Reports on #Iran-#SaudiArabia intelligence contact in #Iraq.

#Zarif leaves #Qatar. #Saudi FM lands in #Doha, invites Emir Sheikh Tamim to meet the King in #Riyadh.

#Tehran (& the #US?) appears to try to take the #Gulf on board.

This could isolate #Israel in a revived #JCPOA.
Some in #Vienna appear to want to isolate #Israel. But officials in #Gulf/#GCC face a difficult choice. They have to weigh if a compromise on #JCPOA and weakening Israel's position will resolve the problem of #Iran's malign activities? Or will it be a temporary solution?
The #US is directly engaging #GCC on #JCPOA, while FM #Zarif engages #SaudiArabia through #Qatar and #Iraq.

If the #Gulf comes aboard, #Israel and #Republicans will be effectively sidelined.

This effectively means the #IRGC-propped system inside #Iran and within the region will get a second lease; brought back to life from near-choke caused by #MaximumPressure. Question is: will missile program+malign regional activity be contained this time?

Clear signs that FM #Zarif is on a mission to lower tensions with #Iran's neighbors, promise them better cooperation, esp with #SaudiArabia #Iraq #Afghanistan, in order to minimize opposition to #JCPOA and isolate #Israel and #Republicans, as #Vienna talks proceed. Here in Iraq:
FM #Zarif is the show. He does an excellent job of making the world's only clerical regime look good. These days he is trying to end #Saudi+#Arab doubts on #JCPOA in order to isolate #Israel and make #Biden's job easier. But overexposure has its downsides:

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More from @_AhmedQuraishi

21 Apr
#Pakistan FM seeks #Iran's support for PM #ImranKhan's agenda on #Islamophobia & #France, amid signs no #Muslim country so far supports this agenda.

In his public statement, Iran FM #Zarif has politely indulged Pak FM on this issue but without a clear commitment to this agenda.
#Pakistan Foreign Minister @SMQureshiPTI in #Tehran called on #Iran to support PM #ImranKhan's agenda on #Islamophobia & #France. He also invited #Turkey & #KSA to join in.

Seems difficult. Iran enjoys good ties w/ France. And so does Pres #Erdogan now.

FM @SMQureshiPTI in #Tehran said he will seek #Turkey Pres #Erdogan's support for PM @ImranKhanPTI's anti-#France agenda.

He might get little support beyond lip service. Presidents @RTErdogan+@EmmanuelMacron recently had recently had a good meeting:

Read 5 tweets
20 Apr
'#Taliban as proxies in #Pakistan's endless war' is a cliché from the 2000s. It's outdated. Time to take stock of new realities in Pakistani military thinking because the #US #NATO & #Pakistan must prevent a new civil war in #Afghanistan. /1

No one can win in #Afghanistan. Not even the #Taliban. Some actors would love to see a permanent Afghan war of attrition that engulfs #America+#Pakistan+#Afghanistan. Make no mistake: a new #Islamabad+#WashingtonDC blame game will expedite such a war. /2

What's happening in #Afghanistan is by no means #Pakistan's proxy war. But it is the proxy war of multiple actors who want Afghanistan to be a permanent bleeding ground for #America #Pakistan #NATO. /3

macdonaldlaurier.ca/files/pdf/2021…
Read 8 tweets
18 Apr
The #IRGC loses a seasoned commander, reports #Iran media. It lost #Soleimani in 2020.
The #IRGC has commanders with impressive experiences: #Soleimani was involved in the #Gulf/#Iraq. #EsmailQaani is touted for his expertise on #Afghanistan+#Pakistan. Hejazi, who died today, was a #Lebanon expert.

☠ Hejazi was also responsible for #IRGC's precision missile program, and oversaw ops in #Syria. In this #thread, contributors in replies suggest possible foul play, and point out confusion over the wording of the cause of death in official announcements.

Read 4 tweets
15 Apr
#French Navy Charles De Gaulle Carrier Strike Group is in #ArabianSea near #Pakistan shores where #France has advised citizens to leave. France joined #Quad drills last week as French FM visited #India. Note: tense ties with PM #ImranKhan's govt precede #TLP riots. 🇵🇰🇫🇷
#Pakistan tries to assure #France & international community that French citizens are safe in the country. Pak is the only Muslim nation rocked by this type of violence, a sign of simmering extremism. PM #ImranKhan led anti-France criticism last year.

Many in Europe & the Mideast see PM #ImranKhan's statements last year against #France as having stoked anger and failed to contribute to resolving the problem. President #Erdogan was also critical but he recently improved his relations with Pres #Macron.

Read 5 tweets
14 Apr
#Pakistan bans an Islamist party behind violent anti-#France protests that crippled normal life in major cities this week. Tehreek-e-Labbaik Pakistan #TLP demanded expulsion of #French ambassador. Bold and unexpected move by PM #ImranKhan government.

#TLPNationWideProtest
The story, first reported by @AzazSyed, represents a welcome departure for PM #ImranKhan's #Pakistan government. Blacklisting #TLP will also help improve his govt's ties with #France which deteriorated last year:

#Pakistan's welcome decision to blacklist #TLP after violent anti-#France riots should lead to some introspection among Pakistani politicians & the public (yet to happen), starting with: Why is it that Pakistan is the *only* Muslim nation seeing this type of violence?
Read 7 tweets
10 Apr
#Pakistan PM #ImranKhan regrets increase in sexual attacks against women+children but links them to women's clothing & vaguely-defined "obscenity."

By this flawed standard, #Muslim-majortiy cities like #Istanbul #Dubai #KualaLumpur should see an outbreak.
Prime Minister #ImranKhan's controversial remarks linking #rape to women's dresses surprised even his ex @Jemima_Khan:

PM #ImranKhan's remarks on rape vs woman's dress resonated internationally, including in the Middle East. This #Egyptian celebrity asked the PM, "Do child victims of rape also wear objectionable clothes?"

Read 9 tweets

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