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Benjamin Weingarten @bhweingarten
, 14 tweets, 10 min read Read on Twitter
A recent Pew poll indicates a staggering divergence in views on #Israel vs the Arabs of Palestine between Republicans and Democrats in America. Increasingly, Israel is becoming a one-party, Republican, issue. How and why did this happen? THREAD…
The largely Democratic American Jewish political establishment argues the Trump admin through its #Jerusalem capital recognition/embassy move decisions and beyond are cynically acting as staunchly pro-#Israel, "politicizing" the issue. Pew says otherwise…
According to the Pew poll on American views on #Israel vs. Arabs of Palestine, not just conservatives, but every group of American voters surveyed supports Israel over the Palestinians by a wide margin—with the single exception of “liberal Democrats.”…
Could it be that liberal Democrats have grown more Arabist, consistent with the growing anti-Zionist nature of the progressive movement? Does the growth in the % of progressives in the Democratic Party explain the declining Democratic support for #Israel?…
Pew's numbers show it's increasingly leftist Ds that shifted on #Israel. In '01, 29% of Ds identified as libs; by '17, 48%. In '01, 48% of libs sympathized w Israel—11% higher than “Conservative/Moderate" Ds at time—and 29% more sympathetic than libs today…
Divergence between Ds and Rs on #Israel DID NOT begin under Trump. Pew’s polling data show that Ds and Rs were largely aligned on Israel until around '08, when divergence began and rapidly widened, correlating w/ Obama's hostility towards the Jewish state…
Obama demonstrated his hostility to #Israel through among other things his:
-“Pre-1967 borders” comment
-Invocation of the “dual loyalty” canard over Jewish opposition to #IranDeal
-Siding w/ BDS
-Using US tax $ to oust Bibi
-De facto support for UNSC2234…
O also helped #Israel's worst enemies via:
-Spiking probe into #Hezbollah schemes
-Refusing to enforce #Iran sanctions enabling #Turkey-Iran gas4gold trade
-Supporting Arab Spring to benefit of jihadis
-Drawing equivalence bt jihadists/Israelis…
GOP has natural affinity for #Israel on religious & secular grounds, from Zionism of many conservative Christians, to shared morals/values/principles, to respect for a Jewish nation standing strong in a sea of Islamic supremacism, to natl interest grounds…
But it's not so much that Rs have seized on issue of #Israel as that Ds have ceded it. Ds are content to trade small % of pro-Israel D Jewish votes for Muslim votes, which means supporting policies deemed favorable toward Muslims on many issues…
Consider Democrats' treatment of #Israel vs the Arabs of Palestine issue in context of fact that today Muslims in America are disproportionately liberal, and in step with the Democratic Party…
The political logic makes sense—American Muslims are where the votes will be for Ds. US Muslim pop is expected to double by 2050 to over 2% of US pop. Jewish population is expected to decline from 1.8% to 1.4% over same period…
Growing portion of declining Jewish pop (relatively) is Orthodox, who are a staunchly pro-#Israel minority/vote overwhelmingly R. Vast majority of Jews, who have fewer children on average, are less likely to prioritize Israel issue, and overwhelmingly Ds…
Muslim votes will be a growth industry for Ds, while Jewish votes will be worth less and less. When you combine the ideological/political trends, it becomes clear that being pro-#Israel has become partisan not due to Trump but by the Left’s own words/deeds…
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