Discover and read the best of Twitter Threads about #yields

Most recents (24)

Here are a few slides I sent the guys by way of a pre-amble:
🧵
1/n
For all the blithe talk about #EnergyTransition, the blunt truth is that civilisation runs on hydrocarbons. Remove the latter and the former falls, too.

2/n
Even the food we eat requires them. We have not improved the living standards of all our teeming billions on the quasi-Neolithic methods of farming so beloved of the ignorant #Green metromarxists.

3/n
Read 8 tweets
If you intend to hold AVAX for the long term and believe in the completion of the existing ecosystem as well as the need for subnets to thrive in the future, you've probably had to decide where to stake your AVAX.

You should read this thread!

#AvaxholicInsights #CSSADT #AVAXDT
1/ What will be covered in this thread:

1⃣ Why do we need @BenqiFinance's Liquid Staking?
2⃣ What is BenQI's Liquid Staking?
3⃣ How does it work?
4⃣ BenQI plays an integral role in the Subnet Economy.
5⃣ veQI - Curve Wars on BenQI
6⃣ Potential of BenQI
2/ As we all know, for a Proof-of-Stake #Blockchain like @avalancheavax, consensus is achieved by validators running hardware and locking up $AVAX collateral to secure the network.
Read 26 tweets
A Thread on Debt to GDP Ratio 🧵



The debt-to-GDP ratio compares a country's debt to its total economic output measure by GDP for the year.


This ratio tells how the economy is doing and allows comparison.

Lets Look at where the world stands



@sahilkapoor @dugalira
What does % Mean



>100 : Country not producing enough to pay debt



100 : Just enough to pay off debt



<100: Enough economic output to make debt payments
If The % > 100: Higher risk of default and country will get loan at higher interest rate.

That further perpetuates the cycle by increasing debt —> looming financial crisis

Like the Hedonic Treadmill
Read 11 tweets
A significant #bond #buying opportunity is approaching.
As bond yields surge, history and #techncial analysis suggest that we should look at bonds for both #capital appreciation and a #risk hedge.
realinvestmentadvice.com/surge-in-bond-…
In Dec 2018, we wrote why Jeff Gundlach was likely incorrect about 6% yields.
“Rates are at levels that historically led to some sort of event either economic, financial, or both, When that occurs, rates will go to 1.5% and closer to Zero.“
We got to 0.5%
realinvestmentadvice.com/surge-in-bond-…
The surge in 2-year #bond #yields is unprecedented. Historically, such a surge in short-term yields coincides with either #recessions or #market events. With yields now 4-std deviations above its 52-week moving average, such has denoted peaks previously.
realinvestmentadvice.com/surge-in-bond-…
Read 6 tweets
Precision in market timing & proper position sizing is a 90% determinant for the success of my leveraged trades!

There’s simply no other ways around this 🚀

#SnP500 #VIX
#NQ1 A highly probable roadmap for the coming weeks; but if this looks too obvious to you, my word of caution is that it'll be 20x the opposite in real-time especially when dealing with your open leveraged positions in the lower time-frames...

#MarketTiming
#PositionSizing Image
#NQ1 roadmap updated; #NotThereYet
#Nasdaq100 #QQQ Image
Read 44 tweets
Thanks to @GeoffCutmore, @cnbcKaren & the #SquawkBox team for having me on this morning's show.

We discussed #bonds & #centralbanks, touched on #supplychains & talked of #Growth's vulnerability, #commodities' appeal.

Slide deck follows:-

1/14
Is your box still backed up in port? How much does the onward haulage cost? What happens to #freight rates after #LNY/#Beijing2022?
2/14
The bet is that #energy cannot *possibly* rise as far and fast this year as last, but what about all the other inputs? To what extent are these and other costs yet to be passed on?

#PPI #CPI

3/14
Read 15 tweets
Everyone wants those huge #gains, but not everyone knows where to look.

Did you know that the highest #yields usually come from smaller chains? Being early in #DeFi is very important!

So how does one navigate their way across the different networks?

Find out more below! 🧵👇🏻
To move assets across different #networks, we would a bridge!

Bridging can be confusing and costly. But don't let that stop you from exploring beyond your comfort zone.

Here are some ways I've found to bridge assets across any #blockchain!

$LUNA $ETH $FTM $NEAR $ONE $ROSE $SOL
For most, using CEXs such as @binance, @FTX_Official, @kucoincom, @gate_io, etc is often most convenient way to their bridge assets.

They allow asset transfers between multiple chains, while giving users the freedom to trade tokens with a small platform fee.
Read 16 tweets
Daily Bookmarks to GAVNet 12/21/2021 greeneracresvaluenetwork.wordpress.com/2021/12/21/dai…
Organizations’ system noise creates errors in decision making | McKinsey

mckinsey.com/business-funct…

#SystemNoise, #DecisionMaking, #CognitiveBias
Read 20 tweets
Wie ich es mit #Krypto schaffe...die unendlichen Möglichkeiten des Web 4.0!

Viele fragen mich nach dem nächsten Tenbagger - #Shitcoin, dem nächsten Hype-#NFT oder generell...DEM nächsten Ding. Dabei kann jeder es schaffen. Selbstständig. Wie?

1/9
Die Möglichkeiten sind praktisch unendlich. Stellt euch das Internet in den 90ern vor. Dies ist die nächste Chance. Jedoch befreit von allen Kontrollen und Zensur, frei vom Einfluss des Kapitals. Freie Ideen und Gedanken in die Blockchain gegossen.

2/9
Es ist erst einmal schwer zu glauben: #Adaption ist ein Prozess. Vor 100 Jahren glaubte man nicht, dass man am offenen Herzen operieren, Frauen wählen oder kleine Bildschirme unser Leben bestimmen würden. Und nun sind wir hier.

3/9
Read 9 tweets
As expected, the @federalreserve’s Federal Open Market Committee continued to discuss its plans to reduce, or #taper, the pace of its #AssetPurchase program at yesterday’s meeting.
While the details of this discussion were fairly sparse, the Committee statement did state that: “If progress continues broadly as expected, the Committee judges that a moderation in the pace of asset purchases may soon be warranted.”
Further, at the recent #Fed conference in Jackson Hole, Wyo., and at the press conference, Fed #ChairPowell emphasized that both he and most Committee participants now consider the test of “substantial further progress” toward the #inflation mandate to be largely satisfied.
Read 10 tweets
Bridge your assets to @SecretNetwork and get earning on these juicy rewards! 💦

Bridges to BSC, ETH, & XMR LIVE! More under construction 🏗️

Use the bridges🌉
bridge.scrt.network

Learn more 🧐
docs.secretswap.io/secretswap/pro…

Get earning with 🤑
app.secretswap.io/earn Image
SEFI - sXMR
191% APY
$1,327,606.67 TVL

$XMR @monero #Monero #XMR $SEFI #SecretFinance #YieldFarm #LiquidityMining Image
SEFI - sUSDC
166% APY
$1,445,499.14 TVL

#USDC $USDC #PriFi #DarkFi #StableCoin #YieldFarming Image
Read 20 tweets
1/Thanks to @steve_sedgwick and @cnbcKaren for having me on @CNBC #SquawkBox this morning.

We talked about - what else? - #inflation and #centralbanks and whether the #Fed & peers are 'making an historic mistake', in Steve's words.

A few charts & comments for background:-
2/It's trite to say the jump in price indices is *all* attributable to a 'basis effect' when they've accelerated so much THIS year.
3/ #JeromePowell and his merry band may wish to believe that the rise is a mere blip, but all too many businessmen & women (i.e., the people who *really* matter) seem to believe the converse is the case.
Read 10 tweets
What is going on in the #treasury market? 10 year treasury just hit 1.13%. Yet my fair value model has it at 1.75% (incorporates Copper/Gold and other ratios - r2 of 90%+) #bonds #yields #YieldCurve ImageImage
This is right as fears of growth slowing down are coming up #jobs #ADP
usnews.com/news/economy/a…
Yet, the #ISM Manufacturing PMI is still in a highly expansionary state at 59.1 Image
Read 15 tweets
I am 55/45 leaning towards: the market will simply discount higher rates in the future, but liquidity is still plentiful and those tech stocks and #bitcoin are quite a bit cheaper now so maybe ppl buy. That's my hope.

But can't stress enough: closer to the end than the beginning
Positioning in $BtC futures as well as leverage and #tehter premium in discount certainly would allow for some bounce...
Read 3 tweets
Recently, Dr. Shiller suggested that #valuations really aren't that high once you fall in the #Fed trap of using #earnings #yields and #low #rates to justify it. The problem is it is a #rationalization to justify overpaying for #assets.
realinvestmentadvice.com/shiller-ecy-ju…
The main problem in using low-interest rates as a rationalization to overpay for assets is that you have to also discount #future #cashflows for lower inflation and rates as well.
realinvestmentadvice.com/shiller-ecy-ju…
"As low-interest rates went lower, the dynamic changed from using debt productively to using debt for non-productive purposes such as dividend issuance, share buybacks, and, in some cases, offsetting negative cash flows."
realinvestmentadvice.com/shiller-ecy-ju…
Read 6 tweets
The Real Vision Daily Briefing

DJI ⬇️ .07%
S&P ⬆️ .76%
NASDAQ ⬆️ 2.01%

@edwardnh @AshBennington @JackFarley96
The @pfizer vaccine needs to be stored at -90 degrees Fahrenheit - result: “freezing stocks” flew on the news! Image
As hope set in, guess who else came back to life?? The movies! Image
Read 9 tweets
Since the start of the worldwide #pandemic the U.S. government has poured trillions of dollars into the battered economy, hoping to avoid another #depression , While this has kept many businesses across the country alive, it has sparked on what the impact would be on the world’s
financial markets. For years, bankers and #hedgefund managers had been piling on more increasingly risky financial products that the markets were deeming as #safehavens
On a level of the entire U.S. equities market, the sustained lowering of the risk-free interest rate brings
about an inevitable rise in the price of asset classes, as we have seen over the past 12 years.
Having kept interest rates at historically low levels since the aftermath of the financial crisis, the Federal Reserve had very little room to move rates lower when the pandemic
Read 9 tweets
We’ve seen near a 20-basis point backup in long #bond #rates since the beginning of the month, which has come alongside many #economic data prints that have surprised to the upside, as well as firmer than expected #inflation. Image
One question to consider, then, is how much of this #economic improvement is due to restocking dynamics versus more permanent/structural gains to #economic activity? The answer to that is likely to become more apparent in the months ahead.
We foresee a gradually rising range for long-end #yields in the year’s second half, as @USTreasury issuance will remain robust. Image
Read 5 tweets
A relative of mine came to me to look for best #FixedDeposit option available today, and that got me thinking that there should be a #Stock which can fulfill this purpose, and voila i got 1 #SJVN, so here is a thread, why at current levels it is a FD.
@VPaldiwal
#SJVN is the principal business activity #Electricity #generation of the company. The company is also engaged in the business of providing consultancy. Both of these segments are not affected due to #COVID19
SJVN Ltd. been honored with the CBIP Award-2020 of Best Performing #Hydro #Power Company. Company has 5 working projects. 2 #Hydro, 2 #Wind and 1 #Solar. Capacities & Locations are mentioned below: Image
Read 16 tweets
Extraordinary times when a taxable #corporate issuer ($AMZN) can fund for three years at 40 basis points! Still, we don’t think there’s much of a chance of #default in three years and the short-term spread to comparable @USTreasury notes is reasonable, given present conditions. Image
But is this the right price to be funding companies longer-term, versus their long-term #earnings, and cash flow #yields available in #equity markets? Absolutely not! So, that suggests that the forward curves for many of the rates #markets are priced incorrectly, in our view.
We think all of this implies that balance in #portfolios is a harder and harder ideal to achieve, but over the intermediate- to long-term, is still one that’s well rewarded.
Read 3 tweets
Most of the rally at the longer end of the yield curve has already come about since the time @RBI started reducing policy rates. So, longer end of the #yield curve could thus prove less rewarding and risky (expected to encounter high #volatility) in the foreseeable #future. Image
- We may not see significant rally in longer duration funds.

- The rate cut would have limited impacted on prices & the yields in shorter duration #funds. (2) #mutualfunds #DebtFunds #debt #SaarthiZarooriHai #AssetAllocation
As govt. has raised its FY21 #borrowing limit by over 50% to ₹12 lakh crores from ₹7.8 lakh crores on account of COVID-19 #pandemic. Higher borrowing puts upward pressure on #bond #yields.
#mutualfunds #debt #DebtFunds #funds (3/3)
Read 3 tweets
Extended COVID-19 lockdown is likely to amplify #credit risk (owing to a slowdown in business). #Investors must stick to #debt #mutualfunds where the #fund manager does not chase #yields by taking higher #CreditRisk. @fifaindiaorg @cafemutual @networkfp @bsindia @livemint (1)
#Investors should prefer to #invest in instruments issued by government & public sector enterprises. Must stay away from those having high exposure to private issuers, whether AAA or not. No one should forget that #investing in #debt #funds is, was & will never be risk-free. (2)
Currently it is proposed to opt for a pure #LiquidFund and/or #OvernightFund which does not have high exposure to private issuers, no matter AAA or not.

Assess your #RiskAppetite & #investment tenure while #investing in #debt #funds & prefer safety of principal over returns.
Read 3 tweets
Though it hardly needs to be said, there are few historical precedents for us to look to that are truly comparable to recent #Fed policy moves. The 2008/09 #GFC is an obvious analogue, but the pace and extent of #policy moves is even eclipsing that.
Another potential point of reference is the Second World War when, following Pearl Harbor, the @federalreserve pledged that it would be: “prepared to use its powers to assure at all times an ample supply of funds for financing the war effort.”
That stance, in effect, left the @federalreserve’s System Open Market Account’s (#SOMA) size at the mercy of #Congress and the Administration, which is a clear example of the #Fed doing “whatever it takes” to prevent unwanted increases in #yields to fund #fiscal crisis response.
Read 7 tweets

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