Thread : ๐Ÿงต
Today, Russian Defense Minister Shoigu announced that there are more than 16,000 volunteers ready to support and fight in #Lugansk and #Donetsk if #Russia requests it.
1/11
#Ukraine #USA #NATO #EU #UK #Biden
This announcement was not surprising to me or to those familiar with the scene in #Syria in particular and the Middle East in general. In my opinion, #Moscow is able to mobilize more than double that number and has already started accepting recruitment requests.
2/11
There are two types of militias in the Middle East, one part carrying a religious ideology (like #Hezbollah), and another part in the form of security companies, among which the fighters volunteered for economic reasons (25th Brigade in #Syria).
3/11
These militias are present in #Lebanon, #Syria, #Iraq and #Yemen. Through its relations with the Iranian regime on the one hand, and its protection of Assad in Syria on the other, #Moscow has built itself a network of relations with the militias of the Middle East.
4/11
Since its military intervention in #Syria 2015, Moscow has worked to recruit its own mercenaries operating under its orders, headed by the 25th Brigade, the 5th Corps, and the National Defense militias in the Christian towns in northern Hama countryside.
5/11
Local sources confirmed to me that #Moscow has more than ten offices, managed by Russian officers, spread in southern, central and western #Syria, through which it recruits them for economic reasons.
6/11
In #Iraq, through Russian-Iranian relations, #Russia cooperated with Iraqi militias to fight in #Syria against the Syrian opposition or even against #ISIS in the Syrian desert. Some of them are ready to fight with Russia in exchange for money.
7/11
#PMU
Since the first day of #Russia's invasion of #Ukraine, the #Houthi militia in #Yemen has announced its support for Moscow. Despite the intensification of battles there, fighters from this militia may wish to fight with the Russian army.
8/11
#KSA #UAE
There are still two militias in the Middle East that are the most trained and experienced in street wars, the Iranian Quds Force and the Lebanese #Hezbollah . Those are directly following Khamenei's orders only, and their participation requires a political decision.
9/11
#Israel
#Putin and Shoigu's threat to bring in "mercenary" militias, confirms Putin's unwillingness to withdraw the Russian reserves and may mean that #Russia is forced to go into long-term guerrilla battles.
10/11
The West should monitor these militias carefully and make it clear that in case of their participation in the Russian invasion in #Ukraine they will be recognised as terrorist, and they will be targeted. The card of terrorism can be another tool in #Putin's hands.
12/12
#USA #EU

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More from @evacool_

Mar 11
Thread๐Ÿงต:
As I predicted two days ago, the Russian invasion of #Ukraine would directly affect the course of the negotiations in #Vienna on #Iran's nuclear program, which was declared frozen today.
1/6
To understand why, you can read the thread:๐Ÿ‘‡
Signing the agreement would have meant a stab in the back for #Russia by opening the way for Iranian oil and gas to be pumped into the global market, which would turn the most dangerous Russian weapon against the West less severe.
2/6
#Iran #USA #EU #UK #NATO
A rejection of the agreement would create to the West anger and disappointment with all the economic and security concessions made by #France, #Germany and the #US, which in one way or another caused tension in western relations with #SaudiArabia and the #UAE.
3/6
Read 6 tweets
Mar 10
A thread explaining the military, humanitarian, and diplomatic situation of #Mariupฮฟl after around 10 days of siege of the city.
1/11
In the humanitarian scene, electricity has been cut off from the city since the beginning of the siege as a result of the Russian armyโ€™s targeting of power supply stations, causing the heating stopping in a cold winter weather with temperatures of -10 in the evening.
2/11
We are talking about more than 300,000 people who did not leave the city with the interruption of the food supply. This pushed the population towards consuming canned food, which is also starting to run out, with very limited sources of drinking water.
3/11
Read 11 tweets
Mar 9
Thread :๐Ÿงต
Yesterday, the Polish government announced its agreement to relinquish a number of MiG-29s "immediately and free of charge" to the United States and transfer them in to the Ramstein base in #Germany.
1/11
#Ukraine #Russia #USA #NATO #Poland #EU #UK Image
This step was met with fear and anxiety by the #Pentagon in #Washington under the pretext that it does not want the #US or any of the #NATO countries to have a direct role in the ongoing war in #Ukraine.
2/11 Image
At the outset, it must be emphasized that the launch of any warplane from any of the #NATO bases in the vicinity of Ukraine and its entry into the Ukrainian airspace will be considered by Moscow as a direct participation in the war, and thus a broader clash and a global war.
3/11 Image
Read 11 tweets
Oct 14, 2021
A number of TV channels and websites close to #Iran published a statement attributed to the so-called "Syria's Allies Operations Room" confirming that the #IDF targeted two of their sites in the vicinity of the Syrian city of #Palmyra.1/6
#Syria #Israel #IRGC #USA #Russia
The statement indicated that the attack was carried out from over the Al-Tanf area and confirmed the deaths and injuries among the fighters of these militias. It also explicitly referred to an American role in this attack, and vowed to respond "very strong".2/6
This is not the first time that the so-called "Syria's Allies Operations Room" makes a statement. It has issued a number of previous statements, including the attacks of the #IDF on #Syria, and the battles of the city of #Aleppo against the Syrian rebels.3/6
Read 6 tweets
Oct 11, 2021
Based on the complications and the Turkish officials high tone statements, the main question will be what are #Turkey's options in responding to what happened in southern Mari'? 1/6
#Russia #USA #Syria #Biden #Erdogan #Putin #Iran Image
The first option, #Turkey may move towards exploiting what happened to carry out a media attack on the #YPG militia preparing for a military operation in another area less sensitive to #Russia (Ein al-Arab - Kobane city for example).2/6 Image
This operation more likely will be coordinated with #Moscow in order to push the Kurdish militias in eastern #Syria to get closer to the #Assad regime and #Russia, as they are able to protect them from #Turkey.3/6 Image
Read 6 tweets
Oct 11, 2021
#Turkey
A Turkish convoy near the city of Mari', north of #Syria, was attacked by two anti-armour missiles from the Tal Rifat area, which led to the destruction of two cars, the death of two Turkish policemen, and injuring a number of others.1/7
#Russia #USA #YPG #SDF #Erdogan ImageImage
The Turkish Interior Ministry confirmed that the Kurdish #YPG militia was behind this attack, as it controls the Tal Rifat area, while a number of Turkish officials confirmed that #Turkey will not remain silent this time.2/7
reuters.com/world/middle-eโ€ฆ
At the outset, some important points should be highlighted to understand what happened and can take place in light of this tension as the information that confirms #Ankara's intention to start a new military operation in #Syria.3/7
#USA #Russia #Turkey ImageImage
Read 7 tweets

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