Discover and read the best of Twitter Threads about #volatile

Most recents (20)

A week ago, after hearing #ChairPowell’s testimony before Congress, all eyes were set to be on today’s #inflation data, which presumably would help market participants better understand the #FOMC’s policy reaction at its March 22nd meeting.
What a difference a week makes these days! Of course, all eyes are still on today’s data, but now there are many other things we need to consider (such as #FinancialStability concerns), when judging the reaction function of the @federalreserve.
As we have long contended, #markets tend to be fairly myopic and lacking in patience, so having to focus on more than one news item at a time causes tremendous #uncertainty and thus greater market #volatility.
Read 16 tweets
The new space is in co-creation.

Where employees and leaders meet is in a different place. Instead of having leaders hand down policies, or offer their solutions in a controlled, centralized way, more breakthroughs will happen if they open an in-meeting...
...or an #asynchronous discussion with their team on how to make internal processes optimal for everyone.

Somebody asked me the other day, “What would you do if you were running your first physical meeting of your team after years of #remoteworking?” And I said...
“Well, why don't we ask that?” Like, why don't we open up a mural board, a #crowdsourced whiteboard, and ask that question? And let's hear suggestions. Let's co-create how we're going to use physical space with this first meeting as the first pilot.
Read 6 tweets
(1/7) Perplexed with what trading strategies you should implement? Let’s dive through the realms of shorter-time frame trading. 🧵

Read more at…
(2/7) #TradingTip: When trading, it’s important to recognize an underlying trend and trade around it to #profit consistently 📈
(3/7) In order to make the most of #trading, it’s important to understand different time frames. #Shorter-time frames (1-15 minutes) can offer more opportunities but can also be more #volatile. 🤔
Read 7 tweets
#OptionsTrading thread!

1/ Options trading is a financial instrument that allows investors to buy or sell the right to buy or sell an underlying #asset at a predetermined price at a specific time in the future.
2/ There are two types of options: call options and put options. Call options give the holder the right to buy the underlying asset, while put options give the holder the right to sell the underlying asset. #calloptipns #putoptions
3/ The price of an option is determined by several factors, including the underlying asset's price, time until the option expires, and the option's strike price (the predetermined price at which the underlying asset can be bought or sold).
Read 10 tweets
How to become your own bank 🏦

Financial independence, (or self-sovereignty), is being able to take ownership of your assets and money. It’s having enough to do what you want with your time.

And no, financial independence isn’t just for the rich...
Financial sovereignty is a journey. One in which you become freer and more powerful over time, as your knowledge and toolset develops.

Bitcoin has opened the gates to a new age in which you can claim back control over your finances in a way that was previously impossible.
Unlike other fiat currencies, where central issuers can print and devalue them overnight, #Bitcoin is ruled only by its code—which is protected by its community.

So, how do you get started on your journey?
Read 20 tweets
(1/10) The hype and effusion of #crypto has been crazy in the past few years. There are still aspects that remain obscure to most people. We unroll the mysteries of crypto in this thread. 🧐🔮🧵

Learn More 👇…
(2/10) What is #cryptocurrency? ⚡
Cryptocurrency is a #decentralized #digitalasset that exists on the blockchain. 🌐 It is not controlled by any authority but solely belongs to its owner.

#Crypto being decentralized implies that it runs on a peer-to-peer relationship. 🤝
(3/10) There is no need for a third party to intervene in a #transaction; it is based on a peer-to-peer relationship.

The currencies are stored in virtual platforms called #digitalwallets. But why are #cryptocurrencies named like this? 🤔💱
Read 10 tweets
Au 3 Novembre 2022, 13% de la capitalisation du marché #crypto est constituée de #stablecoins 🏦

Combien connaissent leur fonctionnement 🤔

À la fin de ce #thread, vous comprendrez le mécanisme derrière les plus grands stablecoins et leurs désavantages pour mieux s’en protéger.
[0 - XX] Ce thread vous apprends

• Le mécanisme derrière ce modèle économique 💰
• Son utilité 🤔
• Une présentation des différentes alternatives: $USDC, $DAI et $LUSD 👍

En 5 minutes.
[1 - XX] Retrouvez ce thread en format blog sur mon medium 👇…
Read 45 tweets

In this little story I summarize how Covid, Supply Chain, Debt, Wages, Inflation, a Eecession, Insolvency and an aging population come together to form a common solution: Crypto Assets

1) ...
So much is happening in the world. War, High #inflation, Covid, #recession, insolvancy, a debt bubble and Supply Chain problems.

All of these causes have a large impact on the world economy and therefore on your portfolio, which makes it important to understand what is going on. Image
The main consequence:

An nation on the verge of collapse and a debt bubble around the world.

As Ray Dalio said

'A nation in its last effort of strength is hugely in debt, there are internal wealth disparities and printing money seems to many to be the solution, but it is not'. Image
Read 25 tweets
The @federalreserve’s Federal Open Market Committee raised the target range for the Federal Funds #policy rate by 0.75% yesterday, to between 1.50% and 1.75%, as was increasingly anticipated.
The move by the #Fed to progress faster to neutral will be applauded in the long run by the #economy, business decision-makers and ultimately by# markets.
Like putting your car’s transmission (automatic or manual) into #neutral, getting to that place allows for decision-making flexibility given changing road conditions, particularly when the road to the #destination has become increasingly #murky.
Read 13 tweets
From Jan 2018 to peak of #EquityMarkets on 18th Oct 2021, #SmartInvesting of @IamMisterBond underperformed #BuyAndHold only against #NIFTY50 but beat NIFTY Mid and Small Cap 100 by a big margin.

Post that, markets have been #volatile with downward bias Image
Results of Smart Investing v/s Buy & Hold under all Market Caps is for all to see - with 1) lower volatility, 2) beating results of Buy & Hold by big margins

#SmartInvesting switched to Equity in Mar 20 after downside protection and switched back to DAAF by Jul 20
3) Values under Buy & Hold have gone down substantially from Oct 2021 to Feb 2022 v/s values going down marginally under Smart Investing due to being in #DAAF, 4) Smart Investing portfolios better placed at current juncture to take advantage of market #volatility v/s Buy & Hold
Read 6 tweets
Time for a 🧵 on two charts (at the end) that seem to tell an interesting #Bitcoin story.

For several yrs @CaitlinLong_ has openly discussed the potential negative impact of #rehypothecation of #bitcoin by banks, wall street, hedge funds & the broader #tradfi community.
@saylor has discussed and shown the need for sound money and the value that having a savings mechanism brings to the system.

@JeffBooth has shed light on the fact that #deflation isn’t such a bad thing when #technology is actually making our lives better and costs cheaper.
@saifedean taught the 🌏 the importance of time, effort, and energy & the value that living by the #Bitcoin Standard can bring to individuals and countries across the globe.

@FossGregfoss has done a phenomenal job helping to #educate on the benefits of owning #volatile #assets.
Read 24 tweets
What are the implications of excess global financial market volatility on economic growth? Are there threshold effects in the relationship between growth & excess global volatility for individual countries? How should we model the nonlinear effects in a multi-country setting? 1/n
We answer these questions in recent work with Alexander Chudik @DallasFed, M Hashem Pesaran @USCDornsife @TrinCollCam, @mraissi80 @IMFNews & @arebucci1 @JHUCarey @cepr_org @nberpubs:… #TGVAR 2/n
The #Covid19 #pandemic has been a shock like no other, initiating simultaneous demand and supply disruptions. In addition, it led to a sharp tightening in global #financial market conditions during the first quarter of 2020. 3/n Image
Read 23 tweets
#Assetallocation changes as you near retirement. What if your equity #investments are stuck in a phase where the markets are battered?
Can I share #income by creating a trust?
How can an IT employee generate alternate sources of income?
Read 25 tweets
#Goal Based Investing vs #PortfolioProtection Debate: Sharing my response to that debate: 👇

I have a totally different take in this Goal based investing and communication with Investors.
My 35 years of experience is showing me totally diametrically opposite conclusion to this. Only my observations, please ignore if you do not agree:

My belief is that Goal based investing is only good on paper and may be to get some discipline in Investment habits.
But unfortunately most Investors do not follow it. For example at current juncture, when they have existential crisis, how many will continue on the path of goal based investing? Many have stopped SIPs, many have withdrawn and redeemed.

What happens to their Goals now??
Read 6 tweets
While the #JobsReport data during the #pandemic has shown itself to be highly unpredictable and #volatile, the remarkable gain of 4.8 million #jobs in June is a heartening development.
Today’s data suggested that the #labor #markets continue the process of carving out a bottom, as June’s #unemployment rate dropped to 11.1% from a peak of just less than 15% in April.
Those regions of the #economy that witnessed the greatest #job losses are now bouncing back strongly, but it is also clear that leisure, travel, energy, etc., have a very uncertain path forward today, despite seeing significant bounce-backs in near-term data.
Read 5 tweets
We’ve often suggested that #markets only focus on one thing at a time (perhaps two, if we include the political risk surrounding US elections), but the spread of #coronavirus is likely to re-rate the path of first half 2020 global #growth in a manner #investors should respect. Image
Yet, it’s critical to manage #portfolios through the short-term, with an eye always toward #investing for the medium-to-long-term: in other words, the recent extreme market #volatility is very unsettling, but at some point, it also delivers real opportunities.
And while the #Fed will do its part in maintaining #liquidity in the #financial system and in calming #volatile markets, for years we’ve counted on monetary policy to save the day. We think it’s time for a fiscal call to action, as #Fed influence on a health scare is limited.
Read 3 tweets
Clearly, #markets are in the midst of a #volatility spike, and indeed economic data for a time will be more #volatile and less certain, but at times like this it’s particularly important for investors to think hard about those factors that matter most to markets.
As such, next of our 8 @blackrock blog themes are: 3) that “1.8%” can still be a guidepost for understanding the trajectory of #economy and #markets in 2020, assuming #coronavirus risk can be mitigated; and 4) #inflation may see its best post-crisis year, but not exceed 2%.
More specifically, we think U.S. real #GDP growth and core #inflation are likely poised to stabilize near longer-run averages of roughly 1.8% this year, but clearly significant left-tail risks to global growth have increased.
Read 8 tweets
December #Toronto #realestate market charts are up! Month and year-end highlights in this blog post. As always, a few bonus charts in this thread. #TorRE /1…
One of the things I manually track to see if things are heating/cooling is the percent of sales that sold for over asking (SOA). Here you can see that 416 Freeholds spent the last 9 months higher than they were last year. The 9% spread in December was the highest all year. /2 Image
416 Condos spent the last 5 months hotter than 2018, and Dec was tied with Dec 2016 as highest ever for that month. Similarly, Dec gap of 10% higher than last year was largest gap of the year. /3 Image
Read 10 tweets
The high-frequency economic survey data look weak, and the outlook negative, but while the #economy is undeniably slowing, a solid consumer and #job market, a still steady services sector and low rate levels should bolster it over time and keep any potential #recession moderate.
Sentiment matters, and we’re concerned by this deterioration in the forward outlook, but we also need to keep in mind that the soft #data releases are often a great deal more #volatile than the ultimate changes witnessed in hard data. Image
Furthermore, it’s vital that #market observers look beyond “the economy” at its aggregate level, since while the #manufacturing sector certainly looks very weak, the question is whether the #services sector can hold up, as that’s a more critical component for growth. Image
Read 4 tweets
#US #InvertedYieldCurve & panic
On wed, #DowJones, #nasdaq & #SP500 saw more than 3% fall, highest in year so far
Reason? #10YearTreasuryYield < #2YearTreasuryYield, #spread being 0.04%, lowest since 2007
- Treasury notes are #USGovernment securities issued for 2, 3, 5 & 10 year
Starting with basics first.
1. #InterestRate & #BondPrices have #InverseRelationship, meaning if interest rises bond prices fall & vice versa
Why? eg. if currently #Coupon rate on a bond is 6% & int rate is also 6% & face value of bond is rs. 100. Meaning buyer of bond is willing to pay more or less complete face value of rs. 100
Read 19 tweets

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