarctic snow
phys.org/news/2022-06-m…
#MicroplasticsDiscovery, #AntarcticSnow
Read 13 tweets
"I hope to investigate how data cooperatives can rebalance power dynamics in cities, allowing people to learn about themselves and their communities while...using data to advocate for policy and practical solutions in their own best interests." @katyaabaz greeneracresvaluenetwork.wordpress.com/2022/05/22/dai…
On the Very Serious Podcast: Tyler Cowen on Identifying Talent
podcasts.apple.com/us/podcast/ver…
#TalentDevelopment, #TrainingPrograms, #HigherEducation, #ApplePodcast
Read 13 tweets
Elon Musk tweeted about 50 cognitive biases everyone should learn.

It’s a thought-provoking list.

But the infographic (see below) is difficult to digest.
@M_El_Sheikh

#neurosurgery #decisionmaking Image
Decision-making is a key but under-discussed component of neurosurgery.

I’ve re-summarized the 50 cognitive biases Musk recommends to learn.

Each has it’s own neurosurgery example drawn from experience.

Today I’ll share the first 25, tomorrow the second half.
@MDCearns
First, a quick note about cognitive biases.

What are they?

Why is knowing about them crucial?

All humans make systematic errors in thinking—hurting our judgment.

Being aware of cognitive biases will make you less susceptible to them.

Let’s get started.
Read 27 tweets
"As the world prepares to invest trillions of dollars in quelling climate change, we must focus on a just transition by ensuring that climate solutions also uplift those who are most impacted." -- Yusuf Jameel, Project Drawdown greeneracresvaluenetwork.wordpress.com/2022/05/16/dai…
Forging Venezianita: La Serenissima’s Tortured Relationship with its Byzantine DNA
byzantineambassador.com/post/forging-v…
#VenetianHistory, #AcademicStudy, #ByzantineBackground
Shifts in regional water availability due to global tree restoration | Nature Geoscience
nature.com/articles/s4156…
#TreeRestoration, #WaterAvailability, #RegionalShifts, #HydrologicalEffects
Read 13 tweets
Daily Bookmarks to GAVNet 04/06/2022 greeneracresvaluenetwork.wordpress.com/2022/04/06/dai…
The Genesis of Kerr Solution. A Complete Description of Spinning… | by Areeba Merriam | Apr, 2022
cantorsparadise.com/the-genesis-of…
#GeneralRelativity, #history, #JohnKerr, #RotatingBlackHoles
Read 13 tweets
Today @GeneticAll_UK is launching a new report, ‘Good Diagnosis:Improving the experiences of #diagnosis for people living with rare conditions’.

Read the full report geneticalliance.org.uk/gauk-news/news…
#GeneticAllianceUK
#RareDiseaseDay2022
#RareDiseaseDay
Over a third of people living with a #RareCondition
will wait for more than five years to obtain a
definitive #diagnosis, often receiving a number of
#misdiagnoses along the way

#RareDiseaseDay2022
#RareDiseaseDay
The ‘diagnostic odyssey’ is a term used to describe the time taken between a patient first developing #symptoms and receiving a correct #MedicalDiagnosis. This can be a long and eventful journey.

#RareDiseaseDay2022
#RareDiseaseDay
Read 53 tweets
Daily Bookmarks to GAVNet 01/16/2022 greeneracresvaluenetwork.wordpress.com/2022/01/16/dai…
What complexity science says about what makes a winning team | Aeon Essays

aeon.co/essays/what-co…

#ComplexityScience, #WinningTeams, #AeonEssay
Our behaviour in bulk is more predictable than we like to imagine | Aeon Essays

aeon.co/essays/our-beh…

#HumanBehavior, #BehaviorPatterns, #predictability
Read 20 tweets
Done with the resolutions for 2022 but worried that you may flake out? Understand the concept of activation energy and make it work for you.

Here I share 7 behavioral-science-backed ways curated from experts to lower the activation energy for positive change. Read on 🧵
After getting married, my wife and I moved to a rented place that had a hole in the wall for a picture-tube television 📺 It could only fit the smallest television. Upon becoming home owners a few years later, the first thing we did was mount a big flatscreen facing the couch.
How did it matter? At the rental with the basic entertainment set-up we spent more time having friends over or trying out recipes in the kitchen. At our own place, we were glued to the couch. We had drastically lowered the activation energy to binge-watch. 💑
Read 15 tweets
1/20

2021 has been one crazy year for me.

Recently took a break from twitter as I needed to think & reflect in solitude.

My biggest learnings / relearnings of 2021 - A thread as random as my thoughts. :))

#2021Wrapped
2/20
#Life is fragile.

We never know when it shall be our last breath. Covid just reinforced this.

Do good. Be good. Expect nothing.
Make mistakes but have no regrets.
Forgive . Make peace often .
Live life each day to the best of your abilities.

That's all that can be done!
3/20
#InvestResponsibly

Always ensure you have a nominee to all your investments. Don't take on unnecessary loans.

Make a WILL !

Inform your spouse / family.
Document everything correctly &
responsibly.

Else, this becomes an added pain later on for the bereaved family !
Read 20 tweets
Daily Bookmarks to GAVNet 12/21/2021 greeneracresvaluenetwork.wordpress.com/2021/12/21/dai…
Organizations’ system noise creates errors in decision making | McKinsey

mckinsey.com/business-funct…

#SystemNoise, #DecisionMaking, #CognitiveBias
Read 20 tweets
Daily Bookmarks to GAVNet 12/11/2021 greeneracresvaluenetwork.wordpress.com/2021/12/11/dai…
Rain to replace snow in the Arctic as climate heats, study finds

theguardian.com/environment/20…

#Arctic, #rain, #snow, #ClimateChange, #models
The United States Is Not “a Nation of Immigrants”

bostonreview.net/articles/the-u…

#USA, #immigrants, #multiculturalism, #ColonialHistory, #settlers
Read 18 tweets
Daily Bookmarks to GAVNet 12/07/2021 greeneracresvaluenetwork.wordpress.com/2021/12/07/dai…
Book checked out for 110 years returned to Boise Public Library

ktvb.com/article/news/l…

#StrangerThanFiction #libraries
1431-1449: The Final Ecumenical Council - Two Churches, One Tradition

byzantineambassador.com/post/1431-1449…

#WesternTheology #pluralism #scholasticism #traditions
Read 13 tweets

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