Discover and read the best of Twitter Threads about #Polls

Most recents (24)

I started a invite only Call To Action group in #Signal to get message out to people about right-wing #polls especially the short ones. If you would like to join DM me and I will send the invite link.
Yes have to install Signal app first then use the link I will send in DM.
Please Like and Retweet.
Read 8 tweets
I'd done my best to try to gauge and predict the #future —that may sound outlandish, but I feel like it's been forced upon me (and the whole Pnictogen Wing). the pace of human events has grown antic and absurd to a degree I never imagined possible even *ten years ago*.

in its characteristic doublethinkful way, Western society both *disparages* fortune-telling as complete rubbish AND makes an enormous #profit off the game of pretending to tell the #future. most of #business and #finance and #investment propaganda is about fortune-telling.

they call it "economic forecasting"'s fortune-telling. it's pretending to have a "scientific" or "objective" grasp of how the future is likely to unfold, based on sophisticated #computer models which people like @JeffDean and @fchollet believe *more than reality*.

Read 15 tweets
@Juha_Korh2 @oikeusasiamies @RSF_fi @oikeuskansleri @Haavisto @anttikaikkonen @SuomenEduskunta @MarinSanna #ValehtelevatMinisterit.
#WEF -regiimin sepustus sotarikollisjärjestö #NATO'on liittymisestä alkaa törkeällä valheella.
- "Venäjä käynnisti 24. helmikuuta 2022 hyökkäyksen Ukrainaan."
Valehtelu jatkuu ministeriaitiossa @Haavisto… ImageImage
@Juha_Korh2 @oikeusasiamies @RSF_fi @oikeuskansleri @Haavisto @anttikaikkonen @SuomenEduskunta @MarinSanna The conflict in #Ukraine was not opened by #Russia on Feb 24, but by Ukraine a week before.
- The #OSCE #France is a witness to this:
#BULLETINNo27 | MAR 2022
- Il pourrait s’agir de #mercenaires de la #CIA...
Read 48 tweets
Most of my research published this year (20+ papers) was work from home 🏡.

Here are 4 ways you can publish great papers:
#1 Online questionnaire projects

We rely on virtual apps for daily information exchange.

Utilize great survey-making tools like #Google forms AND everyday #socialmedia apps for creating and sharing your #survey.

💡Projects exploring perceptions or barriers are a great start!
#2 Review articles

One of the highest forms of research evidence out there that don't require ethical approval.

Systematic Reviews, Narrative Reviews, & Scoping Reviews are the ones to go for 🎯

💡These projects are best conducted with experienced team members.
Read 6 tweets
PEOPLE OF SPACE! I’m super excited to be hosting this week! We’ll be covering a bunch of topics that are near and dear to me including #space (obviously), astronomy, supernovae, radio astronomy, science communication, and MORE
#science #scicomm #spacetwitter #intro #Thread
But who is this random dude yelling at us about space?
Well the short version is that I’m a physicist who finished high school with every intention of becoming a lawyer - pictured is 19yo me not caring about science
#accidentalscientist #accidentalphysicist #throwback #SPACE 10 years ago before I had considered a career in science - I
For a slightly longer version you can check out this #thread I did on my @funfactscience account recently to reintroduce myself to #spacefam and any newcomers to my page
#introductions #spacetwitter #space
Read 7 tweets
1/4 Three #polls

I’m going to do a brief video soon on messaging.

But first I want to get a few polls* on what those following my account feel themselves 👇

(*yes, I know there’s a margin for trolling, as always. 😂)
2/4 When I’ve said I’m “cautiously optimistic” regarding context of metabolic fat-adaptation, you take that as…

1) I’m very confident LDL is of no concern.

2) I don’t know if LDL is of concern in this context, it very well could be. But I current lean toward the optimistic.
3/4 True or false-

I think you should listen/read only resources coming from those skeptical that LDL causes heart disease.
Read 4 tweets
Daily Bookmarks to GAVNet 10/23/2021…
COVID vaccine makers brace for a variant worse than Delta…

#COVID19 #EscapeVariants #VaccineUpdates #timeliness
The broken $100-billion promise of climate finance — and how to fix it…

#ClimateChange #UnitedNations #pledges #mitigation #consequences
Read 8 tweets
'Today’s meeting with political leaders from #JammuAndKashmir is an important step in the ongoing efforts towards a developed and progressive J&K, where all-round growth is furthered', tweets #PrimeMinister @narendramodi. | #ModiOneIndiaMessage
@narendramodi 'Our priority is to strengthen grassroots democracy in #JammuAndKashmir delimitation has to happen at a quick pace so that #polls can happen and J&K gets an elected Government that gives strength to J&K’s development trajectory', tweets PM @narendramodi. | #ModiOneIndiaMessage
@narendramodi 'Our #democracy’s biggest strength is the ability to sit across a table and exchange views. I told the leaders of #JammuAndKashmir that it's the people, specially the youth who have to provide political leadership to J&K', tweets PM @narendramodi. | #ModiOneIndiaMessage
Read 4 tweets
Our new @trafalgar_group 2020 #Georgia #Senate #Runoff #poll conducted 12/1 - 12/3 shows tight races:

Senate Runoff
48.0% @ossoff,
47.3% @Perduesenate,
4.7% Und.

Senate Runoff (special)
50.2% @KLoeffler,
45.3% @ReverendWarnock,
4.6% Und. See Report:… Image
This poll is based on All votes we anticipate to be counted in GA Senate Runoff (both above and below the table).
Our @trafalgar_group #GASen #Runoff #Polls also shed some light on Georgia voters opinions of whether the #Presidential elections were compromised enough to change the outcome.  All voters 53.2% yes, 37.9% no, 8.9% unsure.  GOP voters 74.6% yes, 15.9% no, 9.5% unsure.
Read 3 tweets
FOLKS—Polling sucks. Amateur-“pro”-political polls as we know it—is done. Polls had said Biden led FL w/ 70% chance of winning—it became a wide Trump win.

➡️Most pollsters have no expertise in adv epidemiology & biostatistics. I would change it.🧵 #polls…
2) Many epidemiologists have long worried political polling is overconfident, uncertainties underestimated, & state/local factors poorly adjusted. Now we’re seeing it play out—again.

I know someone who paid $25k for what ended up as crap n=400 poll that’s worthless.
3) Many sources of unaccounted for uncertainties in polls:

📌SAMPLING (landline vs cell vs other?)

📌RESPONSE BIAS (shy respondent)


📌STATISTICAL WEIGHTING adds extra variance (error)

📌UNDERSAMPLING minorities for reliable weights
Read 6 tweets
Waiting in line to #vote? Waiting for #polls to close? Need 1 min of icy entertainment this #Election2020?

Enjoy this compilation of the sounds made by pure ice boreholes in #Antarctica. 🕳🧊🇦🇶🔊
Written explainer at the link. TLDR:
1) As ice scrapes down hole, Doppler effect decreases sound frequency
2) "Ricochet" is sound of ice hitting bottom coming up at varying speed
3) "Heartbeat" is set by 320 m/sec speed of sound reverberating up/down hole…
Read 4 tweets
Daily Bookmarks to GAVNet 10/08/2020…
Professor Francois Balloux on Twitter…

Updates to Medium’s Curation and Distribution System

Read 6 tweets
Trump is TERRIFIED of losing.

He wants to make Dems think there's no point in voting.

Don't give in to it. Let's make sure he loses.

Sign up for training to volunteer for the National Voter Assistance Hotline!
1/5 #VoteHimOut2020
Volunteer to be a poll observer to help protect the vote at polling places!

This is what terrifies Trump - voters being engaged and involved. #Election2020 #polls 2/5…
Make sure you, your friends and family are registered to vote, have verified their info, and know where their polling places & voting options are.

Vote in person and early if at all possible.
Read 7 tweets
Thank You, @CarterCenter

Carter Centre To Launch First-Ever US Election Initiative, Citing ‘Erosion’ Of Democracy In US

Exclusive: Democracy Promotion Group Founded By Jimmy Carter Will Launch US-Focused Initiative For First Time In Its History…
"The democracy promotion organisation founded by former president #JimmyCarter 💙 is to launch its first-ever #UnitedStates #election initiative this year, citing an “erosion” of democracy in the country. The @CarterCenter has monitored more than 110 #elections in the...
... #MiddleEast, #EastAfrica, #LatinAmerica, and #Asia since 1989 as part of #democracy promotion efforts around the world. Although there are no plans yet to monitor #polls in the #US, this will be the first time it has engaged in a US #election at all."
Read 9 tweets
Good piece by #Maine political science professor @ASFried: #SusanCollins told CNN she won't say whether she supports Trump's reelection b/c she's in a tight race:

“In parts of the state President Trump is very popular, in parts of the state he’s very unpopular." thread
.@ASFried: #SusanCollins's refusal to say if she'll vote for Trump contrasts sharply w/ her 2016 statement saying she thought he was unsuitable for office b/c he failed to treat people w/ respect, "an idea that should transcend politics.”

Not any more.
#SusanCollins recently said she was forthright w/ #Maine voters about Trump in '16 because she “was not up for re-election."

1>She didn't let that stop her in previous years when she was running in a pres election year.

2>Is there anything more Collins than that? @ASFried
Read 6 tweets
1/ Any analysis of Trump (ym'sh) must implicitly understand - if not overtly state - that he's a career criminal AND he fits the profile of a malignant narcissist (as asserted by his niece). There's no long-term thinking; he's all desperate & predictable need.
2/ Furthermore, any analysis of the election (& pandemic) must overtly state that 35-40% of the public exclusively watches FoxNews and are thus immersed in non-factual propaganda

Using this fact as a starting point shows why most of the 'fundamentals' are unreliable
3/ #Polls should have as a screening question: "where do you get your news" If it's "only Fox" (& equivalents, like Facebook) then I would suggest those voters need to be coded as resistant to fundamentals. The don't know the causes of the bad economy, mass death etc
Read 7 tweets
July Fox News #poll: “#Biden is preferred over Trump among extremely motivated voters (+8 points), those extremely likely to vote (+9) and those who feel it is extremely important their candidate wins (+13)."…
.@FoxNews polls have "found that a larger share of voters strongly disapprove of President Trump than strongly approve in every single poll we have taken since inauguration day. This strong disapproval is driven by Democrats." #polls #polling
In most recent quarter, #Biden raked in $16 million more than Trump & added 2.6 million donors. 97% of Biden's $$ is from grassroots donors.

#Dem Senate candidates outraised GOP incumbents in Alaska, AZ, CO, GA, IO, KY, #Maine, Mont, NC, SC. #voteblue
Read 5 tweets
I wanna run a couple of quick yes/no polls just to figure out trends in our behaviour, please do help by participating and sharing the thread, grateful and thanks in advance 🙏🏻
If airlines start flying from 15th May will you fly for something not very essential?
If the #lockdown ends on 15th May and you get a wedding reception invite, will you attend it?
Read 11 tweets
Avui farà una setmana que vam haver de quedar-nos a casa. Quatre dies abans del decret. Havia anat prenent nota d'alguns detalls i, per fi, he pogut reunir un moment per passar a net alguns gargots que vaig esbossar...


#coronavirus #diaridequarentena
El segon dia de la nostra quarantena familiar, dimarts de la setmana passada. Érem joves i innocents...
#coronavirus #diaridequarentena
I arribo al nostre tercer dia en quarantena: dimecres passat. Vam començar a adonar-nos que allò no seria qüestió de dos dies...
#coronavirus #diaridequarentena
Read 105 tweets
Hey folks: I wanted to share something @apmresearch just released that I’m very proud of:

Our VOTER PROFILE TOOLS, as part of our broader #RepresentingUS project. (Read: A wealth of data to understand the US electorate in interactive @tableau tools.)…
@APMResearch @tableau 2/
We at @apmresearch released these tools on #IowaCaucus day, but expect that they will be valuable up until the #2020election & beyond—to understand how eligible voters differ—often dramatically—from state to state & in each congressional district.…
@APMResearch @tableau 3/
Already I’ve read numerous #media stories about the #IowaCaucuses & #NewHampshirePrimary saying those states don’t reflect the nation’s #demographics, but the #journalists didn’t include any data as to HOW they differed and to what degree.
Read 22 tweets
Time to look back. In january I shot this story in #Scotland for @asturiassemanal @RTPAOficial. A modern tale about #forests, wild #cats and rugby set in the Scotish #Highlands and #Asturias. Shot with an #iphone X using @FiLMiCPro #mojo
Watch it here: Image
From february on, I followed the efforts of a group of convicted people to give up drugs in order to walk away from jail. #mojo
Watch the story for @asturiassemanal @RTPAOficial here:
➡️… Image
A fragil ice heart beats under the limestone soil of Picos de Europa National Park. The only way in is through the ice caves. In march @asturiassemanal @RTPAOficial broadcasted this story I shot with an #iPhoneX & a light gear after a 4 hours walk #mojo Image
Read 12 tweets
Interesting evening spent with 4 senators at a very small gathering. LOTS of optimism—fueled by internal #poll data—that we will flip the Senate.

Maine: @SenatorCollins is DOWN by 2 points. Her #Kavanaugh vote decimated her approval rating — she went from 57 to the upper-30’s.😎
Senate breakdown is 53 @GOP—47 @SenateDems + Independent.

@DougJones faces a tough re-election bid, but @jeffsessions may split the anti-Roy Moore vote. If Moore wins the primary, Jones has a great chance.

If Jones loses, we need 4-5 seats to flip—4 if we win @POTUS, 5 if not.
In Colorado, @CoryGardner is in BIG trouble. John @Hickenlooper leads by 12 points!

In #NC, @ThomTillis is literally polling in the toilet (approval rating in the 20’s!), so another great pickup opportunity for @TheDemocrats.😎
Read 17 tweets

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