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LIVE NOW | @CrisisGroup’s #WatchList2020 Part 2
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🔸 Panel discussion on how the EU can act better for peace, with @FedericaMog and @Rob_Malley, moderated by @NicolePirozzi twitter.com/i/broadcasts/1…
@FedericaMog @Rob_Malley @NicolePirozzi For @FedericaMog, the biggest challenges to the EU in #WatchList2020 will be Iran-US escalation, and how this is giving new space for #ISIS; and the multiple layers of conflict in 🇱🇾#Libya.
@FedericaMog @Rob_Malley @NicolePirozzi Recent #US actions expose weaknesses & open opportunities for EU, says @Rob_Malley.

⇨Diplomatically, can EU play a role between US & Iran?
⇨Financially, can EU limit exposure to the reach of US sanctions?
⇨Militarily, eg after a US exit from Iraq, can EU reduce vulnerability?
@FedericaMog @Rob_Malley @NicolePirozzi The European Union is able to be a meaningful conflict manager when there is convergence between member states. But when EU is not able to merge, as in the case of #Libya, the EU is sidelined, says @NicolePirozzi.
@FedericaMog @Rob_Malley @NicolePirozzi President Trump's recognition of Jerusalem as Israel's capital, killing of Iran's Soleimani and Arab-Israeli plan show he wants to "recreate reality by exercising power", says @Rob_Malley.

EU must not recognise illegal Israeli actions & insist on equal rights for Palestinians.
@FedericaMog @Rob_Malley @NicolePirozzi .@FedericaMog passionate that qualified majority voting won't improve EU's capacity to act.

Unanimous decisions took long negotiations, but we always got them. But they weren't defended, they became ”they decided”. Lack of ownership destroys our capacity for credible action.
@FedericaMog @Rob_Malley @NicolePirozzi Trump breaks from tradition, he'd like to undo the EU & only helps who helps him today, says @Rob_Malley. But if next president is Trump or democrat, the US has realised it has to look inward & it is spending too much outside its borders. Its focus on external affairs is over.
@FedericaMog @Rob_Malley @NicolePirozzi And that's a wrap from Brussels and our launch with #EU officials of @CrisisGroup's #WatchList2020. Thanks for watching and reading along!

crisisgroup.org/watch-list-2020
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