Discover and read the best of Twitter Threads about #onhealth

Most recents (24)

My reply to the new Minister of Health’s appointment. #onhealth
You and colleagues were celebrating the opening of restaurants and other businesses and telling Ontario it was time to reopen as you ignored dire warnings of experts who were brought to tears and while the province was only starting vaccinations.
Let’s not forget that special orders had to be issued to avoid tent wards outside hospitals, orders that had untrained staff looking after patients. Let’s not forget that you and your colleagues were ordering policing and closed playgrounds instead of following experts’ advice.
Read 5 tweets
UKHSA Variant Technical briefing June 24:
- BA.4 and BA.5 now represent 22% and 39% of new #Covid19 cases in the UK
- BA.5 is growing 35% faster than BA.2; BA.4 is growing 19% faster
Related: England's hospital admissions are growing at 41% per week.…
Ontario projected June 22 BA.5 status from latest PHO update:
"Based on Nowcast modelling, the proportion of BA.5 is projected to reach 43.6% (95% CI: 25.7% - 63.2%) by June 22"
Read 7 tweets
Another donor just gave more than twice as much as the Muzzo, yet it's Muzzo's name on the building. There goes that excuse, @MackenzieHealth. What other lies you got? Taxpayers paid the VAST majority of the costs for this hospital. #onpoli #onhealth…
Now, who are these undoubtedly lovely people...? And how far up @fordnation's ass are they? And which corrupt businesses do they run on the side? Because, if they want to clean up their name, @MackenzieHealth is always open for business, for some.
Vaughan based developers. Wow, shocker. Familiar with any of these @HBNGholborn properties? Image
Read 5 tweets
With news of Justin Trudeau's second infection this year, it's important to know we're at higher risk of reinfection now, given the new variants' higher immunity evasiveness and waning of prior vaccinations and infections over time.
#onhealth #covid19…
This is one of several reasons why I strongly recommend the use of N95 masks at indoor public settings, regardless of your vaccine or prior infection history. I also continue to stress the need for proactive govt steps in the areas of public setting ventilation and mask reqts.
A smart Fall strategy would include indoor public setting ventilation/filtration standards and certification, education on how covid is airborne and the importance of masks, as well as free distribution of N95 masks to those sectors of the public who can't afford them.
Read 6 tweets
I hope all hospitals in Ontario ensure that mask mandates continue and that health care agencies that provide care to those in vulnerable positions like homebound seniors continue to do the right and ethical thing. #onhealth
I hope transit authorities consider the added risk lower income workers who are immunocompromised or have health risks in their families will now face as they take the only affordable transportation to and from work.
In short, I hope there are people of backbone in positions of responsibility across the province who will do the right thing and not the convenient default option the province has laid before them.
Read 5 tweets
🧵My quick thoughts on Dr. Moore's statement today.
“With high vaccination rates and Ontario’s COVID-19 situation continuing to improve, most of the province’s remaining provincial masking requirements, including public transit, will expire"
#onpoli #onhealth #covid19
"high vaccination rates"
First, what matters is THREE doses and even then most Ontarian's have limited and waning protection against infection. "Fully vaccinated" based on two doses is harmful and misleading. UKHSA vaccine surveillance report
Most age groups under 60 have inadequate third dose coverage. Only 60.4% of adults have had a third dose. And only 36.5% of children have had a second dose. The high vaccination rationale is vacuous.
Read 12 tweets
🧵June 8, 2022 update on selected Ontario #covid19 trends.
1. Hospitalizations are down -200 (-27.7%) from last week and now stand at 522 👏. ICU is down -10.2% to 114. 40.6% of hospitalizations are "for" covid (vs "with").
#covid19ontario #onhealth #onpoli Image
2. The 7 day average of reported new deaths dropped significantly to 4.9 per day from 12.3 last week 🙏. This is in line with the continued drop in wastewater signal over recent weeks and the ~ 3 week lag in deaths.
#onhealth #onpoli #covid19ontario Image
3. Those select groups like HCWs who are eligible for PCR tests are continuing to show declining test positivity. The weekly pooled estimate is now 7.2%.
#onhealth #covid19ontario Image
Read 15 tweets
Even though infection levels have fallen to lower levels, Ontario is planning the removal of mask mandates for health care settings in 4 days. This can only add to the infection of our most health-vulnerable and deter others from seeking needed hospital care. Insane. #onhealth
Every vestige of protection for those most at risk is being removed. This will lead to additional deaths. Make no mistake.
"Lower infection levels" does not mean low levels. Test positivity for select populations which include hospitals and those more at risk are still well above the WHO standard for high test positivity of 5%.
Read 5 tweets
🧵Inspired by @cdavidnaylor, a talk with my dog Casper on Ontario's sick school kids.
Casper: How come so many kids have gotten sick this year Bill?
Bill: It's a long story. It starts with the idea that kids have to be in school no matter what because education is important. Image
Casper: What does school have to do with being sick?
Bill: This new Omicron virus can make you sick and spreads much more easily in indoor air when large groups are together a long time in one room. Like a school classroom.
Casper: Can't they make schools safe or keep kids home?
Bill: Parents need to work and want to believe schools are safe because their government said they were with extra cleaning, masks, filters, keeping desks 6' apart, tracking cases, and having the sick stay home.
Read 26 tweets
🧵Let's look at a few Ontario #covid19 trends.
#covid19ontario #onhealth
1. Hospitalizations are down -18.3% over last week (1248) as hospitals recover from wave 6. 7 day average ICU admissions are up slightly. Only 37.9% of hospitalizations are "for" covid (vs "with"). Image
2. The hospital picture is now strongly tilted to hospital wards vs ICU. This is tied primarily to high incidental infection rates among those admitted/hospitalized, vaccination levels (rates are high for 60+) and [presumably] improved treatment.
#onhealth #covid19 Image
3. New deaths appear to have moderated for this wave. The peak reached a 7 day daily average of 19.9, two-thirds the peak of the Wave 3 Alpha wave last Spring. Image
Read 11 tweets
New nasal vaccines look promising and may help fill the gap in infection control against Omicron.
#onhealth #covid19
Several trials underway. But as you know these take time and go through several phases before filing for approval.…
I see one approved Phase 1 trial in Canada started a year ago by Altimmune but was ditched after disappointing results.…
Read 5 tweets
🧵Ontario is seeing drops across #covid19 hospitalization and death indicators today.
1. Hospitalizations have stabilized and are down -8 from a week ago. They now stand at 1,676.
#onhealth #covid19ontario #covid19
2. ICU is down to 188, -24 from a week ago.
3. New adult ICU admissions are falling, 9 were reported today.
Read 5 tweets
APR 29: #COVID19 in #Ontario
2760 cases, 20* deaths, 3462 resolved
19235 tests/day, 7135 pending, 13.2% pos
1679 hospitalized🏥
209 in ICU (94 on ventilator)

+33,077 vaccinations💉
See thread for more graphs📈⤵️
#Covid_19 #covid #Omicron
#COVID19 ICU in #Ontario 🚨🏥
ICU total: 209
ICU non-ventilated: 115
ICU+ventilator: 94

#COVIDー19 #COVID19Ontario #onpoli
#Covid19Ontario daily cases vs. total current hospitalizations
Read 14 tweets
🧵I am seeing a significant slowing in the Ontario weekly growth rate of hospitalizations. This is consistent with the prior slowing of the wastewater signal and PCR-eligible test positivity and is a welcome development.
#onhealth #covid19ontario #covid19
This is the PCR test positivity trend I was referring to, it is only for those at higher risk so may not reflect the provincial trend.
The wastewater signal has provisional estimates (dashed) where there is incomplete data and is very volatile. I focus on the solid line. But it's also possible the trend could continue to grow as the dashed line indicates, perhaps aided by last long weekend's gatherings.
Read 7 tweets
APR 27: #COVID19 in #Ontario
3005 cases, 22* deaths, 4055 resolved
23230 tests/day, 7914 pending, 15.2% pos
1734 hospitalized🏥
211 in ICU (92 on ventilator)

+34,168 vaccinations💉
See thread for more graphs📈⤵️
#Covid_19 #covid #Omicron Image
#COVID19 ICU in #Ontario 🚨🏥
ICU total: 211
ICU non-ventilated: 119
ICU+ventilator: 92

#COVIDー19 #COVID19Ontario #onpoli Image
#Covid19Ontario daily cases vs. total current hospitalizations Image
Read 14 tweets
1/ If I have symptoms or test positive on a RAT test, I will isolate using a #covidisairborne plan and not exit until I test negative for two days. I'm aware how RATs work, how transmissible #Omicron is, and how long I may be infectious.
#onhealth #covid19…
2/ When infection levels are high, rapid tests are exceptionally accurate at detecting my infectiousness. They are also less accurate at confirming I am not infectious. That's why I will ensure I have two negative RAT tests 24 hours apart to exit isolation.
3/ I will not allow confusing public messaging to confuse me. PCR tests are different, they can confirm that someone has been infected with high accuracy for a long time after infection (even up to 90 days) but they are not able to tell me when I am infectious. I trust science.
Read 8 tweets
Ontario #covid19 hospitalizations at 1,730 (+7.1% vs last week*). We're seeing a slowing growth rate. Clearer picture tomorrow. ICU up +6.3% vs LW.
*somewhat an estimate since I had to estimate last Tuesday's underreported hospitalizations.
#onhealth #covid19ontario Image
New Adult ICU admissions.
#onhealth Image
A closer examination of ICU trends. #onhealth Image
Read 4 tweets
APR 25: #COVID19 in #Ontario
2028 cases, 2* deaths, 2641 resolved
13247 tests/day, 4688 pending, 15.3% pos
1455 hospitalized🏥
219 in ICU (97 on ventilator)

+8,625 vaccinations💉
See thread for more graphs📈⤵️
#Covid_19 #covid #Omicron
#COVID19 ICU in #Ontario 🚨🏥
ICU total: 219
ICU non-ventilated: 122
ICU+ventilator: 97

#COVIDー19 #COVID19Ontario #onpoli
#Covid19Ontario daily cases vs. total current hospitalizations
Read 14 tweets
Error: I mistakenly said this chart was by @PublicHealthON, my apologies. This chart is by the Govt of Ontario itself(Ministry of Health) and is on its main website under vaccinations. (I deleted the original thread mentioning PHO).
#onhealth Image
@PublicHealthON continuing the thread again...

... are vaccinated. If we look at this Science Table chart, we get a clearer picture of how well vaccines are working. Evaluating vaccines needs proper data, not a heavily biased sample from high risk hospital workers and others. Image
@PublicHealthON Age is also a major confounder in the Ministry's chart and is not accounted for under "all ages". That, plus the unique biased sample they used makes it very misleading misinformation. If we look at their chart for 60+, there is less confounding and we see a different picture. Image
Read 5 tweets
How can a govt spew out this big lie with a straight face "Ontario continues to EFFECTIVELY manage the sixth wave". This fig leaf of partial mask mandates is just that, another in a long stream of nothingburgers that leave Ontarians getting infected in massive numbers each day.
We're talking benign masks here, not some draconian measure that can only be used in the most serious situations. The infection levels are serious almost everywhere. The way they ration these mandates out you would think people are being locked down with chains. It's a mask lol.
"Sure, maybe there's 10,000 fewer infections today with mask mandates but what about acne? /s
Read 4 tweets
🧵New US published study of nearly 10,000 #covid19 breakthrough infections after vaccination in 2021 shows no reduction in #longcovid feature risk. Also, in general, 60+ are less likely to see vaccine benefits on many outcomes of breakthrough infections.… Image
A matched retrospective cohort has used to arrive at the hazard ratios shown here. Breakthrough infection outcome HR's to the left of the dashed line show risk reductions associated with prior vaccination. Reductions for ICU and death are significant, long term sequelae are not. Image
Long term feature (any) risk from breakthrough infections is not significantly different than unvaccinated infections. Also, <60 have significantly lower death risk from breakthrough infections than unvaxxed but 60+ do not. Image
Read 8 tweets
APR 18: #COVID19 in #Ontario
2219 cases, 2* deaths, 2382 resolved
10060 tests/day, 3784 pending, 18.7% pos
1301 hospitalized🏥
202 in ICU (91 on ventilator)

+5,699 vaccinations💉
See thread for more graphs📈⤵️
#Covid_19 #covid #Omicron
#COVID19 ICU in #Ontario 🚨🏥
ICU total: 202
ICU non-ventilated: 111
ICU+ventilator: 91

#COVIDー19 #COVID19Ontario #onpoli
Read 15 tweets
1/🧵#Ontario wave 6 analysis
One caution I have raised about new waves is that early infections start in younger age cohorts then progress to older. Here is the age-test positivity for those eligible for restricted PCR testing. As you can see,
#covid19 #covid19ontario #onhealth
2/ wave 6 in Ontario is following that pattern, eventually those more risk averse, better protected by vaccines and with fewer social/work/school contacts on average suffer enough cumulative exposure risk that they too become infected.
3/ The problem in Ontario is that we cannot monitor that properly since PCR tests were severely restricted to select groups like health care workers, long term care, and other special groups on 12/31/21. Nonetheless, the same age pattern has emerged.…
Read 8 tweets
In the absence of accurate case reporting for Ontario and to add to the wastewater signal, I have attempted to highlight a set of "wave signals" in this chart. Signals may be multipliers of original indicators, so trends can be overlaid and compared.
#covid19ontario #onhealth
For example, the "hospitalized with covid" makes use of the fact that there is PCR testing for hospitals and the "with" classification may be more linked to community prevalence.
The deaths signal is a lagging indicator and it is included to help show its relationship to the earlier indicators. Again, the indicator is a multiple of the actual death data.
Read 4 tweets

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