Thread by @ElizabethleaVos

Merry Christmas everyone.

Powerful synthesis of the evidence thus far on #Guccifer2 from @with_integrity:

Guccifer 2.0 Game Over – Year End Review

disobedientmedia.com/2018/12/guccif…

A Christmas present that everyone who appreciates the truth will thoroughly enjoy.

disobedientmedia.com/2018/12/guccif…

Discussing the #Forensicator's first analysis of #NGPVAN:

"That study has been the subject of some controversy, although mostly built on conflating the findings with various interpretations of them, and with reporting on the study conducted by third parties."

@with_integrity: Journalists misconstrued Forensicator’s conclusions as being a bandwidth challenge, when the conclusion relates to how the speeds fit with USB transfers...complementing other indicators of USB usage, (eg, identifying files being stored on a FAT-32 file system.)

"We’ve also seen a journalist from TechDirt argue that there was some sort of “conversion error,” suggesting that expressing transfer rates in MB/s rather than Mbps delegitimizes something or someone. It was silly."

"Of course, as this article hopefully makes clear, you could completely disregard the #NGPVAN archive study if you wanted to, but you would still be left with a plethora of evidence that suggests #Guccifer2.0 operated from within in the United States."

- @with_integrity

"In 2016, Professor Michael J. Connolly was cited by Vice/Motherboard, stating that #Guccifer2.0 seemed to lack [language] traits that would suggest he was Russian."

"Overall, it appears #Guccifer2 could communicate in English quite well but chose to use inconsistently broken English at times. However, the manner of mistakes made did not follow the typical errors one would expect if his first language was #Russian."

"In Sept 2017, @ClimateAudit posted an article on his site re: an email communication made by #Guccifer2 that seems to reveal G2's local time zone being set to US central time."

#HowISpentTheDay #MerryChristmas #HappyHolidays #HappyHanukkah #NewYear2019 #HappyHolidaysToAll

"It is a severely under-appreciated point that, despite having access to #JohnPodesta’s attachments and other documents (and releasing thousands of files), #Guccifer2 somehow avoided releasing anything damaging to the reputations of Podesta, Clinton or the DNC leadership."

Again:
"None of the material #Guccifer2 published had a negative impact on #Clinton’s campaign, (though the persona’s access to docs suggests its operator would have had the capability to do so). Even the docs given to Nevins made zero impact on the election in relevant states."

"On the other hand, #Guccifer2 did manage to very effectively smear the public perception of the #DNCLeaks and #Podestaemails as published by @WikiLeaks, & to generate headlines expressing outrage that funneled attention away from their contents." - @with_integrity

"Without arguing attribution at all, one could draw the conclusion the party which most benefitted from the actions of #Guccifer2.0 – even a #Russian Guccifer 2.0 – was, in fact, the #HillaryClinton campaign."

"At the end of November 2018, #Forensicator published a report titled “Guccifer 2.0’s Russian Breadcrumbs.” ... The analysis comes with a new revelation of #Guccifer2 activity on the East Coast of the US, from a file edited and published on July 6, 2016."

theforensicator.wordpress.com/guccifer-2s-ru…

To quote a follow-up article the #Forensicator published on this topic (titled “#Guccifer2 Returns To The East Coast“):

theforensicator.wordpress.com/2018/12/18/guc…

"From the day he emerged, #Guccifer2 was keen to attribute himself to the alleged #DNChack and attribute himself to #WikiLeaks. Although he had claimed on day one that he’d sent files to WikiLeaks, the first time G2 sent anything was in July (based on #Mueller’s indictment)."

"In addition to this, #Guccifer2.0 tried to attribute himself to #SethRich on August 25, 2016, in a Twitter DM conversation he had with actress Robbin Young."

g-2.space/sr/

disobedientmedia.com/2017/04/wikile…

"What’s interesting about this is that on Aug 9, 2016, #WikiLeaks offered a $20,000 reward for information leading to the arrest of #SethRich’s murderer. On Aug 25, #Assange was due to be interviewed by Fox News... "

"... By then, many had got their hopes up about #Assange and were hoping that he would reveal the source of the #DNCleaks (under the assumption that #SethRich was involved and that his death would make it somehow permissible for #WikiLeaks to divulge such information)."

"An important question: Was the #Guccifer2.0 persona trying to “poison the well” by attributing himself to #SethRich just in case it did turn out there was any substance to rumors? Or was he just trying to prop up a conspiracy theory and throw people off the #Russian trail?"

"Around March 26, 2016, approximately five days after @JohnPodesta’s email was phished, @CrowdStrike coincidentally started working with the #DNC on investigating the #NGPVAN breach that had occurred three months earlier, an arrangement that would persist for five weeks."

"It appears that the first mention of the purpose of this visit was made retroactively, at the very end of those five weeks. #Guccifer2.0’s first follower and the first piece of APT-28 malware was constructed just prior to the end of those five weeks."

"As soon as they had finished that investigation, #Crowdstrike was called back in to investigate a breach. CrowdStrike subsequently visited the @DNC around May 5, 2016. Coincidentally, this was the same day on which the second piece of APT-28 malware was compiled."

"#Crowdstrike then installed #Falcon across the network and judging on FEC records, @CrowdStrike remained active at the #DNC for about 5-6 days, until around the 10th/11th. As it happens, the third piece of #APT28 malware was compiled on May 10, 2016."

- @with_integrity

"Within two days of #Assange announcing that @WikiLeaks possessed leaks, @CrowdStrike executives were retroactively claiming that they’d just eliminated hackers from the @DNC."

"#Mueller's indictment is detailed, contains a lot of facts, and much of it is consistent with the evidence I’ve seen. However, there are some inaccuracies, some of which conflict with evidence in the public domain."

disobedientmedia.com/2018/07/muelle…

"A report citing evidence that I know was sent to #Mueller’s office seems to have been selectively disregarded, and when it comes to the topic of #Guccifer2.0, there are very good reasons to have doubts about attribution to a #GRU officer."

#HappyNewYear

archive.is/UqGfk#selectio…

"Putting those issues aside though, the #Mueller indictment did cite some new details in relation to #Guccifer2.0 and what the persona had apparently done, some of which were completely new revelations to the public. Among the newer details:"

"What would be served by searching for some very specific phrases that they were going to use, but hadn’t yet published? As one Twitter user explains it, this correlation would necessitate supposed GRU officers intentionally creating a clear footprint of their connection to G2:"

"The indictment also cites Twitter DM communications between #Guccifer2.0 and @WikiLeaks, but we don’t get the full context and sentences are cited selectively. Even so, what we do see is interesting."

"On June 15, when #Guccifer2.0 suddenly appeared, he stated: “The main part of the papers, thousands of files and mails, I gave to #Wikileaks. They will publish them soon,” implying he’d not only sent leaks but received confirmation they’d be published"
archive.is/5rRbF#selectio…

"The obvious question that no one in the legacy press bothered to ask:

Why would #WikiLeaks say this if the #Guccifer2.0 persona had already sent WikiLeaks what he had?"

In summary, evidence indicates that the #Guccifer2.0 persona was operated by someone that wanted to prop up the claims being made by #CrowdStrike to the extent that they fabricated evidence and falsified claims in support of statements that had been made by @CrowdStrike execs."

"I have not claimed that #Guccifer2.0 (or any evidence analyzed in relation to the persona) proves or disproves anything with regards to #SethRich. I’ve stated outright that I believe Guccifer 2.0 was lying about Seth Rich & that his claims contradict himself."

Finally: if you liked this thread, you'll love the article. Go give yourself a #Christmas present by reading it! ;)

disobedientmedia.com/2018/12/guccif…