, 8 tweets, 3 min read
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So my final election prediction. Sorry it’s just screenshots for now. Headlines : Labour between 265 and 304 seats. Tories 246 to 285. Libs 15-25, SNP 40-45.
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At the highest ends, interestingly, 304 Lab + 45 SNP is an easy Government. 285 Con + 25 Lib isn't.
Even 285 Lab, 42 SNP is a majority of 1. Con 300 + Lib 25 still isn't.
Here is my final GE17 thread for comparison
A bit more evidence - confirming YouGov DID find Brexit Party squeezing the Tory vote "In the Lab-held seat of Workington it is a similar story, with Labour up two points on the Tories and the Brexit Party on eight per cent overall." And from the Fail! dailymail.co.uk/news/article-7…
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