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We are live-tweeting @PhilHoganEU's address to @CSIS on future of #trasatlantic trade!
Mr. Hogan is the new @Trade_EU Commissioner and is making his first trip outside the EU as part of the @vonderleyen Commission. He is speaking with @CSISEurope's Heather Conley and Scholl Chair Bill Reinsch.
Mr Hogan was previously Irish Minister for Environment, Community and Local Government. At The Europe Desk, we recently interview @HcMEntee, Irish Minister for European Affairs, on Ireland's role in transatlantic relations after #Brexit: podcasts.apple.com/us/podcast/bri… @GUGlobalIrish
We also cover #trade on the podcast, and recently spoke to Bryan Jacobs from @BMWUSgovaffairs about the #TradeWar and its effect on German and European companies: podcasts.apple.com/us/podcast/eur…
@BMWUSgovaffairs Bill Reinsch gets things underway, and emphasizes @PhilHoganEU's breadth of experience in Irish and European politics.

Hogan represents @EU_Commission at the @wto.
Hogan has been having a series of "productive, positive" meetings in Washington in his first trip to the US to "recalibrate and reclaim the shared agenda".
He is seeking mutual trade benefit, but also see challenges and potential danger ahead if we don't choose cooperation at the beginning of the new decade.
EU and US have historically shaped the global trading system and the economic institutions that support it.

Now the "sands of global #trade are shifting". Trade has become a proxy for #tech, geopolitics and #security. Notes impact of trade
Now a "high pressure crisis moment...
...but "diamonds are made under pressure"
@vonderleyen Commission aiming to be geopolitical.

He calls out narrative that US has some sort of trade #deficit with the EU. Hogan emphasizes balance in tariffs between EU and US. We need to start with the right metrics.
Emphasizes services. American exports in services to the EU worth $256 billion dollars per year. American companies in the EU are sending over $120 billion back each year too.

#Transatlantic trade in goods and services is worth $3 billion per day.
Why would you be putting tariffs on European products that then require further processing in the US? Hits European companies and US consumers alike.

Transatlantic supply chains guarantee 16 million jobs on both sides of the Atlantic.
Narrative that @Trade_EU is a security risk to the US from @POTUS is "hurtful".

Hogan highlighted that the EU has been waiting 12 years to export apples and pears to the US without tariffs, and he doesn't know what the scientific basis for this is!
Agri-foods are fastest growing import into EU from US.

How can we reduce tariffs but also non-tariff barriers?

So EU and US can both be rule makers and not rule-takers.
Notes importance of telecom network security in regards to #5G. An area of "concern to this administration" and one of potential transatlantic cooperation.

Must also deal with present day dispute. "Imposing tariffs on each other is in no-one's long-term interest."
@PhilHoganEU "There are no winners in a trade war."

Puts jobs at risks, and notes @Airbus case specifically, and the corresponding @Boeing case. The EU has made proposals to negotiate, but is yet to receive a response.
#Aircraft subsidies are one of the areas for further negotiation
"Global challenges needs global rules...but the current system is out of date"

#China has created over-productivity in certain sectors through its state-owned enterprises, and has also continued to create barriers to foreign companies.

@WTO reform is a top European priority.
Need to address #industrial subsidies and forced technology transfers.

@japan, EU and US agreed new subsidy rules this week: nytimes.com/reuters/2020/0… @JapanEmbDC

"Shows what can be done if we work together."
@japan @JapanEmbDC EU and US agree that @WTO needs to be reformed and a new dispute-settlement system.

"Let's talk, let's cooperate, let's lead"

We will address WTO reform with an open mind, but need clarity "about what the US actually wants."
If the US does not engage, the EU will need to proceed with other partners.
@PhilHoganEU ends with a warning about how critical it is that the US starts engaging with the EU.
In any case the EU and the US continue to be
"siblings", and the best hope for peace and prosperity.
@PhilHoganEU Q&A:
Meetings with Amb. Lighthizer -- @PhilHoganEU didn't have his "full attention" given what has been going on with #ChinaTradeDeal.

Will also meet with @SecretaryRoss, @stevenmnuchin1 in coming days.
US/EU/Japan statement does a good job of addressing "subsidy," but does not redefine what a "public body" is.

@PhilHoganEU wanted to leave something to talk about at the next meeting!
@PhilHoganEU @vonderleyen wants to reset the relationship between the the EU and the US, and Hogan wants to get concrete actions done, but requires political will. This is a top priority for the EU. #CSISLive @CSISEurope
@PhilHoganEU Reinsch notes impasse on agriculture.
@PhilHoganEU @vonderleyen @CSISEurope EU has increased soya beans imports to US by 120% since 2018 deal. But US interlocutors didn't realize this in the meeting! EU needs to be better at communicating areas of progress through cooperation.
50 states in the US can export poultry to the EU, but only 1 EU member state can export poultry to the US. Why is that? #chickens
@PhilHoganEU not sure why things have come to a standstill since 2018. Wants to unlock these issues today in his meetings with @SecretaryRoss.
@PhilHoganEU @SecretaryRoss EU and US have different approaches to #China and US has stepped outside the @wto framework in order to do this. Need to tackle issues collectively. @EUintheUS
Reinsch: #China is most obvious area for @POTUS to try to build a coalition to tackle issue. This seems to be a struggle for him.

@PhilHoganEU suggests a lot of this has to do with US domestic politics.
Conley asks about #Brexit: phase one of the deal is complete, and now moving onto the #trade talks between EU and UK. What will relationship look like on trade and #border? What are your thoughts as Phil Hogan, an Irishman, on this issue?
@PhilHoganEU says his own view would be "very dangerous"😂. EU's agenda is publicly available:

Boris Johnson's tight timeline for the negotiations is "unwise". It is not easy to extend deadline like it was with #Article50.

" Security and #defence may need to wait until 2021."
@PhilHoganEU UK has given mixed messages so far going into round 2.
@PhilHoganEU @PhilHoganEU is in a tricky position, says Conley. Needs to protect single market, but also all-Ireland economy to ensure peace.

50% of all trade from the UK to Northern Ireland comes through Dublin. Need to deal with the other 50%. In a good position to "slice and dice".
Need to ensure that low-quality goods don't sneak in to the EU via the backdoor.

"At least there is no hard border."
@BorisJohnson will be visiting Washington next month for talks on UK-US trade deal @foreignoffice.

There will be no "three-way talks" between UK, EU and US on trade deal, says Hogan. @EUintheUS @EUinUK @USAmbEU.
@BorisJohnson @foreignoffice @EUintheUS @EUinUK @USAmbEU Hogan is confident of EU unity in the face of Brexit going forward.
@BorisJohnson @foreignoffice @EUintheUS @EUinUK @USAmbEU @vonderleyen wants to make more bilateral deals too. Her letter to Hogan: ec.europa.eu/commission/sit…
While the US has been pursuing protectionism, the EU has made 16 bilateral deals. Currently finalizing deal with Vietnam.

But tensions continue over EU-#Mercosur. Protests in #Ireland, #Austria etc.

"Tension is good!" says Hogan.
In mission letter, Hogan has been tasked with looking into EU Carbon Border Tax. @PhilHoganEU is looking into possible technical solutions, aiming to move forward by 2021.
Hogan: "You never hear from the winners in trade deals, only from the losers! So all of the EU's trade deals must have been great."
#Digital trade will be most consequential area of transatlantic trade going forward, says Heather Conley @CSISEurope. Concern about articles suggesting that the US has #weaponized trade with the EU.

Hogan: Need to exploit dialogue going on now in the @WTO on digital trade.
You can listen to our most recent #Brexit analysis here with @JeffJoAnderson and @ANewman_forward: podcasts.apple.com/us/podcast/upd…
@CSISEurope @wto @SecretaryRoss commented this morning that the US is in a stronger position now vis @Trade_EU now that prelim deal with China has been reached.

@PhilHoganEU says that a threat of tariffs will not solve the problem.
@CSISEurope @wto @SecretaryRoss @Trade_EU @PhilHoganEU The EU will not be "trigger-happy" with going to the @WTO, but it will defend its own interests as necessary.
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