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Maxim A. Suchkov @MSuchkov_ALM
, 6 tweets, 7 min read Read on Twitter
SHORT THREAD: #SkripalCase & #Syria: 1.#Russia's authoritative,yet controversial #MiddleEadt expert Satanovsky known for his ties to #FSB sec service says "#UK's persecution of Russia" has to do w/ serious,underreported development in #Syria that occured shortly before #Salisbury
2.According to him,during operations in #EasternGhouta "actions by #SAA's special force unit (supported by #Russia/ns) led to a group of #UK's special forces ending up trapped in a siege,allegedly near Kafr Batna settlement.
3.The incident occurred few days after another unit of #UK's special forces was captured near Nashabiyah in #EasternGhouta.#London allegedly sought to negotiate their release w/ #Russia via #Oman as a mediator.#Moscow replied it was the jurisdiction of #Syria/n mil authorities.
4.#US Defense Secretary Mattis visit to #Oman on Mar 11. is believed to serve, among other reasons, the purpose of releasing an American officer & two Israelies also allegedly captured in the same episode in #EasternGhouta.
4. It's thus argued #UK as well as some in #US gov (deep state?) realized risks rising in #Syria & since #Russia won't be pushed to the sideline military pressure on other fronts (political, diplomatic, info, sanctions) had to be increased to raise stakes for #Moscow.
5.Satanovsky statements shld always be taken w/ a grain of salt.Yet given his ties to Rus sec services,he occasionally used for "infoleaks" meant to signal certain position within Rus "siloviki" establishment. So even of this isnt entirely accurate it's worth paying attention to
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#SkripalCase #Syria #Russia #MiddleEadt #FSB #UK #Salisbury #EasternGhouta #SAA #London #Oman #Moscow #US

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THREAD on @RT_Erdogan's @nytimes op-ed, #Ankara's relations with @realDonaldTrump, #Putin
1.#Erdogan's op-ed - masterpiece of communication effort in hostile info-environment,the lobbysts who worked on it deserve credit for understanding psychology of Western reader&current political discourse in #US which helps them pick arguments urbi et orbi
nyti.ms/2REWFsY
2. Endorsment: #Erdogan basically argues #Trump is right in his decision to depart #Syria but it should be done in a smat way to meet "interests of US, international cummunity & Syrians" => shout out to both Trump's conservative constituency & liberals: "TUR cares about YOU"
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THREAD on #Russia/n Orthodox Church (ROC) breaking off “eucharistic communion" w/ #Constantinople Patriarchate.
1.CAVEAT: I don’t claim to be an expert in church relations but being Orthodox Christian & working on #Russia-related politics/policies I feel entitled to share few of my own observations esp in the face of mounting ignorance or propaganda from some of the usual "Russia watchers"
2. Within next days you will hear 3 dominating narratives on what came to be called "the new schism":
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B. ROC is a tool of #Kremlin (true).
C. Conflict emerged as aftermath of “#Russia trying to make #Ukraine submissive” (yes & no)
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Short THREAD on #Russia - #Turkey divergences over #Idlib as seen from #Moscow:
1. In early August I described rationale behind RU positon & that "certain level of understanding reached w/ TUR that there should be no [large-scale] offensive on Idlib [then]"almon.co/338t
2.I recently reached out to the same senior RUS diplomat who reiterated #Moscow's bottom-line desire to settle the issue peacefully except for terrorists organization who he argued #Turkey too agreed to fight as part of AStana agreements.Yesterday,RU #Syria envoy Lavrentyev..
3. .alluded to #Russia's growing displease w/ #Ankara's inability to deliver upon its committments in the area that, as Lavrentyev said"is kind of their zone of responsibility."Instead,#Erdogan writing op-eds,trying to enlist support from #West/ern partners over #Idlib which is..
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#THREAD

Yesterday's indictment is a major signal that we're nearing the end of the #TrumpRussia prologue.

I interviewed @Mimirocah1 about the story which she said indicates that "prosecutors are putting the pieces together."

I agree.

Here's my $0.02.

washingtonpress.com/2019/01/08/a-m…
Why is Natalia Veselnitskaya's link to the Kremlin so important?

1 - SDNY provides Mueller with apolitical evidence sent from the target that predates all investigations.
2 - Proves Don Jr. met a Kremlin Agent
3 - Burns the Russian prosecution against @Billbrowder

2/
Natalia Veselnitskaya had been working on the Prevezon case for years, but in 2014 she involved herself drafting of the official response to the DoJ's invocation of a treaty for legal assistance.

She sent the evidence that she worked with the Kremlin to SDNY prosecutors.

3/
Read 15 tweets
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Thread on Compulsory Syrian Military Service: This has arguably been one of the most important social & Eco issue that has confronted every Syrian male for decades (since the uprising it has become even more critical. This note will call for the need to PUT AN END TO THIS POLICY
2-Currently, military service is mandatory for all Syrian males over the age of 18. Students can delay their service while males who who are only sons are exempt from military service. Men may also be exempt from military service for medical reasons. There are other exemptions
3-Syrians born outside of Syria and residing abroad until the age of 18 can pay for exemption. Syrians born in Syria, but who left Syria before reaching the age of 11, have their own fee. In effect, there are various fees ranging from $500 to $8500 depending on person's situation
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BREAKING: The White House has said that US President #Trump is canceling his upcoming South America trip to remain in the US "to oversee the American response to Syria." - @NBCNews
This sounds like the US is planning to strike #Syria and Trump will remain in the US to closely monitor responses by #Russia. This is terrible.
BREAKING - British forces are now mobilizing at their bases in #Cyprus for strikes against #Syria. It appears very likely that the US, France and U.K. will strike Syria in the next 24 hours. This is dreadful.
Read 182 tweets
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#Russia's really going for it at UNSC today: Amb. Nebenzia going all-out tinfoil hat, contradicting himself in rapid time.

- In the space of seconds, he says (1) the #Douma incident was a false-flag chemical attack by rebels & then says (2) there was no chemical attack at all.
U.S. Amb. to UN @nikkihaley:

- I could hold up pictures of babies lying dead next to their mothers, in their diapers, all lying together, dead, ashen blue, open eyes & lifeless, white foam bubbling from their mouths & noses… the very definition of innocent, hiding in basements.
U.S. Amb. to UN @nikkihaley:

"Who does this? Only a monster does this… the monsters behind this have no conscience… the Russian regime is covered in the blood of innocent children.

#Russia & #Iran are to blame… [but] what’s the point in trying to shame these people?
Read 21 tweets

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