R0 determined to be around 2.6 (SD of 0.9) and CFR outside China between 1.2% & 5.6%, depending on statistical methods. (Inside Hubei, estimated around 18%!) It is early yet, so there is some uncertainty re numbers imperial.ac.uk/mrc-global-inf…
The Westerdam, the ship that was refused a dock in 5 countries even though it seemed to have no COVID-19 cases on board and was given harbour in Cambodia, delivered its first case of Corona virus, and case no. 22 for Malaysia
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There are 285 COVID-19 cases among the passengers of the Diamond Princess. The US has chartered a flight to repatriate US citizens. They will be quarantined upon arrival home.
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Diamond Princess quarantined off Japan now has 454 confirmed cases, with 19 in ICU
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1. nCoV is contagious in asymptomatic stage (you can spread the disease even when you’re NOT showing symptoms of being sick)
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1. We now know more about it
2. The old stuff won’t work
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The ⅔ number of cases exported from China going undetected? Some of those (or their consequences) are showing up
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China’s refusal to acknowledge the problem at an early stage has put the rest of the world very far behind this particular curve
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Props to the government for realizing the severity of the situation & trying to contain the outbreaks locally, with minimal info re patient 0.
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Solid move.
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But welp... the only bright spot seems to be that the majority of cases are very mild to mild.
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What are the chances that this is where their outbreaks originated?
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-High incidence in HCWs result of community transmission?!
-So China’s problems disappeared seemingly overnight with effective measures? Did he even see the size of the curve & global trajectory?
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/rant
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It would be so great if sensationalism & politics could be removed from the reporting on this pandemic
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Iran has some unique perspectives on containing COVID-19:
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covid2019.azurewebsites.net
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