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Today's Eurasia Lunch series is chaired by @FletcherSchool visiting scholar Yury Nadtochey who will speak about ways to manage escalation risks between #Russia and the West. #AcademicTwitter

More about the visiting scholars here: sites.tufts.edu/fletcherrussia…
Why do we need confidence-building measures to manage conflict, asks Yury Nadtochey?

"There are ways to tackle asymmetry of information and there is a basis for decision-making, based on social norms and not just Benefits-Cost Analysis." @FletcherSchool ImageImage
.@FletcherSchool @FletcherRussia visiting scholar Yury Nadtochey discusses if confidence-building measures prevent inadvertent war?

"Only if there is a strong desire among conflicted parties to maintain peace," Nadtochey adds. #AcademicTwitter
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BREAKING: The #US State Department Spokesperson has said that gaps remain between the United States and Iran, or between Iran and the rest of the P5+1 on #Vienna talks.
In a press briefing, Ned Price @StateDeptSpox said, "A mutual return to compliance with the nuclear deal would not only be in the interests of the US and our European partners...
...Ensuring that Iran would not be in a position to obtain a nuclear weapon would also be in the interests of two of the participants in this meeting.”
Read 4 tweets
1. Yesterday, during the #Economic #Forum in #Karpacz #Poland, Jaroslaw #Kaczynski uttered categorical words: "Western #Europe is culturally alien to us".

Let us take Kaczynski's words as an opportunity to recall an extremely important thread.

Let us recount what he said.
2. You can see #Kaczynski during discussion panel together with MEPs @ZdzKrasnodebski and Ryszard Legutko, his two main informal advisors on ideological and international issues.

"The threat to our sovereignty from the West is greater than from the East." - claimed Krasnodebski.
3. A lot of attention has been paid to #Kaczynski's shoes, but - let's face it - while embarrassing, that's not what's most important

Read 15 tweets
Just gone midnight (UK time) and the weekend already.

I'm starting the daily thread covering #Russia's war earlier than usual as there are attacks taking place right now on #Ukraine

It's Day 178 of the full invasion of its peaceful neighbour
#StopRussia

Right now ALL of #Ukraine is experiencing air raid warnings, but not everything is the same as usual.

A few minutes ago, at the end of yesterday's thread, I reported on explosions in occupied #Melitopol, but plenty of missiles being fired from #Russia into free Ukraine...
However, it seems as though #Russia's OWN air defences have taken out some of their own missiles leaving #Belgorod!

Difficult to confirm this, but looking at confirmed radar reports of missiles being fired from Russian territory, towards east #Ukraine this does seem very likely.
Read 43 tweets
If you’re visiting #Vienna before the end of January 2023, I highly recommend checking out the ‘Oceans. Collections. Reflections.’ exhibition by George Nuku at Weltmuseum Wien. Really inspiring (and a little piece of Aotearoa home feeling for me personally).
Nuuk used existing holdings of the museum to develop a fascinating probing of New Zealand—Austria connections since the 1850s. The project also involved 150 volunteers who helped with producing some of the new exhibits: an inspiring approach. weltmuseumwien.at/ausstellungen/…
It’s also worth visiting Nuku’s ‘Bottled Ocean 2122’ in Theseustempel. It’s an exhibition of an imagined future ocean in plastic … a future we may well see if we humans don’t change our ways. #ClimateEmergency
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LONG 🧵 ON UKRAINIAN REFUGEES ABROAD 🇺🇦
I said I would write this "soon" & that was like a month ago... but here we are. The bottom line: pls share this, please volunteer, please donate, we're over four months into the #war & people still need to flee & need help abroad

1/22
So I've spent a considerable amount of time in the past months as a volunteer in arrival centres for #Ukrainian refugees in both #Vienna and #Berlin. What I'm saying here is from my experience in these places, but the situation is pretty similar everywhere.
We all remember the images from the very first days of the invasion. The streams of people at the border, the buses coming to pick them up, the volunteers from all over the world, the train stations of Europe with hastily set up arrival centres. The situation has changed much...
Read 24 tweets
ICYMI: @USAmbOSCE Michael Carpenter accuses #Russia of exploiting extremism & ultranationalism

"This far-right ultranationalism is in fact being cultivated as a tool of war" he said in a speech to the @OSCE Permanent Council in #Vienna
"The utter contempt shown by such large numbers of #Russia’s soldiers for the humanity of #Ukraine’s elderly, women, & children is the direct outcome of feeding its forces a pack of lies...&the inculcation of ultranationalist & dehumanizing ideas among its troops" per @USAmbOSCE
Extremist / Ultranationalist "ideology has long been propagated inside #Russia" per @USAmbOSCE

"The Kremlin’s ultranationalist agenda has also, at times, translated into support for neo-Nazi groups internationally aimed at destabilizing democratic countries"
Read 5 tweets
During the three weeks of my stay in #Vienna, I heard several times the questions: "#Ukrainian and Russian languages are quite similar, aren't they?" and "Ukrainian and Russian are like different versions of German in Austria and Germany?". So, let me explain👇🏻
First of all, Ukrainian and Russian are different languages and by no means one language. Ukrainian is not a dialect of Russian. #Moscow has always tried to pretend that the Ukrainian and Russian languages are similar. The truth is that Russians do not even understand Ukrainian
Ukrainian is the language that most closely resembles #Belarusian with which it has 29 common characteristics. Furthermore, Ukrainians can easily understand #Polish, #Czech, #Slovak etc.
Read 7 tweets
We have been talking a lot about the big first meeting of state parties to the TPNW, but what will actually be discussed? The provisional agenda was just adopted, here is what’s on the table. A 🧵 1/12 #nuclearban #Vienna Image
The meeting will begin by electing officers and with some introductions and statements from high level-officials, including UN secretary-general @antonioguterres 2/12
Then delegates will go through important elements like officially adopting the agenda, the rules of procedure, deciding on how to organize work, and a general exchange of views 3/12
Read 12 tweets
I've spent the past ~7 weeks conducting interviews about anti-Covid-measures #protests in #Vienna with
- young adults participating in the protests
- participants in counter-protests
- journalists
- police officers
- affected individuals
a brief 🧵 with some selected results:
1/52 Easter break = a whole week without interviews: seems like a good time to reflect on the 37 I've had so far & drop some research notes here. They're semi-structured interviews with narrative elements.
2/52 Notes refer to my sample and aren't intended to generalize to the whole group!

📍Protesters: Because I was interested in young adults (< 30 y), this sample is particularly different from the population, as the protests here were mostly attended by middle aged/older people.
Read 54 tweets
United Nations Environment Programme (UNEP) is celebrating its 50th anniversary in 2022

Let us glance through the timeline of the United Nations Environment Programme (UNEP).
1968: UN takes up the environmental mantle.

1972: UN Conference on the Human Environment was convened in Stockholm, Sweden. It is the first step toward the development of international environmental law &recognition of the importance of a healthy environment for people.
1972: After successfully leading the UN Conference on the Human Environment, the UN General Assembly elects Strong, a Canadian Maurice Strong, as UNEP’s first Executive Director.
Read 56 tweets
Thread🧵:
As I predicted two days ago, the Russian invasion of #Ukraine would directly affect the course of the negotiations in #Vienna on #Iran's nuclear program, which was declared frozen today.
1/6
To understand why, you can read the thread:👇
Signing the agreement would have meant a stab in the back for #Russia by opening the way for Iranian oil and gas to be pumped into the global market, which would turn the most dangerous Russian weapon against the West less severe.
2/6
#Iran #USA #EU #UK #NATO
A rejection of the agreement would create to the West anger and disappointment with all the economic and security concessions made by #France, #Germany and the #US, which in one way or another caused tension in western relations with #SaudiArabia and the #UAE.
3/6
Read 6 tweets
This 12(!) car #train arrived at #budapestnyugati from #záhony at the #Ukrainian #border this afternoon, it was a special train for the #Ukrainianrefugees fleeing the #WARINUKRAINE

And I have to say that I am positively surprised by how much help is happening in Eastern Europe!
And to put it in context, the "normal" train back to Zahony had 5 cars...
This is at the #keleti station in Budapest, normally this hall is completely empty, now it full with stands and people who #HelpUkrainianRefugees
Read 27 tweets
In the last 48hrs, #Syria's banned almost all food exports, amid acute concern about the implications of war in #Ukraine.

#Syria is *deeply* reliant on staple food (esp. wheat) shipments from #Russia via the Black Sea. Those shipments (& #Russia financial aid) have 100% stopped.
Already, #Syria's fiscal crisis, energy shortages, unprecedented drought & the resulting crippled agricultural output had seen some aid figures warn of a famine in 2022.

#Putin's war on #Ukraine has just placed those fears on steroids -- I'm told #Damascus is extremely worried.
To make matters even worse, the war in #Ukraine has distracted international attention from #Syria & its acute humanitarian crises -- donor payments will almost certainly decline & future pledges will be [further] cut, just as the humanitarian suffering looks destined to worsen.
Read 5 tweets
#Russia/#Ukraine Thread 🇺🇦 🇷🇺 [1]
#Russian news agencies are reporting that #Luhansk separatist region prevented a terrorist attack on a soldiers rally. #UkraineCrisis #UkraineConflict #Ukraine #Crimea #Donbass #Donetsk #EU #Europe #NATO #US #Russia #Belarus [2]
Elements of #Russian forces in #Crimea are reported by #Russian media to be returning to North #Ossetia and #Dagestan, following the end of special exercise in the region. #Russia #Ukraine #UkraineCrisis #UkraineConflict #EU #NATO #US #Europe [3]
Read 240 tweets
Thousands march against COVID restrictions in northwest #Europe | DEc 4
- Around 1,200 police officers deployed for the march on the central Ring boulevard, and a 1,500-strong counter-protest, both allowed under the terms of #Austria’s lockdown.
swissinfo.ch/eng/reuters/th…
More than 40,000 march in #Vienna | Dec 4
"I will decide for myself", "Make #Austria Great Again", and "New Elections"
- "I am here because I am against against forced vaccinations. I am for human rights and the violation of #HumanRights should be stopped"
reuters.com/world/europe/t… Image
More than 40,000 marches in #Vienna against coronavirus #restrictions | Dec 5
- Tens of thousands took to the streets of Vienna on Saturday, the second weekend of mass protest against the #Austrian government’s decision to impose a new strict #lockdown
fr24news.com/a/2021/12/more… Image
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68.01/ Week sixty-eight, Oct. 30-Nov. 5, 2021, thread begins here.

Week 67 below
68.02/ This is right in my wheelhouse: scholarship laden pop-culture analysis. This is of #Dune

68.03/ #Dune is an incredibly flawed book that's nonetheless fascinating. Also, as a kid I thought the (pseudo) Arabic was Hebrew. e.g. "Kwisatz Haderach" which I eventually recognized from Midrash (from last week's parsha! God "shortened Eliezer's way"):
sefaria.org/Rashi_on_Genes…
Read 45 tweets
Do you know the story of #coffee?

Sure you get it from Starbucks or grind it at home but its story was not as simple as farm to pot

The story involves dancing goats, Fatwa, babtization, kings, revolutions, patriotism, Beethoven

Coffee has a rich & troubling history

☕️ Thread
1/ 1st, the legend:

Legend has it that an #Ethiopian goat herder named Kaldi witnessed his goats gamboling after eating coffee shrub’s red fruit. Perplexed, Kaldi tried the fruit himself and realized the same effect on him. A monk witnessed it & took some of the fruit with him.
2/ Now, the history:

The coffee plant and fruit has been used for 1000s of years but it wasn’t until the 13 century when the beans were roasted, which sky rocketed its popularity. Coffee originated in Ethiopia but it was across the Red Sea, in #Yemen, it was first cultivated.
Read 17 tweets
Kafir never remembers the history and they never forget it!

Ever wonder why 11th Sep was chosen for the terrorist attack against the United States of America in 2001?

Sadly most people believe that it was a coincidence.

#11september2001
It was on 11th September 1683, when Europeans drove the Islamic invader from the gates of #Vienna. The proud #Turkish Army was humiliated.

The battle of Vienna was the turning point in the struggle against Muslim attempts to conquer Europe.
#wtc911
Since the Battle of Vienna the military might of the Ottoman empire fell into continuous decline.

Al-Qaeda chose the anniversary of this event to show the world that the Muslim forces were back in business again.

They remembered and we...??

#11Septembre
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1/ When a government effectively stops immigration using an unspoken (racist & xenophobic) policy as simple as — not picking up the phone
wien.orf.at/stories/311727…
2/ If you don't speak german, or just don't want to click through: In Austria, Vienna's immigration office is slowing or stopping visa applications—a majority of which are made by Serbian and Turkish citizens—by understaffing and overworking immigration workers,
3/ or simply by telling their staff, "Do not pick up the telephones" when applicants call, allowing emails to slip through the cracks, etc.
Read 7 tweets
🇦🇹#Austria 🇩🇪#Germany #Vienna #Coronavirus

Austria allows entry from Germany without quarantine from Wednesday. Health Minister Wolfgang Mückstein said this with reference to a new regulation. However, proof of vaccination, testing or recovery remains mandatory.
"In many countries, the number of infections is falling, so we can also simplify entry into Austria in parallel to the opening steps in the country," said Mückstein.
Vaccines that have been approved by the EU Medicines Agency EMA or have successfully passed the relevant process of the World Health Organization are recognized as proof of vaccination. If a test cannot be presented, it must be done in Austria within 24 hours.
Read 4 tweets
Reports on #Iran-#SaudiArabia intelligence contact in #Iraq.

#Zarif leaves #Qatar. #Saudi FM lands in #Doha, invites Emir Sheikh Tamim to meet the King in #Riyadh.

#Tehran (& the #US?) appears to try to take the #Gulf on board.

This could isolate #Israel in a revived #JCPOA.
Some in #Vienna appear to want to isolate #Israel. But officials in #Gulf/#GCC face a difficult choice. They have to weigh if a compromise on #JCPOA and weakening Israel's position will resolve the problem of #Iran's malign activities? Or will it be a temporary solution?
The #US is directly engaging #GCC on #JCPOA, while FM #Zarif engages #SaudiArabia through #Qatar and #Iraq.

If the #Gulf comes aboard, #Israel and #Republicans will be effectively sidelined.

Read 7 tweets
#Austria #Vienna #Coronavirus

In Austria, the government is today consulting with experts and the Prime Minister about the further corona strategy. The original plan of the coalition of the conservative ÖVP and the Greens to open at least outdoor catering
across the country at Easter seems to be off the table because of the significantly increased number of infections. Rather, regionally different measures could be implemented depending on the infection situation.
Health Minister Rudolf Anschober had pointed out the worsening situation, especially in the intensive care units in the eastern federal states. The more contagious British virus variant is responsible for 95 percent of all new infections there.
Read 5 tweets

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