Tim White Profile picture
1 Sep, 45 tweets, 35 min read
Thursday's #Coronavirus megathread starts here with the best #Covid19 global analysis and round up available on Twitter.

First a little quiz, answer in the next Tweet:
Do you know which country has had the most recorded cases of Covid19 as a percentage of population?
So I hope there was no cheating... I'll leave some blank lines here too in case some later viewers don't want the answer just yet...
So the nation with more #Covid19 cases than any other based on population is highly vaccinated #Seychelles at more than 20% infected.
Today I spent quite a long time being filmed/interviewed by @bbcturkce about #Covid19 and #Turkey. Not sure how much they will use, let's see.

Coincidentally the cameraman Efe, just happened to be in Kyiv as one of those using Ukraine for a 10 day stop off to avoid hotel prison!
Today's data to catch up on.
It seems a bit late to post ALL the daily Greek Island cases from y'day, but if anyone wants specific details, reply!
The most popular islands fared well:
#Crete 145 (-105)
#Corfu 40 (-13)
#Kefalonia 5 (-11)
#Kos 11 (-4)
#Rhodes 54 (-39)
#Zante 8 (-6)
#USA registered over 184,000 new cases of #Covid19 overnight. #Texas led the way with over 24,000 infections, the highest daily number in the biggest state since early January. TX also reported 325 Covid deaths.
The U.S. 7 day infection rate is now 346/100k or 495 AD/M
In case you missed it earlier, another all time #Covid19 record for #Australia overnight.

1,466 new cases of which 1,288 were again in #NewSouthWales where there were also 7 Covid deaths.
#Victoria sees a leap too, with 176 new cases
#NewZeland announced 52 new #Covid19 cases there today. Looks like they may be able to keep control of the outbreak.
#Pakistan is lowering cases and the positive test rate.

4,103 new #Covid19 infections today, down 10% compared to last Thursday.
The positive rate is now 6.7%
89 further Covid deaths
Another little spike today in #SouthKorea

Seoul announced 1,956 new cases of #Covid19 and 11 more deaths. The 7-day infection rate keeps threatening to go down but then pops back up again. It's been at more or less record levels for 3 weeks now
On 7 August #Brunei had only ever seen 357 cases of #Covid19 in the 18 months of the pandemic.
Tomorrow total infections will likely pass 3,000 after a huge spike which so far looks to have peaked with 300 cases in a day just over a week ago.
It's on🟢list and likely stays there.
Thanks to @COVID1943043792 for alerting me to the #Brunei spike!

#Norway is also having a big spike and could hit a new record early tomorrow morning. 1,640 #Covid19 cases this morning, up another 27%. Also 8 more deaths
Many worried nations in the #Caribbean which is probably the world's #Covid19 hotspot right now.

#Grenada is top of the list right now with another national record of 125 new cases in the last report. The Prime Minister is addressing the nation tomorrow with a lockdown likely
Things seem to be calming down on #Antigua & Barbuda, but not out of the woods yet.
Very low cases earlier the past 2 days but 23 new #Covid19 infections today. That's still much lower than the record 62 set 3 days ago. Should be ok if they get to Monday without any new records.
#Barbados continues to climb, but still looks one of the safer places right now. Very difficult to predict if the wave will gather momentum, but right now I don't see any problems for 3-4 weeks. Last update saw 40 new #Covid19 infections, but still a 50% increase.
#Jamaica now and there was a slight fall in the case numbers released late yesterday.
351 new #Covid19 cases, but an all time record 31 new deaths.
#JAM may yet push up some more, the positive test rate still a way too high 32%
#StLucia may have passed the peak, but still need another couple of days' data to confirm the hopes.

103 more #Covid19 cases and 2 deaths in the update early this morning. That's slightly down on last week. However testing wasn't great and still a 33% positive test rate
After a couple of rises this wk, #Belgium is steady today with 2,842 new #Covid19 cases, just 53 fewer than last Thursday. Just 2 more deaths.

The extent of #Ukraine's growth is plain to see now as today I can compare like with like. It's a 57% increase with 2,477 cases, 44 dead
#Europe #Covid19 cases today:

#Austria 1,510 (+72), 3 died
#Czechia 261 (+14)
#Estonia 474 (+69), 2 dead
#Finland 683 (+33)
#Hungary 262 (+82),1 death
#Latvia 340 (+190), 1 died. Huge 127% increase
#Lithuania 807 (+104), 8 dead
#Poland 390 (+139), 7 deaths
#Slovakia 178 (+17)
Seven weeks since #Covid19 cases peaked in #Russia, the infection rate continues to fall, but the death rate remains at record levels.

18,985 new cases yet 798 daily deaths (again) according to the Ministry of Made Up Stats in the Kremlin.
Strange data from #Philippines too where #Covid19 cases continue to edge up slightly.

16,621 new #Covid19 infections. 148 new deaths
The infection rate's at an all time high.
Yet deaths started coming down quite dramatically a week ago. That's not right!
After 9 days of virtually identical data, #UAE has expanded the parameters very slightly, daring to suggest only 975 new #Covid19 cases today.

A new wave or spike, is gathering ground in #Malta

It's unexpected to be honest after the massive wave not so long since. However the 7 day infection rate is up 27% in just 4 days.

75 new #Covid19 cases today, 79% above last Thursday's total.
Another 20% fall in #Covid19 infections for #Greece today.

2,840 new cases.
Health wise, 33 deaths while 362 patients remain seriously ill
#UK sees a minimal fall in #Covid19 numbers
38,154 new cases, just 127 fewer than a week ago

178 more Covid related deaths today, up from 140. There could still be some weekend lag. I'd expect tomorrow's death toll to be near 100.

Over the week:
Cases: ⬆️-1.0%
#Covid19 case numbers across #UK by country (change from last Thursday)

#England 28,686 (-2.5%)
#NIreland 793 (-36%)
#Scotland 6,400 (+30%)
#Wales 2,275 (-6%)

Scotland could see new record tomorrow.
Any "festival" acquired infections will start to feed through from now.
#Covid19 patients in hospitals right now:

#England 6,186 (+5% compared with last Thursday)
#Scotland 624 (+46%)
#Switzerland virtually unchanged again

2,838 new cases of #Covid19 - just 29 higher than seven days ago.
12 Covid deaths in #SUI
More #Covid19 numbers from Europe:

#Denmark 694 (-288)
#Iceland 56 (-46)
#Italy 6,761 (-460), 34 more have died
#Netherlands 2,773 (+189), 5 deaths
#Sweden 1,214 (-297)
An increase in new #Covid19 cases in #Portugal but it follows the huge fall yesterday, so almost certainly just some lag in reporting and nothing to be concerned about.

2,830 infections diagnosed and 9 deaths.
#Balkans round up of #Covid19 cases (+/- last wk)/deaths today

#Bosnia #BiH 554 (-76), 26 dead
#Bulgaria 1,745 (+144) 54
#Croatia 798 (+160), 11
#Kosovo 1,612 (-683), 32
#Montenegro 577 (-187), 1
#Romania 1,470 (+517), 26
#Serbia 3,524 (+1070), 15
#Slovenia 666 (+157), 3 dead
The last Balkans countries have just reported, and it's good news for #Albania which sees a surprise fall in new #Covid19 cases.
853 positive tests, 35 fewer than last Thursday. 4 deaths.

#NorthMacedonia has been falling for a while.
760 new cases (-321) and 23 deaths
Unexpected rise in #Spain
I guess #Covid19 infections have been falling too quickly and this is a "correction" rather than a sudden change of direction. Tomorrow's data will be important now though.

9,561 new cases, up >2,400
But the infection rate's still lower than 2 days ago
#Morocco continues to make excellent progress in its fight against #Covid19

5,383 new cases this evening, almost exactly 2000 fewer than last Thursday.
Deaths already falling too - down to 70 today.
#France achieves a reduction of over 10% again.
17,621 #Covid19 cases diagnosed today. That's compared to 19,683 this time last week.

85 further deaths in #FRA
It's been confirmed this evening that from the end of the month no-one will be allowed in to nightclubs in the UK without proof of full #Covid19 vaccination.
There is no option to take a rapid test.

The new law will also apply to "other venues where large crowds gather"
It's been confirmed this evening that from the end of the month no-one will be allowed in to nightclubs in the UK without proof of full #Covid19 vaccination.
There is no option to take a rapid test.

The new law will also apply to "other venues where large crowds gather"
Worryingly for #Turkey a 20% increase in new infections compared to last Thursday.

23,496 more #Covid19 cases diagnosed, although with a few more tests than yesterday the positive rate has gone down slightly.

283 more Covid deaths announced.
Just a 15% increase for #Germany as it nears the peak of the wave.

13,854 new cases of #Covid19 detected today.
38 more deaths.

The last published data on testing rates shows UK testing around 8 to 10 x more than Germany with cases 4 times higher.
#Cyprus sees new #Covid19 cases 7% lower than a week ago.

235 more infections today and 1 Covid deaths.
The positive test rate is now down to 0.45% and Cyprus must have a real chance of making the green list in the next review
News from 2 nations unfortunate to still be🔴

#DominicanRepublic has a small increase in #Covid19 cases to 349
But #DomRep's rate is low & fairly stable

#Maldives: 173 new cases, well up from 108. Signs of a new wave continue

But if both improve genomic sequencing should be ok
#India's infection rate still rising, but slowly now.
The 7 day rate is up over 4% in 10 days

45,482 new #Covid19 cases today, just 2% higher than last Thursday. 357 more Covid deaths
#SouthAfrica is still on course to come off red in October by my reckoning.

#Covid19 cases falling steeply now: down by >3,500 today to 9,202

But another 418 people have died
Compare SA with UK.
Summer peak saw SA have half infections of UK peak yet four times the death toll
#Israel hit a freak 20,000 new cases of #Covid19 yesterday, two-thirds higher than any other day in the history of the pandemic.

Today over 10,000 more positive tests, still 20% higher than a week ago. #ISR has now reached an all time high 7-day infection rate
Not great news from #Jamaica tonight.

572 additional #Covid19 cases, 24% higher than a week ago. The positive test rate remains stable, but at a dangerous 34%

19 Covid deaths reported in #JAM today.
#Ireland reports 1,751 further cases of #Covid19 this evening. That's 115 fewer than last Thursday's total.

343 people remain hospitalised with the disease with 59 of those patients in ICU.

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More from @TWMCLtd

1 Sep
Wednesday's #Coronavirus megathread starts here, with all the data, news and analysis as #Covid19 continues to cause problems.

Slightly less mega today on the thread as I am working abroad and struggling for time and internet. Doing my best!
Starting with the case numbers from the islands of #Greece which I couldn't publish yesterday.

Broadly heading in the right direction, with exceptionally good numbers from #Crete again and #Zante

#Mykonos surges again and is still the most infected island.
2/3 #Covid19 cases Tuesday on the islands of #Greece

#Crete 196 (-148)
#Corfu 53 (-15)
#Andros 1 (-9)
#Chios 24 (+8)
#Ikaria 11 (-10)
#Ithaca 2 (-1)
#Kalymnos (-1)
#Karpathos (-1)
#KeaKythnos 1 (+1)
#Kefalonia 9 (-1)
#Kos 10 (-2)
#Lefkada 24 (-9)
#Lemnos 2 (-3)
#Lesbos 33 (+1)
Read 30 tweets
31 Aug
The daily #Coronavirus megathread for Tuesday starts early, from Manchester airport.

Because of the early start I missed a few countries from yesterday's thread, first I'll update these #Covid19 totals. Tweets during the day may be delayed due to travel & connectivity issues
1/3 #GreekIslands - yesterday cases nudged lower again in #Greece and there were some very promising data from the islands too.

#Crete cut new cases of #Covid19 by 43% while for #Corfu it was a 48% fall and #Rhodes saw a reduction of 38%.

#Samos and #Chios need watching...
#Greece - #Covid19 on the islands yesterday vs previous week

#Crete 129 (-98)
#Corfu 26 (-24)
#Andros 2 (-1)
#Chios 22 (+11)
#Ikaria 3 (+1)
#Kalymnos 4 (-6)
#Kefalonia 4 (-4)
#Kos 9 (-4)
#Lefkada 5 (-7)
#Lemnos 4 (+3)
#Lesbos 19 (-4)
Read 40 tweets
30 May
Hello! It's a super sunny Sunday in (almost) all of #UK, enjoy the BBQ & don't worry too much about #Covid19

This is the daily #Coronavirus megathread and soon I'll make my predictions about🚦travel review.

To my anonymous donors💚just sorry I can't thank you personally.
Late on yesterday's thread some alarming news from #Bahrain, and also on there data from #Argentina and #Brazil

But today in the next 2 tweets, I'll start by taking a look at the infection situation which can go a long way to determining🟢🚦countries

Europe's most #Covid19 infected nations (7-day rate AD/M)
Same top 10. NL slow getting cases down

1 #Sweden 188
2 #Netherlands 182
3 #Lithuania 177
4 #Latvia 168
5 #Denmark 167
6 #Belgium 164
7 #Greece 154
8 #Andorra 148
9 #France 139
10 #Slovenia 135

Read 46 tweets
29 May
Saturday's #Coronavirus megathread starts here.

Thanks so much for everyone who contributed yesterday, if you have no idea what I'm on about here's another sneaky link to my crowdfunder!

It's a quite start today following the flurry of news last night..

So a lot of data and a couple of new stories came in during the last hour or so of Friday, including South America data.

You can catch up on #Argentina #Brazil #Colombia #Bulgaria #Norway stats, and some #OlympicGames news by clicking and scrolling ⬇️

Now more very concerning news from #Bahrain, one of the most vaccinated territories on the planet.

#Covid19 cases are still rising there - more worrying is the real increase in deaths too.
Second highest daily number of new cases & deaths in the latest update
graph @Worldometers Image
Read 24 tweets
28 May
Finally, here is Friday's #Coronavirus megathread

🚦review imminent, I'm getting a lot of questions.
I reply to everyone but it's so time consuming
I'm now working on 7-day rates for EVERY Greek island.

No obligation but if my efforts are worth £1, thx

I'll continue to post free advice and data, so nothing will be hidden from anyone, so please don't be angry or upset! And yes you can still ask questions!

So the big news in UK today is that the single shot Jansen (J&J) #Covid19 vaccine has been approved

The big #Covid19 data news overnight is that #Argentina smashed its own record again, topping 40,000 cases in a day for the first time.

41,080 new cases to be precise, up around 15% on last week's total.
Another 547 new deaths
Read 45 tweets
15 Mar
Which countries are the worst liars when it comes to #Covid19 deaths (and which are the most honest)?

There's no definitive way of stating, but analysis of excess deaths is a guide to the real extent of #Coronavirus

I've worked out official deaths as a % of excess deaths..
This is the best way to expose clear cheating.
But it's not perfect

Many nations suspected of underplaying #Covid19 deaths don't declare mortality data, notably India, Indonesia and Turkey, though for the latter two stats are available for the biggest cities Jakarta/Istanbul
Data are the latest available for each country but e.g. while Peru, Spain, UK are right up to date, others are >6 months old.

Some nations have negative excess deaths, e.g. Taiwan, New Zealand, Thailand, Australia, Japan, Iceland, Norway.
Having lockdowns, mask wearing etc
Read 10 tweets

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