Discover and read the best of Twitter Threads about #ky06

Most recents (17)

ELECTION NIGHT THREAD: This will be my thread for the night, starting with this great story from @katherinemiller, with its hour-by-hour accounting of what is going on tonight and when it's (likely) going to happen. buzzfeednews.com/article/kather…
And ... polls are closed in Kentucky and Indiana.
NOTE: As happens every election, there'll be a couple polling places/counties in several states that stay open later due to issues from earlier in the day. So, check your specific county/polling place if you need to vote! For ex, Monroe County in Indiana: idsnews.com/article/2018/1…
Read 43 tweets
🚨MY MASTER THREAD of #Midterm2018 results analysis, including an array of data dives. Will the country chose to repudiate president Trump? Health care instead of the wall? RT & strap in, folks, tonight could be a wild ride. We get the first batch of results at around 6 PM ET.
Turnout has looked unprecedented for weeks now. Indications today that it could even beat these lofty expectations. At this point I think I’d buy for pickups in Tossup sub/urban seats like #TX07 #TX32 and #TX26, but sell in more rural districts that have looked like reaches.
Read 82 tweets
I made a list of the 55 House districts to watch, w/ the 32 key seats for Dems to win a net +23 to win the House. It’s also a viewing guide, organized roughly on poll closing times. (Based on @CookPolitical categories, @FiveThirtyEight, and the Hillary 25) shugerblog.com/2018/11/06/201…
2/ I'll post analysis of Senate and Governorships. Also watch the Attorneys General and State Supreme Court.
Texas, vote for my friend Justin @NelsonForTexas against an *indicted* and corrupt incumbent!
Justin is the real deal - super smart, devoted, hard working, progressive.
3/ Michigan, vote for @sbagen Sam Bagenstos for Supreme Court!
I can't imagine a better state supreme court justice. Brilliant scholar, rule-of-law defender, progressive perspective.
Michigan's Supreme Court has made huge decisions over the past decade. It needs Sam's wisdom.
Read 12 tweets
1/
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Newsday --- October 19th, 2018 --- Fri

Nov 6th, 2018
18 Days Until Mid-Terms

Daily Reminder That Democrats...

1- Are Socialists
2- Want your guns taken away and your family killed.
3- Protects millions of Mexican Illegals
who will hurt your daughters (Mollie Tibbetts)
1/
.
Newsday --- October 19th, 2018 --- Fri

Nov 6th, 2018
18 Days Until Mid-Terms

Daily Reminder That Democrats...

1- Are Socialists
2- Want your guns taken away and your family killed.
3- Protects millions of Mexican Illegals
who will hurt your daughters (Mollie Tibbetts)
1/
.
Newsday --- October 19th, 2018 --- Fri

Nov 6th, 2018
18 Days Until Mid-Terms

I am adopting "The Wictor Block" Rule:

Be smart/playful/sincere....Feels Good Man

You come at me too hard and aggressively....looking for a response:
I will Block and Move On.
Read 40 tweets
1/
.
Newsday --- October 9th, 2018 --- Tues

Nov 6th, 2018
28 Days Until Mid-Terms

Daily Reminder That Democrats...

1- Are Socialists
2- Want your guns taken away and your family killed.
3- Protects millions of Mexican Illegals
who will hurt your daughters (Mollie Tibbetts)
1/
.
Newsday --- October 9th, 2018 --- Tues

Nov 6th, 2018
28 Days Until Mid-Terms

Daily Reminder That Democrats...

1- Are Socialists
2- Want your guns taken away and your family killed.
3- Protects millions of Mexican Illegals
who will hurt your daughters (Mollie Tibbetts)
2/
.
Newsday --- October 9th, 2018 --- Tues

Nov 6th, 2018
28 Days Until Mid-Terms

I am adopting "The Wictor Block" Rule:

Be smart/playful/sincere....Feels Good Man

You come at me too hard and aggressively....looking for a response:
I will Block and Move On.
Read 31 tweets
McGrath (D)’s problem is that she’s well past the point of diminishing returns in a market as cheap as Lexington & even risks fatiguing #KY06 voters (see Ossoff, Jon).
By contrast, there are still a lot of races without star candidates that are *underfunded* for Dems. Dems risk leaving a few of them on the table on Election Night.
This is precisely what happened to ‘17 VA Dems, who *underestimated* the wave and failed to adequately fund a bunch of 2nd-tier Dems who fell just short while many of the best-funded won by a mile.
Read 3 tweets
Here are 10 Democratic House candidates who have a good shot at flipping red seats blue, but for lacking sufficient $$$ to run a successful campaign in the final weeks. Pls consider donating. Thread.

1. @LaurenBaer #FL18 laurenbaerforcongress.com
Read 15 tweets
🚨“CONGRESSIONAL LEADERSHIP FUND” THREAD🚨

As Green Day once sang: “Do You Know Your Enemy?”

If not, we need to have a talk about the Congressional Leadership Fund (@CLFSuperPac).

THEY ARE THE ENEMY of the 2018 Midterm Elections and they WILL cost us seats IF we let them.
The CLF is a right-wing SuperPAC spearheaded by Paul Ryan. It’s goal is to lie about and smear as many Democratic candidates as possible.

They have raised more than $100Million from billionaires looking to keep the GOP in power.
opensecrets.org/news/2018/08/w…
Back in May, Paul Ryan personally solicited billionaire Sheldon Adelson for $30Million for the CLF. He made the pitch and then walked out of the room so that someone else could make the actual “ask”, in order to avoid campaign finance violations.
esquire.com/news-politics/…
Read 17 tweets
CNN Key Race move 14 seats:

11 to Dems
3 to Rs

Currently 11 seats held/vacated by Rs, CNN rate lean Dem or better, Dem party about halfway to 23 needed to win control of the House

30 districts are Toss-Ups
28 belong to Rs
Hillary won 12 of them in 2016

cnn.it/2wzlxXo
#CA45 Race moves from Lean Republican to Toss-Up

#CA50 Race moves from Solid Republican to Likely Republican

#IA04 Race moves from Solid Republican to Likely Republican

#KS02 Race moves from Lean Republican to Toss-Up

#KS03 Race moves from Lean Republican to Toss-Up
#KY06 Race moves from Lean Republican to Toss-Up

#NJ03 Race moves from Lean Republican to Toss-Up

#OH01 Race moves from Lean Republican to Toss-Up

#OH12 Race moves from Toss-Up to Lean Republican

#OH14 Race moves from Likely Republican to Lean Republican
Read 4 tweets
Holy crap. The new Sabato Crystal Ball House ratings change is...big.

This is the first time the Crystal Ball has given Democrats better than 50/50 odds of taking the House. And there is a LOT to unpack here.

centerforpolitics.org/crystalball/ar…
Here are Sabato's topline changes.

5 races are no longer Safe R: #IA04, #IN02, #IN09, #PA16, #TX31

3 races shift from Likely R to Lean R: #AR02, #FL16, #NM02

9 more R seats are now Tossups: #IA03, #IL06, #KY06, #MI08, #OH01, #OH12, #TX07, #WV03

And #FL13 is now Safe D.
Here are a few takeaways:

-White nationalist Rep. Steve King has a credible challenge
-IN and WV have competitive House races (and the extra attention from Ds could help their senators here)
-#OH12 special is REALLY close
-Dem women vets (McGrath, Hegar) are kicking ass.
Read 3 tweets
THREAD

Q2 Fundraising is over, and Democrats did a great job!

But I was chatting with @ybbkaren and an interesting question came up:

With SO MANY great candidates, how do we decide who needs donations the most? Many are worthy, but our personal funds are not unlimited.
So I came up with an idea for my own list of Dems who need $$$ based upon the following criteria:

*They have won their primary
*They are trying to flip “swing” GOP-held seats (per @CookPolitical ratings)
*They are behind their GOP opponents in “Cash on Hand” (per @OpenSecretsDC)
That’s not to say that other Democrats in swing districts are not worthy. They are. But the following, from a strategic $$$ perspective, might be the best place to donate *for now*.

This is the list of those House candidates, and their donation links, based on that criteria:
Read 27 tweets
Coming back from the holiday and catching up on the news? Here are some of the biggest stories you may have missed!
Republicans are standing by while Trump sabotages health care markets and raises premiums AGAIN! #ACA #ProtectOurCare nytimes.com/2018/07/07/us/…
GOP candidate says something racist? Say NO to racism by voting for @PaulDavisKS!

"While CNN has rated the race to replace Jenkins as leaning Republican, Democrats have lined up behind former Kansas House Minority Leader Paul Davis to flip the district."
cnn.com/2018/07/07/pol…
Read 20 tweets
🚨 Please share broadly! As usual, the Kochs are dumping tons of money into GOP candidates...especially into *critical swing districts* we need to flip.

I've threaded links below to the Democratic challengers in these races. Please RT and support them! /1
truth-out.org/news/item/4458…
I focused the list of NOMINEES. These are Democrats in swing districts who have already won their primaries and are facing off against Koch-infused Republicans in fall.
#IL06
GOP Koch Candidate: Peter Roskam
Dem Challenger: Sean Casten @SeanCasten
castenforcongress.com
Read 33 tweets
Hey #Kentucky
Who are the Democratic Candidates #PrimaryWinners running for office in your District?
#Midterms2018 #VoteBlue
Here's a THREAD of All Dems
With links to Websites & Voter Info Links
VOTE NOVEMBER 6, 2018
Register by Oct 9 here vrsws.sos.ky.gov/ovrweb/govoteky
#BlueWaveKY
REGISTER TO VOTE in #KENTUCKY
Online Application here: vrsws.sos.ky.gov/ovrweb/
or download voter registration card here: elect.ky.gov/SiteCollection…
In person at County Clerk's office here sos.wv.gov/public-service…
KEEP verifying Registration Status here:
vrsws.sos.ky.gov/vic/
ABSENTEE VOTING #KENTUCKY
#Midterms2018
Apply for Absentee Ballot from County Clerks by October 30th:
Here: app.sos.ky.gov/elections/cand…
Or apply for ballot here: absentee.vote.org/?state=Kentucky
Overseas? Military?
Apply here elect.ky.gov/CONTACTCOUNTYC…
Or here overseasvotefoundation.org/vote/VoterInfo…
Read 13 tweets
Hey #Kentucky
Who are the Democrats running for office in your District?
Here's a
THREAD of All
Democratic Candidates in #PRIMARIES #BlueWaveKY
With links to their websites.
VOTE MAY 22, 2018
Voter Registration Deadline April 23rd
Register to vote here vrsws.sos.ky.gov/ovrweb/govoteky
Voting in Kentucky
Online Application vrsws.sos.ky.gov/ovrweb/
or download voter registration card here: elect.ky.gov/SiteCollection…
In person at County Clerk's office sos.wv.gov/public-service…
KEEP verifying Registration Status here:
vrsws.sos.ky.gov/vic/
Apply for Absentee Ballot from County Clerks by May 15th:
Here: app.sos.ky.gov/elections/cand…
Or apply for ballot here: absentee.vote.org/?state=Kentucky
Overseas? Military? Absentee Ballot due by May 21
Apply here elect.ky.gov/CONTACTCOUNTYC…
Or here overseasvotefoundation.org/vote/VoterInfo…
Read 10 tweets

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