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Elijah J. Magnier @ejmalrai
, 3 tweets, 4 min read Read on Twitter
The battle of south Syria will be divide in two parts: the first part (Suweida/east Daraa) will continue without obstacles from players involved (#USA and #Israel).
The 2d part is still observing complications (the one including #ISIS - Jaish Khaled Bin al-Waleed) in #Quneitra.
The first part (Suweida/east Daraa) is aiming to open the #Damascus-#Amman road at Naseeb crossing. This will give a fresh air to the economy of both #Syria and #Jordan. The battle is expected to end in less than 2 months.

For the second part on the Israeli borders, #USA said it clearly is shall not pull out of al-Tanf today, tomorrow or in the near future.
The Israeli bombing last night close to #Damascus airport is due to the second part of the ops in south #Syria.

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#USA #Israel #ISIS #Quneitra #Damascus #Amman #Syria #Jordan

More from @ejmalrai see all

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Ex-Nusra (#AQ rebranded HTS) walked into its own death by taking a large territory in #Idlib and its surrounding. The defeat of large groups like Ahrar and Souqourv al-Sham (who showed little resistance) and the elimination of Zinki group will have deadly consequences on AQ.+
No doubt #Turkey asked Ahrar et al to stand down & avoid fighting (for now). It means #Ankara would be happy to see the end of its presence in #Idlib on the long term. For this, Erdogan needs to see a very large battle taking place first in the north between these groups and #AQ
Erdogan & Putin will have a meeting soon to discuss the #Kurds and #AQ in #Idlib. I expect hot spring in Idlib and a large offensive against Hayat Tahrir al-Sham. Abu Mohammad al Joulani's ambition (from ex-ISIS emir to AQ Emir to ruler of Idlib) is helping to end this phenomena.
Read 6 tweets
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I can only see positiveness in the expansion of al-Qaeda in #Syria. The more cities and villages it controls, the faster it will lose.

#AQ in Syria is trying to earn the heart and minds of the locals but it is trying to full up their pockets. This group has learned nothing.
Today I am very confident & much more positive that #Turkey will not occupy north of #Syria and will not stay in the territory it occupies today for ever.

@RT_Erdogan is confirming his strategic relationship with #Russia & #Iran is more precious than #USA
#AQ was planning long ago to expand its control. #Turkey rejected Joulani's wishes for very long. By accepting or closing an eye on the ex-#ISIS Emir, i.e. Abu Mohammad al-Joulani, #Turkey has found the best way to liberate itself from al-Qaeda's burden.
Read 4 tweets
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Hay'yan, Anadan & Haritan under Jihadists of Hay'at Tahrir al-Sham Led by Abu Mohammad al-Joulani, the ex #ISIS officer, the ex-al Qaeda in the Levant and the actual leader of a large number of foreign fighters.

Joulani is taking position opposite #SAA.

google.com/maps/place/Hra…
Rural and the city of #Idlib, the rural area of #idlib, #Aleppo & #Hama are under Jihadists control. Is it time for the Syrian army, supported by #Russia to stop the jihadists advance if #Turkey is incapable of doing the job it has promised at #Astana?

#Turkey is embarrassed by Jihadists overwhelming control of most of the #Astana area of control. Joulani is forcing his place on #Ankara unless the Turkish army moves in to defeat him, or to steps aside and allows the #Syrian army to do the job.
Read 6 tweets

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My creepy dream: a thread
Two nights ago my boyfriend and I were in a hotel in Philadelphia, our last night there. The room was small but had an open layout so when it was dark it was DARK. and I spook easily so this didn’t sit well with me, but onto my dream:
What I remember is in two parts.

The first part was sort of an out-of-body experience of myself looking down into this large bed in a Victorian styled room. The bed is empty and everything in the room is blurred except for the bed. The sheets are black and it seems like-
Read 15 tweets
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Okay. Let’s talk about Judge Ellis’ grumpiness on Manafort and how “unusual” this all really is. /1

/2 Judge Ellis’s grumpiness comes in two parts. The first part has to do with the remaining counts before him on which he declared a mistrial after the jury hung on those counts. Those are in limbo right now.
/3 Manafort’s DC plea agreement is not a model of clarity about what’s supposed to happen on those counts or when. It is not surprising that vexes the judge. It’s not usual to keep live counts (with no guilty plea or conviction) open indefinitely.
Read 7 tweets
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#Syria Update

1-State: Feels it won but seems lacking in credible economic solutions going forward.
2- Opposition: Still dazed, confused & seemingly delusional about its ability to gain through politics what it failed to do militarily
3-Kurds: Hit pause button. Wait & see mode
#Syria update Continued:

Foreign Actors: The U.S is going nowhere anytime soon. Keep territory given limited financial burden. Continue the balancing act between Ankara and the Kurds. Appease the pro-Israel / Anti-Iran camp. Strategy Archives multiple goals w limited investment
#Syria Update Continued:

Foreign Actors: Russia has met all originally set objectives. Damascus survived. Moscow is an important player in the region. Ability to maintain strong relationship with Ankara offers larger geopolitical opportunities
Read 8 tweets
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'Israel was given by God'😡👉Preposterous & Insulting
!! 1948 Documented Massacres by #Israel !!
HERE’S A LIST OF THE PALESTINIAN VILLAGES THAT WERE MASSACRED IN THE #NAKBA!
Source:1948.org.uk/the-massacres/👈LINK #GazaReturnMarch
!! 1948 #DeirYassin Massacre !!👇🇮🇱🇵🇸
#MenachemBegin was called a terrorist and a fascist by #AlbertEinstein and 27 other prominent Jewish intellectuals in a letter to the #NewYorkTimes which was published on December 4, 1948:
archive.org/details/Albert…👈LETTER #GazaReturnMarch
#AlbertEinstein's 1948 letter to the #NewYorkTimes, denouncing #Israel's Massacres of #Palestinian Villages.
TO THE EDITORS OF THE NEW YORK TIMES (FIRST PART):
Letter Archive: archive.org/details/Albert…👈#NAKBA #GazaReturnMarch
Read 5 tweets

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