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Elijah J. Magnier @ejmalrai
, 5 tweets, 3 min read Read on Twitter
The battle of #Afrin #Efrin :
#Turkey is in am impossible position to break through the Kurdish defenders in Afrin city and enclave. Its proxies, including Jihadists, are incapable of occupying and keeping significant position in the Syrian Kurdish enclave +
#Turkey is confronted with only two options:
a. Surround the enclave
b. Push its own forces (several thousands of Turkish Army)
Both options are not feasible +
a. Surrounding the Afrin enclave is not possible because the south of Afrin is open to the Syrian Army line, happy to provide assistance to the Kurds even if the their intentions to declare a Federation and have linked themselves to the US.
Damascus is happy to see #Turkey defeated or incapable of breaking through Afrin. This would reflect on the Turkish Army capability to confront the Syrian Army one day. +
b. Turkey won't push its own forces for fear of high casualties and the total destruction of the enclave (resulting in high civilian casualties). The only remaining option for Turkey is to find someone ready to mediate and to continue shelling the Kurds with no final purpose.
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