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Chief Strategist RIA Advisors, Host: "The Real Investment Show," Editor https://t.co/r7brFNKMEh, PM for https://t.co/edW8u5Ze9j, Newsletter Signup: https://t.co/VbvzxwmqMV
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"Despite a few notable hiccups along the way, the bull market continues to prove insanely resilient.”
What if? We explore what a 10-60% correction would do to investors and their
. While this
, you are.
Looking at potential retracement levels, to the lows of 2018, or the highs of 2015-2016 would not be out of the ordinary. A mean reversion event would be the lows of 2016 to the highs of 2008.
A problem with
always overlooked by
If you need 6% per year to reach your goals, and suffer a 20% correction, it doesn't require JUST 25% to get back to even. You have to ALSO make up the 6%/year lost as well.
Read 8 tweets
3 Dec 19
Q3-2019 EARINGS - The Good, Bad, & Ugly.
With the bulk of earnings in we can analyze just how "good" those earnings actually were, and what we should expect next. Also, what
are telling us. $SPY $TLT
Earnings - The Good:
"With 73% of companies beating estimates, it certainly suggests that companies in the S&P 500 are firing on all cylinders, which should support higher asset prices."
However, as they say, the “Devil is in the details.”
Earnings - The Bad
"In order for companies to achieve the 73% 'beat rate' - estimates had to be crushed to accommodate lower earnings."
Read 8 tweets
24 Nov 18
REAL INVESTMENT REPORT - $OIL SENDS A CRUDE WARNING. A look at the warning sign being thrown off by the decline in
and what it may mean for the markets. $SPY $TLT
Those suggesting the drop in
is only a "supply problem" are looking at economic data which is both lagging and subject to revisions. Oil is telling you the global slowdown is coming home. $SPY $TLT
Given the energy bonds make up about 15% of the high-yield index, the drop in oil prices is a huge
investors should be paying attention to. $JNK $SPY $TLT
Read 4 tweets