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Thiemo Fetzer @fetzert
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Lets try sth -- using large scale @Survation estimates of support from a comprehensive 20k strong poll across the UK, we can see which constituencies have swung from #Leave in 2016 to #Remain if there was a rerun of the 2016 #EUref ...a map and the 10 biggest swings to Remain
Constituency #Southampton, #Itchen
#Leave in 2016 59.96
Estimated #Leave % in 2018 42.60
Estimated swing to #Remain -17.36
#Westminster Constituency: #Kingston upon Hull North
#Leave in 2016: 59.97
Estimated #Leave % in 2018 45.15
Estimated swing to #Remain -14.82
#Westminster Constituency: #Luton South
#Leave in 2016: 55.44
Estimated #Leave % in 2018 41.14
Estimated swing to #Remain -14.30
#Westminster Constituency: #Hayes and #Harlington
#Leave in 2016: 59.41
Estimated #Leave % in 2018 45.69
Estimated swing to #Remain -13.72
#Westminster Constituency: #Portsmouth South
#Leave in 2016: 51.76
Estimated #Leave % in 2018 38.19
Estimated swing to #Remain -13.57
#Westminster Constituency: #Barking
#Leave in 2016: 60.33
Estimated #Leave % in 2018 46.76
Estimated swing to #Remain -13.57
#Westminster Constituency: #Northampton North
#Leave in 2016: 60.69
Estimated #Leave % in 2018 47.52
Estimated swing to #Remain -13.17
#Westminster Constituency: #Rhondda
#Leave in 2016: 61.24
Estimated #Leave % in 2018 48.14
Estimated swing to #Remain -13.10
#Westminster Constituency: #Salford and #Eccles
#Leave in 2016: 53.59
Estimated #Leave % in 2018 40.82
Estimated swing to #Remain -12.77
#Westminster Constituency: #Denton and #Reddish
#Leave in 2016: 60.98
Estimated #Leave % in 2018 48.27
Estimated swing to #Remain -12.71
#Westminster Constituency: #Preston
#Leave in 2016: 56.85
Estimated #Leave % in 2018 44.17
Estimated swing to #Remain -12.68
#Westminster Constituency: #Swansea East
#Leave in 2016: 62.10
Estimated #Leave % in 2018 49.85
Estimated swing to #Remain -12.25
#Westminster Constituency: #Warley
#Leave in 2016: 61.83
Estimated #Leave % in 2018 49.91
Estimated swing to #Remain -11.92
#Westminster Constituency: #Slough
#Leave in 2016: 54.10
Estimated #Leave % in 2018 42.35
Estimated swing to #Remain -11.75
#Westminster Constituency: #Plymouth, #Sutton and #Devonport
#Leave in 2016: 54.41
Estimated #Leave % in 2018 42.72
Estimated swing to #Remain -11.69
#Westminster Constituency: #Leeds West
#Leave in 2016: 54.98
Estimated #Leave % in 2018 43.39
Estimated swing to #Remain -11.59
#Westminster Constituency: #Southampton, Test
#Leave in 2016: 50.65
Estimated #Leave % in 2018 39.24
Estimated swing to #Remain -11.41
#Westminster Constituency: #Carmarthen East and #Dinefwr
#Leave in 2016: 53.77
Estimated #Leave % in 2018 42.38
Estimated swing to #Remain -11.39
#Westminster Constituency: #Stalybridge and #Hyde
#Leave in 2016: 59.29
Estimated #Leave % in 2018 48.30
Estimated swing to #Remain -10.99
#Westminster Constituency: #Feltham and #Heston
#Leave in 2016: 55.93
Estimated #Leave % in 2018 44.95
Estimated swing to #Remain -10.98
#Westminster Constituency: #Liverpool, #Walton
#Leave in 2016: 53.80
Estimated #Leave % in 2018 43.01
Estimated swing to #Remain -10.79
#Westminster Constituency: #Bootle
#Leave in 2016: 54.88
Estimated #Leave % in 2018 44.11
Estimated swing to #Remain -10.77
#Westminster Constituency: #Luton North
#Leave in 2016: 58.21
Estimated #Leave % in 2018 47.44
Estimated swing to #Remain -10.77
#Westminster Constituency: #Lincoln
#Leave in 2016: 57.31
Estimated #Leave % in 2018 46.63
Estimated swing to #Remain -10.68
It appears there is a maximum number of tweets you can add at once... if you looked this far, here is finally a map...
#Westminster Constituency: #Warrington North
#Leave in 2016: 58.65
Estimated #Leave % in 2018 47.97
Estimated swing to #Remain -10.68
#Westminster Constituency: #Knowsley
#Leave in 2016: 52.44
Estimated #Leave % in 2018 42.01
Estimated swing to #Remain -10.43
#Westminster Constituency: North #Tyneside
#Leave in 2016: 59.37
Estimated #Leave % in 2018 49.16
Estimated swing to #Remain -10.21
#Westminster Constituency: #Coventry North East @live_coventry
#Leave in 2016: 59.23
Estimated #Leave % in 2018 49.03
Estimated swing to #Remain -10.20
#Westminster Constituency: #Islwyn
#Leave in 2016: 58.87
Estimated #Leave % in 2018 48.73
Estimated swing to #Remain -10.14
#Westminster Constituency: #Ogmore
#Leave in 2016: 59.75
Estimated #Leave % in 2018 49.82
Estimated swing to #Remain -9.93
#Westminster Constituency: #Norwich North
#Leave in 2016: 57.32
Estimated #Leave % in 2018 47.45
Estimated swing to #Remain -9.87
#Westminster Constituency: #Eltham
#Leave in 2016: 51.82
Estimated #Leave % in 2018 42.01
Estimated swing to #Remain -9.81
#Westminster Constituency: #Sheffield, Heeley
#Leave in 2016: 57.61
Estimated #Leave % in 2018 47.84
Estimated swing to #Remain -9.77
#Westminster Constituency: #Halton
#Leave in 2016: 57.82
Estimated #Leave % in 2018 48.07
Estimated swing to #Remain -9.75
#Westminster Constituency: #Birkenhead
#Leave in 2016: 51.71
Estimated #Leave % in 2018 42.19
Estimated swing to #Remain -9.52
#Westminster Constituency: #Liverpool, #West Derby
#Leave in 2016: 50.28
Estimated #Leave % in 2018 40.77
Estimated swing to #Remain -9.51
#PeoplesVote anyone?
#Westminster Constituency: St Helens South and Whiston
#Leave in 2016: 56.12
Estimated #Leave % in 2018 46.69
Estimated swing to #Remain -9.43
#PeoplesVote anyone?
#Westminster Constituency: #Cynon Valley
#Leave in 2016: 56.96
Estimated #Leave % in 2018 47.71
Estimated swing to #Remain -9.25
#PeoplesVote anyone?
#Westminster Constituency: #Blaydon
#Leave in 2016: 56.32
Estimated #Leave % in 2018 47.11
Estimated swing to #Remain -9.21
#PeoplesVote anyone?
#Westminster Constituency: #Aberconwy
#Leave in 2016: 53.38
Estimated #Leave % in 2018 44.19
Estimated swing to #Remain -9.19
#PeoplesVote anyone?
#Westminster Constituency: #Gloucester
#Leave in 2016: 58.90
Estimated #Leave % in 2018 49.84
Estimated swing to #Remain -9.06
#PeoplesVote anyone?
#Westminster Constituency: #Stockton South
#Leave in 2016: 57.80
Estimated #Leave % in 2018 48.81
Estimated swing to #Remain -8.99
#PeoplesVote anyone?
#Westminster Constituency: #Lancaster and #Fleetwood
#Leave in 2016: 50.91
Estimated #Leave % in 2018 42.05
Estimated swing to #Remain -8.86
#PeoplesVote anyone?
#Westminster Constituency: North East #Somerset
#Leave in 2016: 52.12
Estimated #Leave % in 2018 43.26
Estimated swing to #Remain -8.86
#PeoplesVote anyone?
#Westminster Constituency: #Bournemouth West
#Leave in 2016: 57.90
Estimated #Leave % in 2018 49.07
Estimated swing to #Remain -8.83
#PeoplesVote anyone?
#Westminster Constituency: North #Swindon
#Leave in 2016: 57.44
Estimated #Leave % in 2018 48.76
Estimated swing to #Remain -8.68
#PeoplesVote anyone?
#Westminster Constituency: #Uxbridge and South Ruislip -- isnt that #BorisJohnson 's seat? #Leave in 2016: 56.36
Estimated #Leave % in 2018 47.68
Estimated swing to #Remain -8.68
#PeoplesVote anyone?
#Westminster Constituency: #Warrington South
#Leave in 2016: 50.62
Estimated #Leave % in 2018 41.97
Estimated swing to #Remain -8.65
#PeoplesVote anyone?
#Westminster Constituency: #Wolverhampton South West
#Leave in 2016: 54.37
Estimated #Leave % in 2018 45.83
Estimated swing to #Remain -8.54
#PeoplesVote anyone?
#Westminster Constituency: #Darlington
#Leave in 2016: 58.07
Estimated #Leave % in 2018 49.65
Estimated swing to #Remain -8.42
#PeoplesVote anyone?
@SiobhanBenita @BenChu_ @MarionLHour (thanks for the idea!!!) @anandMenon1 @chrishanretty @Survation -- I realize I should have tagged the MP's twitter handle...
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