Discover and read the best of Twitter Threads about #armscontrol

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In his 1961 Inaugural Address, President Kennedy called the nuclear era he presided over the world’s “hour of maximum danger” — and he meant those words.

We never thought we would actually face a challenge like that again in human history, but alas, here we are.
Within a year of #JFK’s Inaugural, the United States and #Russia would find themselves eyeball-to-eyeball in a tense nuclear standoff over missiles in Cuba.
During those fateful Thirteen Days in October 1962, every human on the planet feared that the world as we know it could end at any moment; destroyed within seconds by the launch of nuclear weapons by the superpowers.
Read 21 tweets
A new development with #Russia planned "coup" in #Modova is that Pres. Putin cancelled ONE of the decrees that among other recognized MLD territorial integrity. That happened after Kremlin coup in MLD failed, as #Ukraine intercepted it &Moldova stopped it…
2. As we know #Russian attempt to destabilize #Moldova did not work. #Ukraine President Zelensky announced that its country intercepted the plans. As experts saw, the Kremlin is now trying to use its proxies, sympathizers etc to destabilize the situation
3. I was asked if #Russia really plans to invade #Moldova. I don't think so, tho Kremlin's decision making is so skewed... I do believe, however, that Kremlin expected its proxies in MLD to start a coup "Donbass" style + create instability near #Ukraine
Read 12 tweets
Honored to be cited by @iandenisjohnson @NewYorker:…

"Andrew Erickson, a professor @NavalWarCollege & a visiting professor at @Harvard, said he’s seen no evidence that #China..."

For further background, see:…
...wants to reciprocate, citing #China’s refusal to discuss meaningful arms control. “I don’t see a basis for deep coöperation” with #Xi’s China, Erickson said. “I’m sad to say that.”…

KEY: In what areas is the #PRC under Xi willing to accommodate the US?
•To make the first move in doing so?
•Can anyone name one specific example?

Moreover, in the #PRC under #Xi, is there anything like an equivalent to this high-profile conference @Harvard, w a concluding panel on the subject of “Toward Coexistence 2.0: What Should #CHINA Do?”
Read 35 tweets
1/ A short thread: New report by Michael Staack @HSUHamburg and me on "China's role in multilateral arms control" published by @FESonline. pdf here
2/ We ask on what arms control, disarmament and nonproliferaton issues engagement with China makes sense from German and EU perspective. Argue China’s involvement in multilateral, regional and bilateral agreements to limit military capacities is a value in and of itself.
3/ Report takes broad approach, looking beyond nuclear arms control. Assumes no longer possible to relegate China to the status of second-rate military power. Chinese involvement is crucial for preservation and further development of global #armscontrol architecture.
Read 7 tweets
The training programme on disarmament and non-proliferation of WMDs organised w/ @OPCW is the best way to gain in-depth knowledge of the #diplomatic, legal and technical aspects of disarmament and non-proliferation.

Set the step to a safer world:…

The training offers a comprehensive and multidisciplinary 5-day programme with insights, lectures, and exercises from top experts in field of #armscontrol.

@meganjanedee will address weapons of mass destruction (#WMD) from a geo-political perspective
The background of #internationallaw and the use of force will be covered by @c_henders1 while @meier_oliver will address the future of #nuclear arms control and strategic stability.
Read 14 tweets
Since the "#Moskva" battle cruiser sank, here is an #armscontrol story: the ship was launched in 1979. Until 1996 it was known as "Slava". In July 1989 the Slava took part in a unique, joined US-Soviet scientific collaboration: The Black Sea experiment. 1/5
2/5 The experiment tested the use of helicopter-borne neutron detectors to detect nuclear warheads on the Slava. At the time the issue of naval nuclear weapons was salient. More particularly, long range SLCM had become a contentious issue in the START negotiations.
3/5 The Black Sea experiment was part of a series, which produced mixed results: two helicopters flew by the Slava at close range (30 snd 80 meters) to detect emissions from plutonium in a warhead. Still, the political problem was ultimately solved.
Read 5 tweets
As tonight’s unfolding #Ukraine tragedy underscores only too starkly—

—the @POTUS @JoeBiden Administration MUST PRESERVE (extended)#DETERRENCE 100% in the forthcoming #Nuclear Posture Review/#NPR.

Must avoid not only “#NoFirstUse/#NFU”—BUT ALSO “#SolePurpose”—road to perdition!
Virtue signaling is no substitute for #deterrence signaling!

The #NPR must avoid not only widely-dismissed “#NoFirstUse” (#NFU) language, but also the dangerous concept of “#SolePurpose.”

Text/graphics from @DeptofDefense 2021 #China #Military Power Report show key reasons why. ImageImageImageImage
#SolePurpose” = unacceptably erosive/destabilizing, not a no-or-low-cost #VirtueSignaling sop to #ArmsControl idealism.

Would reduce credibility/#deterrent of @POTUS’s potential counters to massive #conventional offensives by #Russia/#China.

Tragic reminder tonight in #Ukraine ImageImageImage
Read 7 tweets
1/ @NATO SecGen @jensstoltenberg describes content of letter to Russia with "proposals, ideas, topics" where allies agree "it is possible to make progress" including on "risk reduction, transparency, and #armscontrol". Short attempt to unpack:
2/ NATO usefully suggests "mutual briefings on exercises and nuclear policies in the NATO-Russia Council". Lots of experience to build on, see for example 2014 @SWPBerlin papers by @KatarzynaKubiak ( and Max Mutschler here (.pdf)
3/ @Stoltenberg repeats proposal to modernise #ViennaDocument on "military transparency". For novel ideas see @deepcutsproject paper by @OlyaOliker @steven_pifer and W. Zellner "A Fresh Approach to Conventional Arms Control in Europe"
Read 8 tweets
1/ Crunch time on @NATO nuclear sharing discussions in talks on new German government. Short thread on debate, picking up couple of contentious points in this interesting but one-sided @derspiegel analysis:
2/ Terms of debate have recently shifted because @usairforce has announced end of production of F18
3/ A need to reassess: F18 was preferred option of outgoing Defense Minister @akk German Ministry @BMVg_Bundeswehr to replace nuclear-capable Tornado. Airforce liked electronic warfighting capabilities of F18 Growler.
Read 9 tweets
Service thread with some observations on the draft election platform of #Germany|s #Green Party @Die_Gruenen (published 19 March)…
#Greens call for a more active #German foreign policy & above all for a strengthening of the #EU. Franco-German cooperation 🇫🇷🇩🇪 referenced along mside a #transatlantic approach. Issue of systemic rivalry with authoritarians highlighted.
#Greens describe the #transatlantic partnership as pillar of 🇩🇪 foreign policy, with #climate as core element. Recognition that #US will be less focused on European #security & that @Europe will need to do more. Good to see specific mention of security of
#Poland & 🇪🇪🇱🇻🇱🇹
Read 7 tweets
This is the #DemPartyPlatform for 2020. This part is called: 🇺🇸 Mobilizing the World to Address Transnational Challenges: Nonproliferation
🇺🇸Only one party will work to prevent the spread of nuclear, chemical, and biological weapons, and eventually secure their elimination. 1/13
#Democrats believe the United States has a moral responsibility and national security imperative to prevent the spread of nuclear, chemical, and biological weapons, and eventually secure their elimination. 2/13 #DemPartyPlatform #Nonproliferation
Over the past four years, the former Trump Administration did precisely the opposite. 3/13 #DemPartyPlatform #Nonproliferation
Read 13 tweets
1/8 #ArmsControl #Russia Deputy Foreign Minister Sergey #Ryabkov:
We call on the #US administration to properly assess the flexibility that we have shown and to abandon their unfeasible demands or any excessive expectations. ( @USArmsControl
2/8 #ArmsControl #Ryabkov: At this stage, we can’t say that #Russia and #USA are on the verge of agreements on the New #START treaty.
3/8 #ArmsControl #Ryabkov: #Russia repeatedly explained to the Americans that verification is a derivative of an agreement #START itself
Read 8 tweets
With regard of Germany’s Presidency
of the Council of the European Union that starts today, here's a thread with Germany‘s priorities for the fields of #cyber, #AI and #ArmsControl. See the source below for longer text, I've cut it down to fit into twitter /1
Cyber-Security, part I:
„To bolster security in cyberspace (..) closer cooperation between the Member States
in the area of network and information security, particularly critical infrastructure and other enterprises in the public interest. (..)" /2
Cyber-Security, part II:
"To achieve [cyber security], we intend not least to work to ensure that all devices available on the market have a standard minimum level of IT security" /3
Read 10 tweets
.@FaceTheNation's @margbrennan's asks about the "right-sizing" of the @WHNSC and the role of political bias plays.

NSA Robert O’Brien cites budget and historic precedent as reasons for the decrease in personnel.
#Coronavirus: @WHNSC Robert O'Brien tells @FaceTheNation's @margbrennan that we’ve offered American doctors and experts to China in the wake of the coronavirus. They have yet to accept this outstanding offer.
The coronavirus and the economy: @WHNSC Robert O'Brien states, "it looks like this could have an impact on the phase one" trade deal with China but "I don't think at least in my lifetime [the economy] has ever been stronger."
Read 11 tweets
2019 is the 50th edition of the #SIPRIYearbook. Join SIPRI as we celebrate the occasion with a 50-day countdown and share the history of the Yearbook over the past 50 years. Watch the introductory video with SIPRI Director @dansmith2020:
The first #SIPRIYearbook was published in 1969 with the aim ‘to produce a factual and balanced account of a controversial subject—the arms race and attempts to stop it’. The rise in world military spending and disarmament efforts, including the #NPT, take central focus.
'In whatever way the nuclear situation is examined, the inescapable feature is what enormous quantities of weapons have been amassed' – Movement towards a first-strike capability by the #US and #USSR, the #SALT talks and European security were a focus of the 1970 #SIPRIYearbook.
Read 52 tweets
Vamos lá: cada curtida ou RT neste tweet = um fato sobre controle do comércio internacional de armas Image
295. Vale lembrar: o Brasil, embora tenha ratificado o Tratado sobre Comércio de Armas no último dia 14 de agosto, ainda não é Parte, dado que o acordo só passa a vigorar 90 dias após a ratificação (no caso, em 12 de novembro de 2018). Assim, ainda participa como signatário Image
296. De toda forma, a delegação do Brasil se faz presente na #CSP4, sendo composta por 6 integrantes (5 do @ItamaratyGovBr e 1 da @DefesaGovBr), chefiada pelo Embaixador André Aranha Côrrea Do Lago (@brasembtokyo) Image
Read 89 tweets

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