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Henrik Zeberg
@HenrikZeberg
, 10 tweets, 10 min read Read on Twitter
Good morning! 😀End of August --> Time to look at some Monthly charts. What does the latest Monthly candles suggest for the road ahead for global economy? Stay tuned for #HZupdates
Yesterday, I posted this chart for #EURUSD. This is very central, as it provides indication for direction of USD. Major topping pattern - backtest in early 2018 - now targeting <0.9. Notice August candle! Zoom-in chart 2. It seems to be very Bearish #HZupdates
Turning towards Monthly chart for #DXY, we got corresponding candle to what we observed in #EURUSD. Bullish which set #DXY on the path towards min. 111, pot. as high as 120. Trend line suggest we could get there by Q1/Q2 2020. USD strength will create global challenges #HZupdates
USD strenght can also be seen in Monthly chart for #AUDUSD (= inflation gauge). Broken neckline around 0.69-0.70 for real and has embarked on journey towards target <0.5. Again Q1/Q2 2020 seems to be pot. timeling for reaching target area. This is DEFLATIONARY! #HZupdates
Deflationary picture supported by Monthly chart for #Copper. Trend line has been broken, which does not bode well for Global economy. LT-target is lower than bottom in 2008 (either Target A or B) likely to be reached by 2021/22. This indicates length of coming crisis #HZupdates
#US10 yields seems like it could bounce hard coming weeks and months. Perhaps like shown below. One more high before Fed steps in FOR REAL and crashes yields to new ATL? #HZupdates
#XAUUSD and #PMs will not do well in the deflationary scenario described above. The price action since 2015 is not a new bull market - it is a ZigZag correction which is likely to top ~1590. So many Bulls to be caught in this epic #BullTrap #HZupdates
Deflationary phase will likely be hard #Equities. #SP500 seems to develop in Ending Exp. Diagonal. A hard decline into Q1/Q2 2020 - would be in line with #commodity charts #HZupdates
#Oil apparently still in (B) wave shaping up a triangle. I expect decisive break lower coming months. LT-target <20USD. At some point Fed enters for real ending coming #DEFLATIONARY phase (Secular bottom in Ending Diagonal) only to push Global economy into #STAGFLATION #HZupdates
That is all for this week! #Deflation scenario unfolding which imo will be beginning of extended crisis (#Deflation and #Stagflation) Have a great Sunday!! #HZupdates
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Henrik Zeberg
@HenrikZeberg
#ECB is likely to crash EUR in attempt to stimulate EU-economy🤦‍♂️(incompetence in ECB is staggering!). Wait for waterfall moment in #EURUSD. Currently flirting with LT-trendline. Target 0.85-0.91 #HZupdates
Major drop in #EURUSD will send #USD #DXY soaring (following pot. ST weakness). LT-target for DXY is >111. This is likely to be the trigger for REAL Fed intervention, which will push economy out of Deflation #HZupdates
Rally in #USD will push #Gold (#XAUUSD) into major decline in final wave C, which will take yellow pet rock below 1000 USD. Imo no way that structure of rally since 2015 is new Bull market. It is ZigZag-correction topping ~1480 (here!) or ~1590 (-1600). Major Bull trap #HZupdates
Read 8 tweets
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Henrik Zeberg
@HenrikZeberg
Good morning!😀Trust you are well and enjoying this Saturday morning. Deflation is developing in economy. Signs are very clear. Black swan will appear at some point. Stay tuned for a heads-up on my perspectives on market #HZupdates
#Copper sets the direction for real economy. My EW-model for Copper sets target A or more likely B to be reached some time in late 2021 or early 2022. Copper = Real economy. This is a pot. timeline for the total duration of the coming crisis (deflation & stagflation) #HZupdates
Zooming in on #Copper, we have seen the expected development this week. Break has been confirmed by small retest and acceleration. I think we will see further downside develop soon - but cannot rule out a pot. 2nd retest. The outlook for Copper is deflationary #HZupdates
Read 12 tweets
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Henrik Zeberg
@HenrikZeberg
Good morning! 😁Deflationary phase is developing in economy. Stay tuned for my perspectives on coming developments in markets based on charts - technical and fundamental analysis #HZupdates thread coming up!
SP500 recovered some of the loses from early trading this week. Still, I think we have seen the top of the Expanding Diagonal, and we are currently in the Deflationary part of the crisis, where growth in economy is rolling over. Target ~2050 by Q1/Q2 2020 #HZupdates
#SP500 - will we see rally to 2950 for pot. top of wave 2 (black) before reversal and strong decline? That would close the gap in market from early Aug. #HZupdates
Read 16 tweets

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Good morning.

Without wishing necessarily to perpetuate conversation...

A non-comprehensive list of evidence which, cumulatively, tends strongly to suggest BBC pro-Brexit bias ⤵.

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