Security sources say #IAJ jets have been “scrambled.”
#pt: Some sources say a rocket or missile may have been intercepted near #Dimona, #Israel.
Others say residences near the area shook during the explosion.
Security sources in #Israel seem unanimous that no rockets crossed from #Gaza, so all eyes on the #Syria border.
Claims of a Patriot interception would suggest a larger-than-normal projectile, so suspicion may fall onto #Iran — #Dimona is home to #Israel’s nuclear facility.
Suffice to say, if #Iran or an #IRGC proxy launched any kind of missile at/towards #Dimona & #Israel’s nuclear facility, #Netanyahu will almost certainly find no other option but to hit back v hard.
Amid “progress” on indirect US-#Iran talks, this would throw a *huge* curveball.
NEW - sources say an #Israel airstrike has hit #Iran-linked weapons stores in #Deraa, #Syria — shortly after explosions were reported near #Dimona, #Israel.
UPDATE - judging by latest reporting, it sounds possible that the projectile intercepted near #Dimona was actually a #Syria surface-to-air missile fired in response to #IAF strikes in southern #Syria. The SAM (as always) missed any #IAF aircraft & flew cross-border into #Israel.
Now coordinated messaging from #Damascus & #Jerusalem both claiming a SAM was fired into #Syrian airspace that then traversed into #Israel — unintentionally traveling towards #Dimona.
Meanwhile, #IRGC channels (speaking to their audience) claim a purposeful attack took place.
In #Damascus now, @MEI_Syria's @Dannymakkisyria says he didn't hear any sign of IAF strikes in #Syria *before* the SAM was supposedly fired at aircraft & then traveled towards #Israel -- "only retaliatory strikes later."
If you read between the lines, this means #Assad's economy was doing OK when #ISIS controlled the oil fields, but when the #SDF took them, the regime suffered.
That's quite an admission -- so perhaps the documented & sanctioned oil trade between #ISIS & #Assad really mattered!
Very interesting -- ahead of the D-#ISIS Small Group meeting, @aawsat_News says the coalition is considering expanding policy to include combating #ISIS in areas controlled by the #Assad-#Russia-#Iran alliance, which it says has "failed" to defeat #ISIS.
@aawsat_News It's been clear for a long time that #ISIS's resurgence, particularly in #Syria's central 'Badiya' desert was (a) sustainable & (b) eventually going to spillover into @CJTFOIR/#SDF areas on the eastern side of the #Euphrates.
@aawsat_News@CJTFOIR The @aawsat_News report says the D-#ISIS Coalition is working on a public statement in which 2 areas of pro-#Assad control -- the (1) Badiya & (2) #Syria-#Iraq border region -- could become areas of [aerial] @CJTFOIR operation.
The border is critical for logistics, finance etc.
@SecBlinken@ABlinken NEW - As has so often been the case, when the international community convenes high-level #Syria events (#SyriaConf2021 & UNSC), #Russia's jets take to the sky & drop bombs.
Multiple airstrikes being reported in #Idlib right now.
Last week, Jeff Feltman & I wrote something for @politico calling for high-level diplomacy to sustain unhindered cross-border aid access. There's nothing more important now:
With the #Biden administration settled in, there's a clear trend emerging in certain circles to swat away long-standing, complex foreign policy challenges -- and #Syria appears to be low-hanging fruit.
'#Syria doesn't matter,' some say... 'It was just never that important.'
It's good for there to be a debate -- & yes, 'great power competition' (#China, #Russia etc.) ought to be *the* priority.
BUT to shove #Syria aside as a minor inconvenience would be profoundly reckless, given the extraordinary costs it's inflicted on global stability since '11.
So far, arguments in favor of '#Syria doesn't matter' can be broken down into 2 camps:
(1) Those who ignore the profound past, current & future costs altogether - or worse - (2) those who astonishingly claim that #Assad, #Russia & #Iran can resolve the crisis & achieve stability
Exclusive -- the March 21 attack on the @UN-deconflicted al-Atareb hospital in NW #Syria involved the use of #Russian "Krasnopol" laser-guided artillery shells, guided precisely to their target by a Russian UAV.
Extensive analysis of munition debris shows a direct correlation.
@UN Shortly after the attack, doctors & rescue workers began recovering remnants of the shells that hit al-Atareb hospital.
In addition to the usual metal shrapnel, they found circuit boards -- a tell-tale sign of precision-guidance tech, in this case, in artillery shells.
@UN That piqued my interest & in the days since, employees of al-Atareb hospital (associated with @sams_usa) gathered all the shell debris, removed it to a safe site & photographed it for analysis.
It soon became clear we were looking at *certain* evidence of Krasnopol munitions.