Will #Nigeria break up? Maybe. But it will be very messy as there are issues that need sorting, and they are, well, difficult...
Since sea trade is vital, the Crimea IS vital.
Things have gotten worse...
It's the North.
Place that side by side with the global HDI map, and it immediately becomes clear that Northern Nigeria is geographically contigous with the worst parts of the planet!
Many would say crude oil.
They are wrong.
We don't like each other in #Nigeria, but the North (at least) will fight to keep this union because sea access is vital for their survival.
Why do you think they didn't secede in July 1966?
David Hunt and Kashim Ibrahim sat him down and explained why his plan was stupid. That is why the plan changed.
Access to the sea is still in the South of #Nigeria, so the North will hold on to this contraption tighter than their true love.
It won't be easy, it's not meant to be easy. But if we are really as smart as we think we are, and with some honesty, then it can happen.
That will be all for now.