Discover and read the best of Twitter Threads about #equities

Most recents (24)

Wow! Global capex in the materials (mining) and energy sectors have in real terms collapsed 64% touching a new low. And the world is getting demand turbocharged by fiscal stimulus and the green transformation. I think we don't fully realise what's coming... #equities
This is one of the more interesting charts I have seen this year including the y/y change in US personal income hitting the highest levels since inception in 1946. On many macro variables we are moving into new territory.
Another one is this chart which says that the fiscal impulse relative to the output gap is already a historical outlier but will become even more historic in the quarters to come.
Read 4 tweets
The #economy and #markets today present us with a type of confusing environment: a tremendous growth rebound amid concerns over different forms of #overheating due to policy being late to normalize, and then the uncertainty of an ultimately harsher policy unwind down the road…
… It’s in this kind of environment that we find that what #investors want to do can be very different from what they need to do – the opposite, or mirror image, in fact: bit.ly/3u0nmr9
Over the last decade, the Bloomberg Barclays U.S. High Yield Index has traded in a #yield range of about 4% to 12%, and both those extremes have come during the pandemic period (the last 14 months).
Read 10 tweets
This isn't an easy topic to address but I'll do my best to provide my thoughts via a simple generic🧵

#RealEstate isn't linear. It is multifactorial:

1) Country
2) Time period
3) Information asymmetry
4) Opportunity cost
5) Personality
6) Job security

etc

🧵👇
2/ There is no guarantee for any gains in any investment vehicle. No guarantee in #RealEstate, #bitcoin, #Equities etc

As cliche as it sounds, the only constant is: Change.

History only provides a clue.

Simply put, yields are not guaranteed.

Back to factors 1 to 6
3/ #RealEstate differs from country to country.

In a jurisdiction where there are high capital gains tax or when the cost of borrowing is high, owning/investing in property might not make much sense.

In #Singapore, capital gains tax has been abolished
Read 9 tweets
Edwards & Magee discussed H&S acting as a continuation chart pattern with a 1936 example. Somewhere in between, new smart authors, thought new generation chartists that H&S can only form as a top or bottom reversal. WRONG.

I can show 100s of similar examples.
A recent #breakout #alert on $CCK
Another H&S continuation example, a recent #BREAKOUT #ALERT from #SINGAPORE reached its price target. SEMBCORP INDUSTRIES. More setups >> blog.techcharts.net
Read 4 tweets
US tech stocks have been hit hard, as attention focuses on the underlying quality of themes like the migration to electric vehicles.
Yet this shakeup is also happening against the backdrop of a fast-changing investment environment due to a strengthening US growth outlook, rising inflationary pressure and an unnerved bond market which is driving yields higher.
In this video interview, Will Denyer seeks to unpack these dynamics in order to navigate a course through difficult trading conditions. vimeo.com/521265797 #assetallocation #equities #us #stocks #bonds #economy
Read 3 tweets
Anybody feels like looking at a few #Global #ETF graphs? Or are you all sitting in front of a big fire, ready for that Sunday braai or potjie?

If there's interest, I'll be happy to show 1 graph for every like or retweet?

#MonthEnd #Markets
That's nr1 (5 likes & retweets). Nice one @RocknDad 😂- saw you sneak in both a like & retweet, but rules are rules.

#SouthAfrica dropping down to 10th in the #Country #ETF YTD rankings. #China losing the lead to #Taiwan. #Brazil new current holder of the wooden spoon.
That makes it 2.

#DevelopedMarkets (+2.5% in US$) making a bit of a comeback against #EmergingMarkets (+0.8% in US$) in February. #MSCI #SouthAfrica however outperformed both with 5.3% (in US$) over same period.

$URTH $EEM $EZA
Read 19 tweets
Is Everything a Bubble❓Part 2 Recap 🔥

Most seem to think so... but don't take our word for it.

Have a look for yourself 👇 as we take you into the lions den to hear from the lions themselves.
🔥Adapting to New Market Nuances and the Golden Age of Macro🔥@JulianMI2

Are we in a bubble❓

“Yes, but it's somewhat nuanced. There's unquestionably single assets that are bubbles."

"There's groups of assets which are arguably excessively valued."
Specifically which names are bubbles❓

“There is absolutely no question that if I look at a chart of $TSLA, this is a classic bubble.”
Read 23 tweets
In preparation for my slot on #SquawkBox yesterday, I sent the guys a few slides as a synopsis of my last, detailed subscriber report for the discussion.

I called it #Pyromania. Feel free to take a look

1/x

#macro #bonds #commodities #dollar #inflation #centralbanks #fiscal
Is it possible to overkill an act of overkill? #JeromePowell & #JanetYellen seem set to let us find out.

2/x
Not that they're alone in their folly, of course. The #ECB is outodoing them handsomely, while the #bankofengland is breaking records stretching back to its founding, 327 years ago.
#centralbanks
3/x
Read 10 tweets
Thread 🧵 on Advantages of #Investing in #MutualFunds ...

🌟Must read for everyone, especially those who do not understand #Equities and have not yet invested significant amount in Mutual Funds as well.🌟

#MutualFundsSahiHai

@invest_mutual @dmuthuk views invited 🙏
1⃣ Professional Management:

#MutualFunds use services of experienced & skilled professionals, backed by a dedicated investment research team that analyses performance & prospects of companies and selects suitable investments to achieve objectives of scheme.

#MutualFundsSahiHai
2⃣ Diversification:

#MutualFunds invest in a number of companies across a broad spectrum of industries & sectors. This diversification reduces risk because seldom do all stocks decline at same time and in same proportion.

#MutualFundsSahiHai
Read 13 tweets
#Global #ETF Weekly & Month-end (thread): 29 Jan 2021

- 2020 worst perf #sector making comeback in 2021 $IXC

- This is helping #oil producing countries with #Nigeria & #UAE in top5 #Country ETF YTD performers in USD $NGE $UAE

- #SouthAfrica $EZA moved into top15 YTD performers
2/12

#EmergingMarkets #ETF still storming ahead against #DevelopedMarkets ETF, still not relatively "overbought" yet, but getting close.

#SouthAfrica might need a lot of catch up, but $EZA YTD performance in USD (+0.2%) continued 2nd half on 2020 recovery against $URTH (-0.8%)
3/12

#Global #Value #stocks still making short-term recovery, with $IWVL #ETF still looking strong relatively over the short-term. Over 3yr period it is however still lagging quite substantially.
Read 13 tweets
#TechnicallySpeaking - Signs of #exuberance warn of a #correction.
An update of #margin #debt is sending off warning signals that we haven't seen since the last corrective cycle. Also, why this is NOT a #new #bull #market.
realinvestmentadvice.com/technically-sp…
Repeat after me: March was not a #bearmarket.
‘Corrections’ generally occur over short time frames, do not break the prevailing trend in prices, and are quickly resolved by markets reversing to new highs."
realinvestmentadvice.com/technically-sp…
Reason 2 that March was not a #bearmarket
#Exuberance in terms of investors allocation to #equities takes years to recover following a real bear market.
realinvestmentadvice.com/technically-sp…
Read 7 tweets
@RaoulGMI Good Morning! You asked what is happening to #Gold and #Silver. This is my take - a summary of the governing Thesis on TheZebergReport.com for a long time! Hope you can use the input! 🙋‍♂️🙂
Since ~2000 we have been in Kondratiev's Winter. A period where GLOBAL DEBT causes low and falling growth rates. Central banks try to counter this by printing money (Monetary Stimulus). However, Deflationary forces from debt causes deflations to unfold - despite extreme measures
To the frustration of Central Banks, they cannot create inflation despite extreme money printing. They stimulate by infusing money into the system but cannot make the money circulate. Velocity drops dramatically. What they miss...You cannot solve a solvency problem with Liquidity
Read 14 tweets
I have two USD equity portfolios. One focuses on stocks I will hold for at least 10 years - value stocks. The other is a shorter term trading portfolio. 🧵
Early on, I realised I had a secret sauce that powered my stock picks - my brand strategy experience. For 20 years, my daily job entailed creating, building and identifying enduring brands. So, I know one when I see it. And that is gold when you're picking value stocks.
The best brands tend to do well and if you spot them, you can earn incredible value in the long term.
Read 4 tweets
#threadseries

Nigerian Stock Market

The #equities market presents attractive opportunities for #investors in form of capital appreciation and dividend return given the low yield environment in the fixed income space.
#Nigerian stocks are currently undervalued and present an opportunity for growth in the short to medium term.
The current #ROI in the #equities market is positive with a YTD return at over 47.5% compared to the #inflation rate at 14.9%.
We believe #stocks in the #financial services (mostly #banks), ICT, and the #industrial sectors present strong prospects for growth given their resilience to the #economic recession.
Read 11 tweets
Recently, Dr. Shiller suggested that #valuations really aren't that high once you fall in the #Fed trap of using #earnings #yields and #low #rates to justify it. The problem is it is a #rationalization to justify overpaying for #assets.
realinvestmentadvice.com/shiller-ecy-ju…
The main problem in using low-interest rates as a rationalization to overpay for assets is that you have to also discount #future #cashflows for lower inflation and rates as well.
realinvestmentadvice.com/shiller-ecy-ju…
"As low-interest rates went lower, the dynamic changed from using debt productively to using debt for non-productive purposes such as dividend issuance, share buybacks, and, in some cases, offsetting negative cash flows."
realinvestmentadvice.com/shiller-ecy-ju…
Read 6 tweets
Why do I think #Gold, #Bitcoin are about to tumble? Because of my cross-market-analyses approach with >100 charts pointing to a deflationary bust AND the Elliott Wave structures for Gold, Bitcoin and USD. Let's try investigate 1) Deflationary Thesis and 2) Elliott Wave-structures
The Deflationary Thesis is due to the patterns shaping up in all commodities. Commodities drive inflation. First GSCI Commodity Index - a very clear Ending Diagonal Triangle (Descending Wedge). Calls for DEFLATIONARY BUST before MAJOR SECULAR BOTTOM. TheZebergReport.com
#Wheat which is part of #Commodities setting direction for Inflation. Same pattern! Descending Wedge. Calls for Deflationary Bust - before Major SECULAR BOTTOM. Deflation before New Inflationary Regime! TheZebergReport.com
Read 22 tweets
2 huge calls for 2021 from Michael Howell’s latest interview with @edwardnh.

1. #GOLD $2500
2. #Bitcoin $25,000

Do you agree? Where do you see these assets in 2021?
“Asset prices are still lagging behind the rise in global liquidity, there’s further gains out there...” #equities #RealEstate

Full Interview 👉 rvtv.io/38A8fOg
Michael Howell on #GOLD to $2500.
Read 4 tweets
This report was a historical review of how activities were carried out on the @nsenigeria before and within the last 10 years,

#NSE10YearsAfterATakeover

proshareng.com/news/53284 via @proshare
...the changes made over different management eras, as well as the factors that influenced the decisions made then and now.

#NSE10YearsAfterATakeover

proshareng.com/news/53284 via @proshare
Read 50 tweets
What’s happening to #Tech stocks and the markets in September 2020 and what is #FED really worried about - is the #Equities or #Bonds ?

Markets never work in a straight line up or straight line down , every market has to go through a period of correction/consolidation to resume
its journey

NASDAQ was a overbought market in June to August 2020 , but we are not in any serious trouble to disturb the long term bullish trend and why ?

Because Credit Market hasn’t broken down yet , while the media and investors are focused in the Equity markets ,
it’s the BOND MARKET WHICH FED IS MORE WORRIED about

The QE program was more about buying

1) US Sovereign bonds, called Treasuries

2) US Municipal Bonds

3) US Corporate Bonds
Read 11 tweets
Thanks to @GeoffCutmore & @cnbcKaren for having me on the show this morning.

Here's a short thread of the notes - entitled, "Time to Get Real?" - which I put together in preparation.
They should hopefully be self-explanatory:-

#SquawkBox #CNBC #macro #equities #commodities
You've heard it here before: pay out or pay down is a big part of the #inflation equation:-
Yes, there's a "V" - or at least a flipped square root sign - underway, but will it extend far enough & fast enough?
Read 11 tweets
Team of former Uber security experts, hired into Tesla by Musk and reporting to him directly, illegally hacked the personal devices of several employees, including the personal phone of Marty Tripp, another former Tesla employee-turned-whistleblower.

zerohedge.com/markets/organi…
Hey,
@MorningstarInc
why are you suddenly offloading your #Tesla stock? You really are spooking the market here.
@MstarResearch Why are your brokers running across the floors screaming SELL! SELL! SELL!. Told you we were watching your moves. #markets #stocks #selloff #equities
Read 3 tweets
(1/THREAD) Sentiment: One might think, with the #market erasing all its losses, that sentiment would have gotten somewhat lopsided, but it hasn’t. Here, flows into equity funds & ETFs & money market funds. #equities #SPX
2/ The rush into #cash has barely been undone, while #investors aren’t exactly rushing into #equities. While cash sitting in money market funds has dropped slightly from nearly $5 trillion to about $4.55 trillion, it has fallen from 17% to 13% as a percent of equity market cap.
3/ Looking at the percent of equity market capitalization is probably a better way to slice the data as a proxy for sentiment and it has matched almost perfectly the spread on high-yield corporate #bonds. The rest of the sentiment picture is mixed too.
Read 8 tweets

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