, 5 tweets, 1 min read
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1) War with Iran won’t help Trump. It would drop his odds of reelection to zero.

2) Trump knows this. He’s walking a very fine line.

3) When you yell nonsense about how the Iran thing is magically going to get him reelected, you’re helping him.

4) Fatalism is not your friend.
5) Name an unpopular president who got re-elected by starting a war. You can’t. It doesn’t work that way. It’s one of the most laughably false narratives in all of politics. Stop handing Trump leverage by repeating it.
6) At the time George W. Bush invaded Iraq, he was already popular.

Trump is an UNPOPULAR president, which means that starting a war would only make him even more unpopular.
7) Trump has consistently shown that he’s more afraid of war than any modern president.

This may not fit your narrative about him, but it’s a fact.
8) So what is Trump’s strategy here? None. He keeps incompetently screwing up, and then we all waste time trying to figure out what his secret “strategy” is this time. He doesn’t have one. He’s just an erratic bumbler. It’s why he’s historically unpopular and headed to prison.
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