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1/ Zim was not invited to the UK - Africa summit. It’s the first, public slap in the face for Zim, by the Boris led government. Understandably so. Instead of serious trade talks Zim would’ve grabbed the headlines for the wrong reasons and spoilt the party for the rest of Africa
2/ Most MNC’s follow their governments. A good government protects its businesses and facilitates smooth trade & investment. Of all Trump’s policies- the trade war on China will be his most revered. Even Soros, his nemesis wants US to be hard on China
3/ For Africa. For the noise about China investing. In terms of trade China remains rather catious. Trade is nearly square. Whatever China gives, Africa reciprocates in commodities. Yet the same China has a trade deficit with the US. ie. China loans USA but not Africa.
4/ Despite Trump calling our part of the world unspeakable names. His administration has done the most for Africa. A $60bn investment boost. Making the US a bigger investor in Africa than China.
5/ It’s in this context we must understand UK -Africa trade relations post Brexit. The major benefit of Brexit is the UK able to negotiate its own trade deals outside of the EU very archaic regulations and high tariffs. More than any time in history UK wants to deal.
6/ This is a great time for Africa. And we must commend the African leaders that joined Boris in London. Africa cannot be beholden to China’s very loop sided debt commodity deals that lead to debt traps. Africa must negotiate with others.
7/ Back to Zim. We start the year as a pariah state. Africa’s lip service support for Zim is evident. UK bout turn in its diplomatic relations is stunning. Given its past carte Blanche support for ED’s gvt. The UK can do without Zim. But Zim cannot go it alone.
8/ Russia is in an economic crisis and is not interested in foreign forays. China wants Zim to reform and is not interested in bail outs. America and now the UK & EU want fundamental changes. Domestically the GDP players like Delta & Econet have severely suffered.....
9/ .... Hyperinflation reigns. The economy will contract further. But will the ED gvt take the criticism and slap in the face and change? I don’t think so. ED is under the banner of “ productivity & growth” a reflection of our leaders mindset. The emperor’s new clothes?
10/ Will UK about turn force the hand of gvt. Sadly not. The economy in Zim doesn’t dictate the politics. At the height of an economic crisis in 2000, Mugabe invaded the farms. Similiarly today, the gold mines have been invaded.

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