Thread by @bmilakovsky

I recently posted how #Poroshenko’s 2014 win required untenable coalition of pro-Maidan liberals+ conservatives who thought he’d cut pragmatic businessman deal with Russia. Inevitable some would be disappointed. #Zelensky’s electoral coalition even worse. #UkraineElection. THREAD

I mentioned acquaintance who helped establish Poroshenko Bloc office in #Luhansk Oblast in 2014, got elected to Lisichansk city council. Got disenchanted with prez for not confronting entrenched regional elites to see through #Maidan policies. Now firm Zelensky supporter.

Yesterday spoke with different neighbor, also voted for Zelensky after voting #Boiko first round. Born in Russia, 50 yrs working in #Donbas factory, classic Opposition Bloc voter. Frustrated about industrial decline. Politics border with separatist sympathizing.

When Zelensky came to our city last year on comedy tour this neighbor refused to go see him, doesn’t like comic’s conspicuous support of war effort. But now seems enthusiastic about new president. First of all hopes for softer line on #Russia.

Politics of these neighbors cardinally opposed. How long can #Zelensky govern before electoral base fractures? Neither of neighbors “average” UA voter. Former too liberal, latter too Russia friendly. Will lose one/both. Does he have a center to hold? END