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Thread by @ejmalrai: "There are no at the , only . The military air base if also a base for Iranian guided drones that consid […]" #Hezbollah #T4Airbase #Iranian #Israel

10 tweets, 11 min read
There are no #Hezbollah at the #T4Airbase, only #Iranian. The military air base if also a base for Iranian guided drones that #Israel consider it is responsible for the trap, attracting its jets and causing the destruction of two of its F-16 +
ejmagnier.com/2018/04/01/not…
#Israel jets flew over Ghazeer (#Lebanon) at a very low altitude to avoid #Russia/n radars in an area where topography allows jets to hide. Inhabitants were terrified by the sound. Jets took altitude in the Bekaa for 3-4 minutes and launched its missiles+
#Russia imposed on #Israel to notify its Air movement over #Syria and the course of its jets if ever willing to enter the Syrian airspace. Israel believed Russia is informing Damascus to be prepared when knowledgeable about an Israeli violation.+
The course of the #Israel/I jets indicate the leadership was very afraid of being spotted by Russian radars. Pilots were very good in avoiding the radars and reveal their presence over #Lebanon not #Syria for few minutes only +
My sources are telling me: this is an #Israeli response to the Iranian trap. Therefore it is a hit and run ops, but also trying to please #SaudiArabia and drag #USA into an aggressive response against #Damascus: many birds in one stone +

#Iran usually respond through its allies. Therefore it is not excluded to see a missile from #Yemen fired against #SaudiArabia or another way to respond. ++
Read this is important:
#Russia told #Damascus that it has the full right to bomb "the Israeli source of fire (that could be Israel military airport from where the F-15 took off) behind the attack against the #T4Airbase". This means #Moscow is turning its back on #TelAviv.
For this evening UN security council meeting, #Russia advised its allies in #Syria to take extra precaution for a possible attack (which is not totally excluded). However, the #SyrianArabArmy is widely deployed over the country's geography: not easy.
#Ghouta is the cause of all this cos:
- it hurts so much #SaudiArabia to see its only proxies vanishing.
- #USA only hope to see #Damascus under fire:gone.
- even if no group on the ground can change anything, anti-Assad fear his next move: Quneitra.
Now you understand why #USA and #EU refuse to deliver - or to allow the Army to get from other nations like Russia - anti-air missiles to #Lebanon: #Israel needs a clear air space without danger to violate continuously.

Lebanon is the weakest link here.

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