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Maxim A. Suchkov @MSuchkov_ALM
, 3 tweets, 3 min read Read on Twitter
BREAKING: #Russias's MoD reports first large group of #FreeSyrianArmy militants sided with #Syria/n gov forces in southern de-escalation zone.Reps of Rus Reconciliation Center in SYR & Syrian authorities negotiated w/ FSA and ... 1/3
...the leader of the Tajammu al-Wiyat al-Omari announced his group would be siding w/ #Syria/n gov.The statement released by #Rus Reconciliation Center says Omari Brigades leader stressed his group will fight against #Nusra Front & #Daesh together w/ SAA in the south of SYR..2/3
According to @mod_russia's Reconciliation Center first units of #Syria/n army entered the settlements of Dama and Ashiyah in the Southern zone of de-escalation by Friday evening 3/3
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More from @MSuchkov_ALM see all

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THREAD on @RT_Erdogan's @nytimes op-ed, #Ankara's relations with @realDonaldTrump, #Putin
1.#Erdogan's op-ed - masterpiece of communication effort in hostile info-environment,the lobbysts who worked on it deserve credit for understanding psychology of Western reader&current political discourse in #US which helps them pick arguments urbi et orbi
nyti.ms/2REWFsY
2. Endorsment: #Erdogan basically argues #Trump is right in his decision to depart #Syria but it should be done in a smat way to meet "interests of US, international cummunity & Syrians" => shout out to both Trump's conservative constituency & liberals: "TUR cares about YOU"
Read 13 tweets
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THREAD on #Russia/n Orthodox Church (ROC) breaking off “eucharistic communion" w/ #Constantinople Patriarchate.
1.CAVEAT: I don’t claim to be an expert in church relations but being Orthodox Christian & working on #Russia-related politics/policies I feel entitled to share few of my own observations esp in the face of mounting ignorance or propaganda from some of the usual "Russia watchers"
2. Within next days you will hear 3 dominating narratives on what came to be called "the new schism":
A.Patriarch Kirill is KGB (somewhat true).
B. ROC is a tool of #Kremlin (true).
C. Conflict emerged as aftermath of “#Russia trying to make #Ukraine submissive” (yes & no)
Read 19 tweets
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Short THREAD on #Russia - #Turkey divergences over #Idlib as seen from #Moscow:
1. In early August I described rationale behind RU positon & that "certain level of understanding reached w/ TUR that there should be no [large-scale] offensive on Idlib [then]"almon.co/338t
2.I recently reached out to the same senior RUS diplomat who reiterated #Moscow's bottom-line desire to settle the issue peacefully except for terrorists organization who he argued #Turkey too agreed to fight as part of AStana agreements.Yesterday,RU #Syria envoy Lavrentyev..
3. .alluded to #Russia's growing displease w/ #Ankara's inability to deliver upon its committments in the area that, as Lavrentyev said"is kind of their zone of responsibility."Instead,#Erdogan writing op-eds,trying to enlist support from #West/ern partners over #Idlib which is..
Read 10 tweets

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If this is true, it is the best Christmas present I could wish. 🙏🏼❤️🎁🎄💯💯💯US at last you understand that it's time to go back to your homes 🏘️. US good return and do not come back anymore. US Good trip.🛫🛫
#Syria
bit.ly/2rLHvE0
By @K67Tina

If this is true, it is NOT soon enough and for that I am sorry. For all who have died at this regime's orders. If this is true, I am glad that the end of war may be near.

washingtonexaminer.com/policy/defense… …
By @smmsyria

⚡️BREAKING⚡️: According to Reuters, #US is planning a "full" and "rapid" withdrawal of troops from #Syria. The info was confirmed by CNN anchor @jimsciutto
Read 48 tweets
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#SRO | URGENT - Abu Murshid al-Bardan, former commander inside #Daraa #FSA S-F Jaysh al-Thawra, has won many things from #Russia, with #Syria'n regime very angry against Russia. Fifth Division to be led only by #FSA leaders with the troops they want to recruit (1).
#SRO | URGENT - This Fifth Corp / Division to be only answering to #Russia (contrary to the first attempt, recently dissolved, that was linked to #Syria'n regime forces). Yes, here we are : a large "#FSA" army, under #Russia protection and command, is now formed in S-#Syria (2).
#SRO | URGENT - Imagine the face of regime officials, officiers and supporters... #Russia giving amounts of money, power and support for a "terrorist al-Qaeda group" (not anymore ?) as Jaysh al-Thawra to become de facto an autonomous army (Fifth Corp) in S-#Syria (3).
Read 5 tweets
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Amid #Assad regime offensive in south #Syria, worth bearing in mind its continued bombing of areas in #Idlib - also under a so-called “de-escalation zone.”

Having watched the southern zone dissolved w/o response from #Jordan or #Israel, #Turkey’s now warning #Idlib = “red line."
#Turkey has deployed its own armed forces to x12 “observation posts” fencing in opposition areas & enforcing de-escalation.

#Russia seems invested in stability in #Idlib - but for how long?

After #Deraa, will #Assad & #Iran destroy the last remaining “de-escalation zone”?
For now, expect periodic regime bombing raids & notably, also ‘spoiling’ attacks by fighters unrestrained by #Turkey’s iron grip.

#HTS will remain internally divided on de-escalation -- the more regime bombings, the heavier the pressure for #HTS to respond = #Assad opportunity.
Read 26 tweets
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As expected, the #Assad regime - supported by #Russia & yes, #Iran-backed militias - is well into a pre-planned offensive vs. opposition-held areas in S/SW #Syria.

= Violating de-escalation zone agreement & with little/no word/response from the opposition’s foreign backers.
#pt: At least one pro-#Assad Shia militia group overtly backed by #Iran/#IRGC -- Liwa Zulfiqar -- has publicly proclaimed its ongoing role in the offensive in south #Syria.

No word or response from #Israel, as yet.

[via @hadialbahra]
@hadialbahra #pt: The U.S’s impotent role in #Syria has again been revealed for all to see & exploit…

June 21: @StateDept threatens “serious repercussions” for any offensive in the south.

June 23: @USEmbassyJordan tells FSA 'we don’t have your back' [via @AbuJamajem]

June 25-27: Silence.
Read 23 tweets
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In the latest @CrisisGroup report, issued today, we highlight the dangerous situation brewing in southern #Syria: "Keeping the Calm in Southern Syria". bit.ly/2ytOoQl What's new, why does it matter, and what should be done? Thread.
Having retaken the last rebel-held areas in Syria’s western interior, the regime is turning south. Its forces are massing in preparation for a reconquest of the “de-escalation” zone in the southwest, which is protected by a trilateral agreement between Russia, the US and Jordan.
The SW sits at the intersection of Jordan and the Israeli-occupied Golan. An offensive to reconquer it could take a terrible civilian toll, destabilise Jordan, and trigger a wider conflict between Israel and Iran, especially if the regime seeks the help of Iran-backed militias.
Read 4 tweets

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