Discover and read the best of Twitter Threads about #complexsystems

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The conclusion of this Guardian article isn't quite true, unfortunately.

For example, in Germany, stadia are maxed at half capacity or 25,000 and Oktoberfest was cancelled (again).

In Italy, nightclubs re-opened only yesterday.

,… Image
Of course, vaccine passports, continued mask mandates, investments in ventilation, and higher vaccination coverage v likely contribute to transmission reduction, but so does cancelling Oktoberfest, having capacity limits on all large events, & restrictions on indoor social mixing
I think we can probably move beyond the point of saying there are easy answers here, we don't have to pretend that e.g., Germany is fully open too and the only reasons they have lower cases than the UK are that they invested in ventilation and kept mask mandates..!
Read 5 tweets
🧵 Global catastrophic and existential risks: the weightiest complex phenomena?

"Our job is to think about how humanity can have a happy ending...about how GOOD it can be."

- @anderssandberg of @FHIOxford speaking at SFI today:

#AIEthics #Biosecurity
"The idea that humanity actually *could* go extinct required a lot of ideas to come together. First you needed to know that species go extinct. This wasn't clear until [the discovery of fossil Mastodons]."
- @anderssandberg of @FHIOxford at SFI today:

"It's not just that the end of the world could be caused by a bad political decision. In principle, the *right* political decision or technology could *avert* these risks. In the 19th C, it was a considered merely a matter of natural causes."
- @anderssandberg (@FHIOxford) at SFI
Read 14 tweets
Daily Bookmarks to GAVNet 05/21/2021…
Human wastewater feeding harmful algae blooms off of Southern California's coast…

#wastewater #algae #SouthernCalifornia
World first concept for rechargeable cement-based batteries…

#RechargeableBatteries #ConcreteStorage
Read 10 tweets
Daily Bookmarks to GAVNet 04/09/2021…
Europe’s third wave: ‘It’s spreading fast and it’s spreading everywhere’…

#COVID19 #waves #surges #europe
PSYOP, Cyber, and InfoWar: Combating the New Age IED - Modern War Institute…

#cybersecurity #infowars #military #InformationSecurity
Read 10 tweets
On #InternationalWomensDay we'd like to pause and celebrate just a small slice of the enormous contributions to science women have made here at SFI.

Read the thread below for links to some of their own favorite research papers, and a few nominated by other SFI faculty members:
First off, these papers on #FoodWebs led by our VP for #Science, Jennifer Dunne:

[@royalsociety Proceedings B]…


...and this interview she did for @QuantaMagazine:…

#Ecology #Ecologist
Next, two papers on how humans navigate and process #information co-authored by SFI External Prof @DaniSBassett (@Penn):

+ summary:…

+ summary:…
Read 21 tweets
Daily Bookmarks to GAVNet 12/30/2020…
How China’s digital currency will thwart US dollar trap and help the world | South China Morning Post…

#china #dollar #world #currency
The Vaccine Rollout's Known Knowns and More - Insight…

#distribution #vaccine
Read 10 tweets
This week at SFI: "#Complexity and the Structure of #Music: Universal Features and Evolutionary Perspectives Across Cultures", an #interdisciplinary working group assembled to explore new frameworks for understanding music. Stay tuned for highlights!…
"Every pitch class set is connected to every other pitch class set."

– @mbnUNT, co-organizer of this week's #musicology working group, presents on how to understand the #topology of #harmonic structures in music with #network diagrams (e.g. Pic 4 with #JSBach's BWV 66):
Once you represent a musical composition as a network, it is possible to examine the evolutionary dynamics of its harmonic content over time, as explained by @mbnUNT in his opening talk for this week's SFI #musicology working group.

(Ironically, this #Beethoven is #scalefree:)
Read 21 tweets
An imperfect thread on some intersections of #BehavioralScience + #ComplexSystems

@DavidPerrott_ @g_arteagoitia
Some ppl recognize behavioral science is in its adolescents in a lot ways. While behavioral scientists have identified design that work really well (you know:
opt-out organ donation @ProfEricJohnson & @dggoldst
Save More for Tomorrow @R_Thaler & @shlomobenartzi)
These are wonderful & we should keep doing these!

But these are only a beginning manifestation of behavioral design & never meant to encompass all of behavioral science

The problem some see is that #nudges are designed in STABLE contexts & with specific demographics
Read 25 tweets
"When making decisions, instead of asking ourselves which option will give us the best results, we should be asking which option will give us good-enough results under the widest range of future states of the world."… via @psyche_the_mag
"And satisficing with an eye toward a radically uncertain future might be called robust satisficing."

Good enough seems to be a better bet - especially as we become familiar with the variability and swift state changes common to #ComplexSystems
So much of #ResilienceTheory has led us to question our #DecisionMaking ; and the hyper-focused drive toward #Efficiency rather than #Resiliency
Read 4 tweets
When it comes to desserts, I only trust bees: I can never eat too much honey.

My body somehow recognizes it quickly and sends me a signal early on — “Stop, it's enough!”

If I get a cake from the supermarket, my body will only tell me to eat more. ImageImage
#Complexsystems: studying a bee (the unit) does not help you understand the collective (the colony). The interactions between the bees matter more than their individual nature. They cooperate in ways we cannot understand.
We don't know how to make honey. We know how to create the conditions so that the bees may give us honey, but we don't understand the process—we have a very reductionist view on that. ImageImage
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"Exponential change is shocking and really not intuitive... Things happen seemingly slowly and then all at once. And I think it partly explains why we can be so slow to act on things like COVID in the short run and definitely climate in the long run.”
COVID-19, Climate Change and the Forces Shaping Our Future…
Feedback loops and exponential change can be the most difficult part to understanding #complexSystems.
Read 3 tweets
Today's Applied Complexity Symposium begins with a panel on Computation and Complex Economies, feat. Rob Axtell, Joshua Epstein, @C4COMPUTATION, Blake LeBaron, John Miller, & @MelMitchell1

(Follow this thread for live coverage all day...)

#complexsystems #economics
4 Principles of Collective #Computation:

1 Ground truth (objective reality)
2 Effective ground truth (what we agree on, whether or not it is accurate)
3 #Information can be collectively encoded in #networks
4 Outputs are a product of collective dynamics

@C4COMPUTATION right now
"I think #economics really needs to adopt a generative framework with agent-based models of cognitively plausible software people...[and] we don't choose to fear."

- SFI'S Joshua Epstein (@GeorgeMasonU) on modeling emotions at today's ACtioN symposium:
Read 44 tweets
SFI President David Krakauer introduces our annual board of trustees symposium on New #Complexity #Economics - follow this thread for live coverage of talks by @EricBeinhocker @AKStanger @ole_b_peters @JacksonmMatt @cmoncap & W. Brian Arthur today...
"I think we have to be aware that we're not just discussing financial systems. We are discussing the future of the stability of the planet."

- David Krakauer
on #Complexity #Economics
"What is the #economy? I would argue that it doesn't exist in the physical world. It is a product of our #imagination. It is made out of #ideas. It does have an effect on the physical world. But the imagined order that we have is not succeeding."

- @EricBeinhocker
Read 38 tweets
En mi tesis de magister estudiamos un modelo que relaciona la legitimidad (de la autoridad o del sistema político) con el descontento de la población. Así simulamos protestas sociales, donde la autoridad responde con el uso de la fuerza para restablecer el orden público. 1/13
Nuestro trabajo supone que el descontento se basa en la desigualdad de la distribución del dinero. Este modelo es una simplificación, que bajo suposiciones fenomenológicas, sirve para definir un marco y estudiar la complejidad de un proceso social, en este caso una protesta. 2/13
En el modelo las personas que tienen un descontento mayor deciden protestar corriendo el riesgo de ser capturados por la policía. Esto depende de la cantidad de policías en su entorno como también la cantidad de personas que están protestando. 3/13
Read 14 tweets
"You don't see radio changing gradually and suddenly become radar. #Darwin's theory doesn't work for #technology, and we have to make a new observation."

- W Brian Arthur at SFI today

#evolution #innovation #invention
"Novel technologies are constructed from existing technologies. These offer themselves as components for the construction of further technologies."

- W Brian Arthur at SFI today

#evolution #innovation #invention #technology #engineering #design
Unlike the two-parent #inheritance typical to (but not ubiquitous among) #complex organisms, #technology inherits features from n parents - a "vast ancestral #network" more like horizontal gene transfer networks in #bacteria.

W Brian Arthur on sumulating #invention on a chip:
Read 18 tweets
"Life did not invent #DNA."

Experimental support for the #hotsprings hypothesis for life's origin: David Deamer of @ucsc on nucleic acid polymerization in the wet-dry cycling of Darwin's "warm little pond," powered by #geothermal. Lab results confirmed in #hydrothermal pools.
From "boring statistical partitioning" in the fission of early protocells to the complex #homeostasis-driven #mitosis of the cells we know - Doron Lancet of @WeizmannInstSci on the gradient between closure of #autocatalysis #networks to complex regulatory mechanisms of #biology.
"Life is an integrated nested network of dynamic #kinetic cycles."

Addy Pross emphasizes the importance of motion to the persistent forms of self-organizing #complexsystems at SFI today
Read 13 tweets

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